Brasileirão Série A · Matchday 34

RB Bragantino vs Santos prediction: 1X2, correct score, goals, HT/FT

RB Bragantino
WLDWD
2 - 1
HT 2-1
Santos
DDWLD

Kick-off (UTC): · Model data as of 2026-11-02

Pre-match probabilities (computed from information available before kick-off): RB Bragantino win 47%, draw 25%, Santos win 29%; the final score was 2:1.

Full time: RB Bragantino 2-1 Santos. The pre-match pick (market consensus) was "RB Bragantino" — correct.

Post-match check: pre-match probabilities vs the result

MarketResultPre-match probabilityRank
Full-time resultRB Bragantino46.5%most likely
Correct score2:19.1%#2 of 31
Total goals3 goals22.0%most likely
Over/under 2.5Over 2.565.1%most likely
Half-time/full-timeH/H28.8%most likely

A single match says little about a forecast's quality — see the league track record for the full picture. Probabilities are for reference only.

AI picks

Market consensusConfidence: Medium
1X2 (match result)Hit
RB Bragantino / Santos
75%
Handicap 1X2 · Home -1Miss
Santos
53%
Correct scoreHit
1:1 / 2:1
20%
Total goalsHit
2 / 3 goals
43%
Half-time / full-timeHit
H/H
29%
Over / under 2.5Hit
Over
65%

The top choice for each market — for reference only, no guarantee; any bet you place on it is at your own risk. For matches with bookmaker prices the pick equals the top option of the margin-free market consensus; without prices it is the statistical model.

Pre-match template read (from pre-match data)
  • The published probabilities favour RB Bragantino (47%); expected goals RB Bragantino 1.89 – 1.46 Santos.
  • Goals look likely: 3.35 expected in total, 65% for over 2.5 and 66% for both teams to score.
  • The single most likely score is 1:1 (11%) — any exact score is a long shot by nature; the likeliest HT/FT path is H/H (29%).
  • Last five: RB Bragantino WLDWD (2 wins), Santos DDWLD (1 wins).

Probabilities include the bookmaker consensus, which already reflects public team news; the statistical-model part uses results, scores and the closing prices of past matches, not team news directly. Check official club news before kick-off.

1X2 (match result)

RB Bragantino 47%Draw 25%Santos 29%

1X2 and over/under 2.5 on this page equal the margin-free consensus of the closing prices recorded for this match (football-data.co.uk) (the backtest found the market more accurate than our model, so the model weight is currently 0); every other market comes from the same score matrix.

Expected goals · RB Bragantino
1.89
Expected goals · Santos
1.46
Most likely score
1:1 (11%)
Half-time result
37% / 37% / 26%

Handicap 1X2

Handicap 1X2RB BragantinoDrawSantos
Home -34.7%7.5%87.8%
Home -212.2%14.4%73.4%
Home -1≈26.6%19.9%53.5%
Home +171.2%15.1%13.7%
Home +286.3%8.6%5.0%
Home +395.0%3.5%1.5%

Model's balanced line: Home -1

Correct score

RB Bragantino · Home
  • 1:05.4%
  • 2:06.2%
  • 2:19.1%
  • 3:03.9%
  • 3:15.8%
  • 3:24.2%
  • 4:01.9%
  • 4:12.7%
  • 4:22.0%
  • 5:00.7%
  • 5:11.0%
  • 5:20.8%
  • Other home win2.8%
Draw
  • 0:04.7%
  • 1:110.9%
  • 2:26.7%
  • 3:32.1%
  • Other draw0.4%
Santos · Away
  • 0:13.9%
  • 0:23.7%
  • 1:27.1%
  • 0:31.8%
  • 1:33.5%
  • 2:33.3%
  • 0:40.7%
  • 1:41.3%
  • 2:41.2%
  • 0:50.2%
  • 1:50.4%
  • 2:50.3%
  • Other away win1.5%

Scores outside the grid are pooled into "other home win / draw / away win".

Total goals (0–7+)

0
4.7%
1
9.4%
2
20.8%
3
22.0%
4
18.4%
5
12.4%
6
6.9%
7+
5.5%
Over / under1.52.53.54.5
Over86.0%65.1%43.1%24.7%
Under14.0%34.9%56.9%75.3%

Goals parity (3+ goals = over)

Over, odd
38.2%
Over, even
26.9%
Under, odd
9.4%
Under, even
25.5%

Both teams to score · Clean-sheet probability

Both teams to score: Yes
66.4%
Both teams to score: No
33.6%
Clean-sheet probability · RB Bragantino
23.1%
Clean-sheet probability · Santos
15.1%

Goals per team (0–3+)

Team0123+
RB Bragantino15.1%28.6%27.0%29.4%
Santos23.1%33.9%24.8%18.2%

Half-time / full-time

HT ↓ / FT →HomeDrawAway
Home
H/H
28.8%
H/D
5.9%
H/A
2.3%
Draw
D/H
14.4%
D/D
12.9%
D/A
9.7%
Away
A/H
3.3%
A/D
5.9%
A/A
16.8%

First letter = half-time result, second = full-time result (H home, D draw, A away).

Club profiles

RB Bragantino

A Red Bull-owned club from the interior of São Paulo state, nicknamed Massa Bruta, that plays in the Brasileirão Série A and is known for high pressing and attacking full-backs.

City
Bragança Paulista, Brazil
Stadium
Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid
Founded
1928
Head coach
Vagner Mancini

Santos

Santos is a historic Brazilian club, known as the club of Pelé and Neymar, which returned to Série A in 2025 and has been in the top half of the 2026 table under Cuca.

City
Santos, São Paulo, Brazil
Stadium
Vila Belmiro
Founded
1912
Head coach
Cuca

Compiled by Claude with a web search (checked 2026-11-06); may contain errors — the clubs' own channels are authoritative.

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