Brasileirão Série A · Matchday 34

Internacional vs Coritiba prediction: 1X2, correct score, goals, HT/FT

Internacional
LWLDW
1 - 0
HT 0-0
Coritiba
WLLDL

Kick-off (UTC): · Model data as of 2026-11-02

Pre-match probabilities (computed from information available before kick-off): Internacional win 61%, draw 23%, Coritiba win 17%; the final score was 1:0.

Full time: Internacional 1-0 Coritiba. The pre-match pick (market consensus) was "Internacional" — correct.

Post-match check: pre-match probabilities vs the result

MarketResultPre-match probabilityRank
Full-time resultInternacional60.9%most likely
Correct score1:07.9%#4 of 31
Total goals1 goals11.2%#4 of 8
Over/under 2.5Under 2.539.0%#2 of 2
Half-time/full-timeD/H18.1%#2 of 9

A single match says little about a forecast's quality — see the league track record for the full picture. Probabilities are for reference only.

AI picks

Market consensusConfidence: High
1X2 (match result)Hit
Internacional
61%
Handicap 1X2 · Home -1Miss
Coritiba
39%
Correct scoreMiss
1:1 / 2:1
20%
Total goalsMiss
2 / 3 goals
45%
Half-time / full-timeMiss
H/H
39%
Over / under 2.5Miss
Over
61%

The top choice for each market — for reference only, no guarantee; any bet you place on it is at your own risk. For matches with bookmaker prices the pick equals the top option of the margin-free market consensus; without prices it is the statistical model.

Pre-match template read (from pre-match data)
  • The published probabilities favour Internacional (61%); expected goals Internacional 2.11 – 1.04 Coritiba.
  • Goals look likely: 3.15 expected in total, 61% for over 2.5 and 58% for both teams to score.
  • The single most likely score is 1:1 (11%) — any exact score is a long shot by nature; the likeliest HT/FT path is H/H (39%).
  • Last five: Internacional LWLDW (2 wins), Coritiba WLLDL (1 wins).

Probabilities include the bookmaker consensus, which already reflects public team news; the statistical-model part uses results, scores and the closing prices of past matches, not team news directly. Check official club news before kick-off.

1X2 (match result)

Internacional 61%Draw 23%Coritiba 17%

1X2 and over/under 2.5 on this page equal the margin-free consensus of the closing prices recorded for this match (football-data.co.uk) (the backtest found the market more accurate than our model, so the model weight is currently 0); every other market comes from the same score matrix.

Expected goals · Internacional
2.11
Expected goals · Coritiba
1.04
Most likely score
1:1 (11%)
Half-time result
46% / 37% / 17%

Handicap 1X2

Handicap 1X2InternacionalDrawCoritiba
Home -38.6%11.3%80.1%
Home -219.9%18.8%61.3%
Home -1≈38.7%22.2%39.1%
Home +183.4%10.3%6.3%
Home +293.7%4.5%1.7%
Home +398.3%1.3%0.4%

Model's balanced line: Home -1

Correct score

Internacional · Home
  • 1:07.9%
  • 2:09.6%
  • 2:19.9%
  • 3:06.7%
  • 3:17.0%
  • 3:23.6%
  • 4:03.6%
  • 4:13.7%
  • 4:21.9%
  • 5:01.5%
  • 5:11.6%
  • 5:20.8%
  • Other home win3.1%
Draw
  • 0:05.4%
  • 1:110.5%
  • 2:25.2%
  • 3:31.3%
  • Other draw0.2%
Coritiba · Away
  • 0:13.3%
  • 0:22.3%
  • 1:24.9%
  • 0:30.8%
  • 1:31.7%
  • 2:31.8%
  • 0:40.2%
  • 1:40.4%
  • 2:40.5%
  • 0:50.0%
  • 1:50.1%
  • 2:50.1%
  • Other away win0.5%

Scores outside the grid are pooled into "other home win / draw / away win".

Total goals (0–7+)

0
5.4%
1
11.2%
2
22.4%
3
22.3%
4
17.6%
5
11.1%
6
5.8%
7+
4.2%
Over / under1.52.53.54.5
Over83.4%61.0%38.7%21.1%
Under16.6%39.0%61.3%78.9%

Goals parity (3+ goals = over)

Over, odd
36.4%
Over, even
24.6%
Under, odd
11.2%
Under, even
27.8%

Both teams to score · Clean-sheet probability

Both teams to score: Yes
58.0%
Both teams to score: No
42.0%
Clean-sheet probability · Internacional
35.4%
Clean-sheet probability · Coritiba
12.1%

Goals per team (0–3+)

Team0123+
Internacional12.1%25.5%27.0%35.4%
Coritiba35.4%36.8%19.1%8.8%

Half-time / full-time

HT ↓ / FT →HomeDrawAway
Home
H/H
39.4%
H/D
4.9%
H/A
1.3%
Draw
D/H
18.1%
D/D
12.7%
D/A
6.2%
Away
A/H
3.3%
A/D
4.9%
A/A
9.1%

First letter = half-time result, second = full-time result (H home, D draw, A away).

Club profiles

Internacional

Internacional, known as the Colorados, is a Porto Alegre club with three Brasileirão titles (1975, 1976, 1979). In 2026 it changed coach mid-season and was in the lower half of the Série A table.

City
Porto Alegre, Brazil
Stadium
Estádio Beira-Rio
Founded
1909
Head coach
Eduardo Baptista

Coritiba

Founded in 1909 by German immigrants, Coritiba (nicknamed "Coxa") is the oldest club in Paraná state and returned to Brasileirão Série A in 2026 after winning the 2025 Série B title.

City
Curitiba, Brazil
Stadium
Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira
Founded
1909

Compiled by Claude with a web search (checked 2026-11-06); may contain errors — the clubs' own channels are authoritative.

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