Champions League Β· Matchday 4
Viking FK vs Sabah FK prediction: 1X2, correct score, goals, HT/FT
Kick-off (UTC): Β· Model data as of 2026-11-04
Pre-match probabilities (computed from information available before kick-off): Viking FK win 45%, draw 26%, Sabah FK win 29%; the final score was 4:1.
Full time: Viking FK 4-1 Sabah FK. The pre-match pick (statistical model) was "Viking FK" β correct.
Post-match check: pre-match probabilities vs the result
| Market | Result | Pre-match probability | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Full-time result | Viking FK | 45.1% | most likely |
| Correct score | 4:1 | 1.9% | #15 of 31 |
| Total goals | 5 goals | 8.6% | #5 of 8 |
| Over/under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.7% | most likely |
| Half-time/full-time | D/H | 15.5% | #3 of 9 |
A single match says little about a forecast's quality β see the league track record for the full picture. Probabilities are for reference only.
AI picks
ModelConfidence: Medium- 1X2 (match result)Hit
- Viking FK / Sabah FK
- 74%
- Handicap 1X2 Β· Home -1Miss
- Sabah FK
- 55%
- Correct scoreMiss
- 1:1 / 2:1
- 22%
- Total goalsMiss
- 2 / 3 goals
- 47%
- Half-time / full-timeMiss
- H/H
- 27%
- Over / under 2.5Hit
- Over
- 53%
The top choice for each market β for reference only, no guarantee; any bet you place on it is at your own risk. For matches with bookmaker prices the pick equals the top option of the margin-free market consensus; without prices it is the statistical model.
Pre-match template read (from pre-match data)
- The model favours Viking FK (45%); expected goals Viking FK 1.57 β 1.21 Sabah FK.
- 2.79 goals expected; over/under 2.5 is close to a coin flip (over 53%).
- The single most likely score is 1:1 (12%) β any exact score is a long shot by nature; the likeliest HT/FT path is H/H (27%).
- Last five: Viking FK LDLWD (1 wins), Sabah FK LWLWL (2 wins).
Probabilities include the bookmaker consensus, which already reflects public team news; the statistical-model part uses results, scores and the closing prices of past matches, not team news directly. Check official club news before kick-off.
1X2 (match result)
No prices available for this match yet β the probabilities come from the statistical model alone.
- Expected goals Β· Viking FK
- 1.57
- Expected goals Β· Sabah FK
- 1.21
- Most likely score
- 1:1 (12%)
- Half-time result
- 34% / 42% / 24%
Handicap 1X2
| Handicap 1X2 | Viking FK | Draw | Sabah FK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home -3 | 3.2% | 6.3% | 90.5% |
| Home -2 | 9.5% | 13.8% | 76.7% |
| Home -1β | 23.3% | 21.8% | 54.9% |
| Home +1 | 71.2% | 16.7% | 12.1% |
| Home +2 | 87.9% | 8.2% | 3.9% |
| Home +3 | 96.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
Model's balanced line: Home -1
Correct score
- 1:09.1%
- 2:07.6%
- 2:19.3%
- 3:04.0%
- 3:14.9%
- 3:22.9%
- 4:01.6%
- 4:11.9%
- 4:21.2%
- 5:00.5%
- 5:10.6%
- 5:20.4%
- Other home win1.2%
- 0:06.8%
- 1:112.4%
- 2:25.6%
- 3:31.2%
- Other draw0.2%
- 0:16.9%
- 0:24.5%
- 1:27.1%
- 0:31.8%
- 1:32.9%
- 2:32.3%
- 0:40.6%
- 1:40.9%
- 2:40.7%
- 0:50.1%
- 1:50.2%
- 2:50.2%
- Other away win0.6%
Scores outside the grid are pooled into "other home win / draw / away win".
Total goals (0β7+)
| Over / under | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 77.3% | 52.7% | 30.5% | 15.0% |
| Under | 22.7% | 47.3% | 69.5% | 85.0% |
Goals parity (3+ goals = over)
- Over, odd
- 32.6%
- Over, even
- 20.1%
- Under, odd
- 16.0%
- Under, even
- 31.3%
Both teams to score Β· Clean-sheet probability
- Both teams to score: Yes
- 56.3%
- Both teams to score: No
- 43.7%
- Clean-sheet probability Β· Viking FK
- 29.7%
- Clean-sheet probability Β· Sabah FK
- 20.7%
Goals per team (0β3+)
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viking FK | 20.7% | 32.6% | 25.7% | 21.0% |
| Sabah FK | 29.7% | 36.1% | 21.9% | 12.3% |
Half-time / full-time
| HT β / FT β | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | H/H 27.0% | H/D 5.3% | H/A 1.9% |
| Draw | D/H 15.5% | D/D 15.4% | D/A 10.7% |
| Away | A/H 2.6% | A/D 5.3% | A/A 16.3% |
First letter = half-time result, second = full-time result (H home, D draw, A away).
Club profiles
Viking FK
Stavanger-based club and one of Norway's most decorated sides, now in the Champions League as Norwegian champions under a rare joint head-coach arrangement.
- City
- Stavanger, Norway
- Stadium
- Lyse Arena
- Founded
- 1899
- Head coach
- Bjarte Lunde Aarsheim & Morten Jensen (joint head coaches)
Sabah FK
Founded in 2017, Sabah won the 2025β26 Azerbaijan Premier League and Cup double under Valdas Dambrauskas and reached the Champions League league phase for the first time in 2026β27.
- City
- Baku (Masazir), Azerbaijan
- Stadium
- Bank Respublika Arena
- Founded
- 2017
- Head coach
- Valdas Dambrauskas
Compiled by Claude with a web search (checked 2026-11-06); may contain errors β the clubs' own channels are authoritative.
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