Club football · AI probability model

Brasileirão Série A predictions, table and team ratings 2026

339 Brasileirão Série A matches played this season, 2.67 goals per game; Flamengo top the model's strength ranking. The 2 fixtures below each carry 1X2, correct-score, total-goals and HT/FT probabilities.

Data updated: 2026-11-07 16:20 UTC · Source: api-football

Upcoming match predictions

Sat, Nov 14, 09:30 PM UTCMarket consensusConfidence: Low (upset risk)

MirassolvsAtlético Mineiro

Home 39%Draw 28%Away 33%

AI picks: Mirassol/Atlético Mineiro · 1:1 · Over 2.5

Sat, Nov 14, 11:30 PM UTCMarket consensusConfidence: Medium

ChapecoensevsVasco da Gama

Home 20%Draw 24%Away 56%

AI picks: Vasco da Gama · 1:1 · Over 2.5

Table · 2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Last 5
1	Flamengo	34	23	7	4	71	29	+42	76	WWWWW
2	Palmeiras	34	21	10	3	62	23	+39	73	WDWWW
3	Cruzeiro	34	18	6	10	55	48	+7	60	WWWWL
4	Fluminense	34	16	9	9	55	42	+13	57	WWLLL
5	Athletico Paranaense	34	15	9	10	51	43	+8	54	LLDLW
6	Bahia	34	14	11	9	50	45	+5	53	LWDLW
7	Atlético Mineiro	34	14	8	12	44	40	+4	50	LLLWW
8	RB Bragantino	34	13	8	13	44	39	+5	47	WWLDW
9	Santos	34	12	11	11	50	49	+1	47	LDDWL
10	São Paulo FC	34	12	8	14	39	39	0	44	DLDWW
11	Botafogo	34	11	9	14	46	53	-7	42	WLLWD
12	Coritiba	34	11	9	14	40	51	-11	42	LWLLD
13	Vasco da Gama	33	11	8	14	43	50	-7	41	WLWLD
14	Mirassol	34	10	10	14	39	48	-9	40	WLDWL
15	Internacional	34	9	11	14	38	42	-4	38	WLWLD
16	Vitória	34	10	8	16	35	51	-16	38	LLDDL
17	Corinthians	34	9	10	15	36	42	-6	37	DWLDL
18	Grêmio	34	9	10	15	38	47	-9	37	LWWLD
19	Remo	34	6	11	17	37	57	-20	29	LWLDD
20	Chapecoense	33	4	9	20	33	68	-35	21	LLWLL

Model strength ratings

#	Team	Goal-difference strength	Attack index	Defence index (lower is better)	Expected goals +/−
1	Flamengo	+1.16	1.59	0.70	2.06 / 0.91
2	Palmeiras	+0.78	1.27	0.67	1.65 / 0.88
3	Cruzeiro	+0.38	1.23	0.93	1.59 / 1.21
4	Fluminense	+0.26	1.08	0.88	1.40 / 1.14
5	Vasco da Gama	+0.23	1.12	0.94	1.45 / 1.22
6	Santos	+0.14	1.07	0.96	1.39 / 1.25
7	RB Bragantino	+0.13	1.07	0.97	1.39 / 1.26
8	Bahia	+0.10	1.10	1.02	1.43 / 1.33
9	Corinthians	0.00	0.91	0.91	1.18 / 1.18
10	Internacional	-0.01	0.94	0.95	1.23 / 1.24
11	São Paulo FC	-0.06	0.86	0.91	1.12 / 1.18
12	Athletico Paranaense	-0.07	0.99	1.04	1.28 / 1.35
13	Atlético Mineiro	-0.08	0.92	0.97	1.19 / 1.27
14	Mirassol	-0.09	0.93	1.00	1.20 / 1.29
15	Botafogo	-0.15	0.94	1.06	1.22 / 1.38
16	Grêmio	-0.32	0.87	1.12	1.13 / 1.45
17	Vitória	-0.45	0.78	1.13	1.02 / 1.47
18	Coritiba	-0.50	0.77	1.15	1.00 / 1.50
19	Remo	-0.53	0.83	1.23	1.07 / 1.60
20	Chapecoense	-0.91	0.75	1.45	0.98 / 1.89

Recent results: pre-match probability vs outcome

Fri, Nov 6, 11:00 PM UTC3/6Hit

Vitória0 - 3Fluminense

Home 29%Draw 30%Away 41%

AI picks: Draw/Fluminense · 1:1 · Under 2.5

Fri, Nov 6, 12:30 AM UTC2/6Hit

Cruzeiro3 - 2Bahia

Home 53%Draw 24%Away 23%

AI picks: Cruzeiro · 1:1 · Over 2.5

Thu, Nov 5, 10:30 PM UTC3/6Hit

Palmeiras6 - 1Remo

Home 76%Draw 15%Away 9%

AI picks: Palmeiras · 2:0 · Over 2.5

Thu, Nov 5, 12:30 AM UTC3/6Miss

São Paulo FC0 - 0Corinthians

Home 38%Draw 31%Away 32%

AI picks: São Paulo FC/Corinthians · 1:1 · Under 2.5

Thu, Nov 5, 12:30 AM UTC2/6Hit

Botafogo1 - 0Atlético Mineiro

Home 58%Draw 23%Away 18%

AI picks: Botafogo · 1:1 · Over 2.5

Wed, Nov 4, 10:30 PM UTC5/6Hit

Flamengo3 - 1Grêmio

Home 83%Draw 11%Away 6%

AI picks: Flamengo · 3:0 · Over 2.5

Wed, Nov 4, 10:30 PM UTC3/6Miss

Athletico Paranaense1 - 3Vasco da Gama

Home 38%Draw 28%Away 34%

AI picks: Athletico Paranaense/Vasco da Gama · 1:1 · Over 2.5

Wed, Nov 4, 12:30 AM UTC1/6Hit

Internacional1 - 0Coritiba

Home 61%Draw 23%Away 17%

AI picks: Internacional · 1:1 · Over 2.5

Tue, Nov 3, 10:30 PM UTC4/6Hit

Chapecoense1 - 2Mirassol

Home 25%Draw 26%Away 49%

AI picks: Draw/Mirassol · 1:1 · Over 2.5

Mon, Nov 2, 11:00 PM UTC5/6Hit

RB Bragantino2 - 1Santos

Home 47%Draw 25%Away 29%

AI picks: RB Bragantino/Santos · 1:1 · Over 2.5

2026 · Matches 339 · 1X2 accuracy 54.3% · RPS 0.193

Season pick record by market

Play	2026 · n=339
1X2 (match result)	69.6%
1X2 (match result) · Confidence High	73.7%
Handicap 1X2	49.6%
Correct score (top 2)	27.4%
Total goals (top 2)	48.7%
Half-time / full-time	34.2%
Over / under 2.5	51.9%

The top choice for each market — for reference only, no guarantee; any bet you place on it is at your own risk. For matches with bookmaker prices the pick equals the top option of the margin-free market consensus; without prices it is the statistical model.

League season stats

Goals per game: 2.67
Home wins: 48.7%
Draws: 26.8%
Away wins: 24.5%
Over 2.5: 51.3%
Both teams score: 58.7%
Matches: 339
HT / FT: 45.3%

Total goals (0–7+)

5.6%

16.5%

26.6%

25.7%

12.7%

8.8%

3.5%

0.6%

Half-time / full-time

H/H

29.2%

H/D

6.2%

H/A

2.6%

D/H

16.8%

D/D

14.2%

D/A

9.7%

A/H

2.6%

A/D

6.5%

A/A

12.1%