Champions League Β· Matchday 4
Borussia Dortmund vs Real Betis prediction: 1X2, correct score, goals, HT/FT
Kick-off (UTC): Β· Model data as of 2026-11-04
Pre-match probabilities (computed from information available before kick-off): Borussia Dortmund win 55%, draw 24%, Real Betis win 21%; the final score was 2:1.
Full time: Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Real Betis. The pre-match pick (statistical model) was "Borussia Dortmund" β correct.
Post-match check: pre-match probabilities vs the result
| Market | Result | Pre-match probability | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Full-time result | Borussia Dortmund | 54.6% | most likely |
| Correct score | 2:1 | 9.9% | #2 of 31 |
| Total goals | 3 goals | 22.3% | #2 of 8 |
| Over/under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.6% | most likely |
| Half-time/full-time | D/H | 17.8% | #2 of 9 |
A single match says little about a forecast's quality β see the league track record for the full picture. Probabilities are for reference only.
AI picks
ModelConfidence: Medium- 1X2 (match result)Hit
- Borussia Dortmund
- 55%
- Handicap 1X2 Β· Home -1Miss
- Real Betis
- 45%
- Correct scoreHit
- 1:1 / 2:1
- 21%
- Total goalsHit
- 2 / 3 goals
- 46%
- Half-time / full-timeMiss
- H/H
- 34%
- Over / under 2.5Hit
- Over
- 55%
The top choice for each market β for reference only, no guarantee; any bet you place on it is at your own risk. For matches with bookmaker prices the pick equals the top option of the margin-free market consensus; without prices it is the statistical model.
Pre-match template read (from pre-match data)
- The model favours Borussia Dortmund (55%); expected goals Borussia Dortmund 1.81 β 1.05 Real Betis.
- 2.87 goals expected; over/under 2.5 is close to a coin flip (over 55%).
- The single most likely score is 1:1 (11%) β any exact score is a long shot by nature; the likeliest HT/FT path is H/H (34%).
- Last five: Borussia Dortmund DWWDL (2 wins), Real Betis WDWLW (3 wins).
Probabilities include the bookmaker consensus, which already reflects public team news; the statistical-model part uses results, scores and the closing prices of past matches, not team news directly. Check official club news before kick-off.
1X2 (match result)
No prices available for this match yet β the probabilities come from the statistical model alone.
- Expected goals Β· Borussia Dortmund
- 1.81
- Expected goals Β· Real Betis
- 1.05
- Most likely score
- 1:1 (11%)
- Half-time result
- 40% / 40% / 20%
Handicap 1X2
| Handicap 1X2 | Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Real Betis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home -3 | 5.5% | 8.9% | 85.6% |
| Home -2 | 14.4% | 16.9% | 68.7% |
| Home -1β | 31.3% | 23.3% | 45.4% |
| Home +1 | 78.7% | 13.3% | 8.0% |
| Home +2 | 92.0% | 5.7% | 2.3% |
| Home +3 | 97.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
Model's balanced line: Home -1
Correct score
- 1:09.8%
- 2:09.4%
- 2:19.9%
- 3:05.7%
- 3:16.0%
- 3:23.1%
- 4:02.6%
- 4:12.7%
- 4:21.4%
- 5:00.9%
- 5:11.0%
- 5:20.5%
- Other home win1.8%
- 0:06.2%
- 1:111.4%
- 2:25.2%
- 3:31.1%
- Other draw0.1%
- 0:15.5%
- 0:23.2%
- 1:25.7%
- 0:31.1%
- 1:32.0%
- 2:31.8%
- 0:40.3%
- 1:40.5%
- 2:40.5%
- 0:50.1%
- 1:50.1%
- 2:50.1%
- Other away win0.5%
Scores outside the grid are pooled into "other home win / draw / away win".
Total goals (0β7+)
| Over / under | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 78.5% | 54.6% | 32.3% | 16.3% |
| Under | 21.5% | 45.4% | 67.7% | 83.7% |
Goals parity (3+ goals = over)
- Over, odd
- 33.5%
- Over, even
- 21.1%
- Under, odd
- 15.2%
- Under, even
- 30.2%
Both teams to score Β· Clean-sheet probability
- Both teams to score: Yes
- 55.0%
- Both teams to score: No
- 45.0%
- Clean-sheet probability Β· Borussia Dortmund
- 34.9%
- Clean-sheet probability Β· Real Betis
- 16.3%
Goals per team (0β3+)
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | 16.3% | 29.6% | 26.8% | 27.3% |
| Real Betis | 34.9% | 36.7% | 19.3% | 9.0% |
Half-time / full-time
| HT β / FT β | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | H/H 33.9% | H/D 4.9% | H/A 1.5% |
| Draw | D/H 17.8% | D/D 14.2% | D/A 8.1% |
| Away | A/H 3.0% | A/D 4.9% | A/A 11.7% |
First letter = half-time result, second = full-time result (H home, D draw, A away).
Club profiles
Borussia Dortmund
One of Germany's most successful clubs, Dortmund are a regular Bundesliga top-four side known for fast attacking football, youth development and the Yellow Wall at Signal Iduna Park.
- City
- Dortmund, Germany
- Stadium
- Signal Iduna Park
- Founded
- 1909
- Head coach
- Niko KovaΔ
Real Betis
Seville's green-and-white club, known for a passionate fanbase and technical, possession-minded football, and a regular La Liga side that won the Copa del Rey in 2022.
- City
- Seville, Spain
- Stadium
- Estadio Benito VillamarΓn
- Founded
- 1907
Compiled by Claude with a web search (checked 2026-11-06); may contain errors β the clubs' own channels are authoritative.
Market & China Sports Lottery guide β Β· League page: Champions League β