Club football · AI probability model

Champions League predictions, table and team ratings 2026-27

72 Champions League matches played this season, 4.04 goals per game; Bayern Munich top the model's strength ranking. No fixtures are scheduled in the next 10 days; the season record and stats are below.

Data updated: 2026-11-07 16:20 UTC · Source: api-football

Upcoming match predictions

No fixtures scheduled in the next 10 days.

League-phase table · 2026-27

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Last 5
1	Paris Saint-Germain	4	4	0	0	20	5	+15	12	WWWW
2	Real Madrid	4	4	0	0	13	7	+6	12	WWWW
3	Arsenal	4	3	1	0	8	3	+5	10	WDWW
4	Como	4	3	0	1	19	6	+13	9	WWLW
5	Barcelona	4	3	0	1	14	6	+8	9	WLWW
6	Aston Villa	4	3	0	1	12	6	+6	9	LWWW
7	Manchester City	4	3	0	1	12	7	+5	9	WWLW
8	Liverpool	4	3	0	1	14	10	+4	9	LWWW
9	Club Brugge	4	3	0	1	11	7	+4	9	WWWL
10	Sporting CP	4	3	0	1	8	4	+4	9	WLWW
11	Real Betis	4	3	0	1	8	6	+2	9	LWWW
12	Borussia Dortmund	4	3	0	1	7	5	+2	9	WWLW
13	Bayern Munich	4	2	2	0	12	5	+7	8	WDDW
14	VfB Stuttgart	4	2	1	1	7	4	+3	7	LDWW
15	Inter	4	2	0	2	8	6	+2	6	WWLL
16	LASK Linz	4	2	0	2	10	9	+1	6	WWLL
17	Manchester United	4	2	0	2	8	8	0	6	WLLW
18	Galatasaray	4	2	0	2	8	9	-1	6	WWLL
19	Fenerbahçe	4	1	2	1	6	11	-5	5	WDLD
20	Roma	4	1	1	2	10	8	+2	4	LWLD
21	Shakhtar Donetsk	4	1	1	2	4	4	0	4	LLWD
22	Viking FK	4	1	1	2	9	10	-1	4	WLDL
23	Atlético Madrid	4	1	1	2	4	5	-1	4	LDWL
24	PSV	4	1	1	2	3	4	-1	4	LWLD
25	Bodø/Glimt	4	1	1	2	4	9	-5	4	DLWL
26	FC Porto	4	1	0	3	6	7	-1	3	WLLL
27	Napoli	4	1	0	3	6	11	-5	3	LWLL
28	Villarreal	4	1	0	3	8	14	-6	3	LLWL
29	AEK Athens	4	1	0	3	5	11	-6	3	LLLW
30	RB Leipzig	4	1	0	3	5	11	-6	3	LLWL
31	Sabah FK	4	1	0	3	4	10	-6	3	LLWL
32	Feyenoord	4	1	0	3	4	11	-7	3	LLWL
33	Lens	4	1	0	3	4	16	-12	3	LLLW
34	Slavia Prague	4	0	1	3	5	9	-4	1	LDLL
35	Lille	4	0	1	3	4	10	-6	1	DLLL
36	Slovan Bratislava	4	0	0	4	1	17	-16	0	LLLL

Model strength ratings

#	Team	Goal-difference strength	Attack index	Defence index (lower is better)	Expected goals +/−	Elo rating
1	Bayern Munich	+2.34	1.78	0.50	2.98 / 0.64	1918
2	Arsenal	+2.31	1.76	0.50	2.96 / 0.65	1915
3	Paris Saint-Germain	+2.29	1.75	0.51	2.94 / 0.65	1912
4	Barcelona	+1.85	1.54	0.57	2.59 / 0.74	1860
5	Real Madrid	+1.68	1.47	0.61	2.46 / 0.78	1838
6	Manchester City	+1.32	1.31	0.68	2.19 / 0.87	1791
7	Inter	+1.22	1.26	0.70	2.12 / 0.91	1776
8	Sporting CP	+1.16	1.24	0.72	2.08 / 0.92	1768
9	Como	+0.98	1.17	0.76	1.96 / 0.98	1744
10	Aston Villa	+0.97	1.16	0.76	1.95 / 0.98	1742
11	FC Porto	+0.95	1.15	0.77	1.94 / 0.99	1739
12	Borussia Dortmund	+0.89	1.13	0.78	1.90 / 1.01	1732
13	Roma	+0.80	1.10	0.81	1.84 / 1.04	1718
14	Atlético Madrid	+0.72	1.07	0.83	1.79 / 1.07	1706
15	Liverpool	+0.71	1.06	0.83	1.79 / 1.07	1706
16	PSV	+0.68	1.05	0.84	1.77 / 1.09	1701
17	Club Brugge	+0.46	0.97	0.91	1.63 / 1.17	1669
18	Real Betis	+0.36	0.94	0.95	1.58 / 1.22	1654
19	Bodø/Glimt	+0.27	0.91	0.98	1.53 / 1.26	1640
20	Manchester United	+0.22	0.89	0.99	1.50 / 1.28	1633
21	Napoli	+0.14	0.87	1.02	1.46 / 1.32	1621
22	VfB Stuttgart	+0.08	0.85	1.04	1.43 / 1.34	1612
23	RB Leipzig	+0.07	0.85	1.05	1.42 / 1.35	1610
24	Feyenoord	+0.05	0.84	1.06	1.41 / 1.36	1607
25	Fenerbahçe	-0.02	0.82	1.08	1.38 / 1.40	1597
26	Lille	-0.14	0.79	1.13	1.32 / 1.46	1580
27	Lens	-0.18	0.77	1.15	1.30 / 1.48	1573
28	Villarreal	-0.24	0.76	1.18	1.27 / 1.51	1563
29	Galatasaray	-0.26	0.75	1.18	1.26 / 1.52	1561
30	Shakhtar Donetsk	-0.56	0.68	1.31	1.13 / 1.69	1517
31	AEK Athens	-0.72	0.64	1.39	1.07 / 1.79	1494
32	Viking FK	-0.81	0.62	1.44	1.04 / 1.85	1480
33	Sabah FK	-1.10	0.56	1.59	0.94 / 2.04	1439
34	Slavia Prague	-1.35	0.52	1.72	0.86 / 2.22	1405
35	LASK Linz	-1.41	0.51	1.76	0.85 / 2.26	1397
36	Slovan Bratislava	-1.62	0.47	1.87	0.80 / 2.41	1370

Cup clubs come from different leagues, so the ranking uses a cross-league Elo; goal indices are expected goals against a neutral 1600-rated opponent.

Recent results: pre-match probability vs outcome

Wed, Nov 4, 08:00 PM UTC2/6Hit

Viking FK4 - 1Sabah FK

Home 45%Draw 26%Away 29%

AI picks: Viking FK/Sabah FK · 1:1 · Over 2.5

Wed, Nov 4, 08:00 PM UTC3/6Hit

Slavia Prague1 - 2Arsenal

Home 1%Draw 5%Away 94%

AI picks: Arsenal · 0:4 · Over 2.5

Wed, Nov 4, 08:00 PM UTC3/6Hit

RB Leipzig2 - 3Manchester City

Home 22%Draw 24%Away 53%

AI picks: Manchester City · 1:1 · Over 2.5

Wed, Nov 4, 08:00 PM UTC3/6Hit

Lens1 - 9Como

Home 28%Draw 26%Away 46%

AI picks: Lens/Como · 1:1 · Over 2.5

Wed, Nov 4, 08:00 PM UTC3/6Miss

PSV1 - 2Club Brugge

Home 57%Draw 24%Away 20%

AI picks: PSV · 1:1 · Over 2.5

Wed, Nov 4, 08:00 PM UTC2/6Hit

FC Porto4 - 1Napoli

Home 59%Draw 23%Away 18%

AI picks: FC Porto · 1:1 · Over 2.5

Wed, Nov 4, 08:00 PM UTC4/6Hit

Borussia Dortmund2 - 1Real Betis

Home 55%Draw 24%Away 21%

AI picks: Borussia Dortmund · 1:1 · Over 2.5

Wed, Nov 4, 05:45 PM UTC2/6Miss

Fenerbahçe3 - 2Liverpool

Home 24%Draw 25%Away 51%

AI picks: Liverpool · 1:1 · Over 2.5

Wed, Nov 4, 05:45 PM UTC3/6Hit

AEK Athens2 - 3Real Madrid

Home 7%Draw 14%Away 79%

AI picks: Real Madrid · 0:2 · Over 2.5

Tue, Nov 3, 08:00 PM UTC3/6Hit

Villarreal0 - 6Paris Saint-Germain

Home 7%Draw 14%Away 78%

AI picks: Paris Saint-Germain · 0:2 · Over 2.5

2026-27 · Matches 72 · 1X2 accuracy 68.1% · RPS 0.184

Of 72 matches played this season, 0 have bookmaker prices (counted as market consensus); the rest are statistical-model results.

Season pick record by market

Play	2026-27 · n=72
1X2 (match result)	80.6%
1X2 (match result) · Confidence High	83.3%
Handicap 1X2	40.3%
Correct score (top 2)	12.5%
Total goals (top 2)	31.9%
Half-time / full-time	38.9%
Over / under 2.5	75.0%

The top choice for each market — for reference only, no guarantee; any bet you place on it is at your own risk. For matches with bookmaker prices the pick equals the top option of the margin-free market consensus; without prices it is the statistical model.

League season stats

Goals per game: 4.04
Home wins: 55.6%
Draws: 9.7%
Away wins: 34.7%
Over 2.5: 75.0%
Both teams score: 63.9%
Matches: 72
HT / FT: 40.2%

Total goals (0–7+)

1.4%

11.1%

12.5%

15.3%

13.9%

25.0%

11.1%

9.7%

Half-time / full-time

H/H

29.2%

H/D

4.2%

H/A

1.4%

D/H

25.0%

D/D

2.8%

D/A

18.1%

A/H

1.4%

A/D

2.8%

A/A

15.3%