EFL Championship Β· Matchday 14
Preston North End vs Sheffield United prediction: 1X2, correct score, goals, HT/FT
Kick-off (UTC): Β· Model data as of 2026-11-02
Pre-match probabilities (computed from information available before kick-off): Preston North End win 25%, draw 27%, Sheffield United win 48%; the final score was 2:3.
Full time: Preston North End 2-3 Sheffield United. The pre-match pick (market consensus) was "Sheffield United" β correct.
Post-match check: pre-match probabilities vs the result
| Market | Result | Pre-match probability | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Full-time result | Sheffield United | 48.3% | most likely |
| Correct score | 2:3 | 2.9% | #12 of 31 |
| Total goals | 5 goals | 8.5% | #5 of 8 |
| Over/under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.3% | most likely |
| Half-time/full-time | A/A | 29.9% | most likely |
A single match says little about a forecast's quality β see the league track record for the full picture. Probabilities are for reference only.
AI picks
Market consensusConfidence: Medium- 1X2 (match result)Hit
- Draw / Sheffield United
- 75%
- Handicap 1X2 Β· Home +1Miss
- Preston North End
- 52%
- Correct scoreMiss
- 1:1 / 1:2
- 22%
- Total goalsMiss
- 2 / 3 goals
- 47%
- Half-time / full-timeHit
- A/A
- 30%
- Over / under 2.5Hit
- Over
- 52%
The top choice for each market β for reference only, no guarantee; any bet you place on it is at your own risk. For matches with bookmaker prices the pick equals the top option of the margin-free market consensus; without prices it is the statistical model.
Pre-match template read (from pre-match data)
- The published probabilities favour Sheffield United (48%); expected goals Preston North End 1.13 β 1.64 Sheffield United.
- 2.77 goals expected; over/under 2.5 is close to a coin flip (over 52%).
- The single most likely score is 1:1 (13%) β any exact score is a long shot by nature; the likeliest HT/FT path is A/A (30%).
- Last five: Preston North End LDLLL (0 wins), Sheffield United WDWLW (3 wins).
Probabilities include the bookmaker consensus, which already reflects public team news; the statistical-model part uses results, scores and the closing prices of past matches, not team news directly. Check official club news before kick-off.
1X2 (match result)
1X2 and over/under 2.5 on this page equal the margin-free consensus of the closing prices recorded for this match (football-data.co.uk) (the backtest found the market more accurate than our model, so the model weight is currently 0); every other market comes from the same score matrix.
- Expected goals Β· Preston North End
- 1.13
- Expected goals Β· Sheffield United
- 1.64
- Most likely score
- 1:1 (13%)
- Half-time result
- 22% / 41% / 37%
Handicap 1X2
| Handicap 1X2 | Preston North End | Draw | Sheffield United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home -3 | 0.8% | 2.3% | 96.9% |
| Home -2 | 3.1% | 7.1% | 89.8% |
| Home -1 | 10.2% | 15.0% | 74.8% |
| Home +1β | 51.7% | 22.2% | 26.0% |
| Home +2 | 74.0% | 15.0% | 11.0% |
| Home +3 | 89.0% | 7.2% | 3.8% |
Model's balanced line: Home +1
Correct score
- 1:06.1%
- 2:04.0%
- 2:16.5%
- 3:01.5%
- 3:12.5%
- 3:22.0%
- 4:00.4%
- 4:10.7%
- 4:20.6%
- 5:00.1%
- 5:10.2%
- 5:20.1%
- Other home win0.5%
- 0:07.3%
- 1:112.6%
- 2:25.4%
- 3:31.1%
- Other draw0.1%
- 0:19.3%
- 0:28.4%
- 1:29.5%
- 0:34.6%
- 1:35.2%
- 2:32.9%
- 0:41.9%
- 1:42.1%
- 2:41.2%
- 0:50.6%
- 1:50.7%
- 2:50.4%
- Other away win1.3%
Scores outside the grid are pooled into "other home win / draw / away win".
Total goals (0β7+)
| Over / under | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 77.3% | 52.3% | 30.1% | 14.7% |
| Under | 22.7% | 47.7% | 69.9% | 85.3% |
Goals parity (3+ goals = over)
- Over, odd
- 32.4%
- Over, even
- 19.9%
- Under, odd
- 15.4%
- Under, even
- 32.4%
Both teams to score Β· Clean-sheet probability
- Both teams to score: Yes
- 55.5%
- Both teams to score: No
- 44.5%
- Clean-sheet probability Β· Preston North End
- 19.4%
- Clean-sheet probability Β· Sheffield United
- 32.4%
Goals per team (0β3+)
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston North End | 32.4% | 36.5% | 20.6% | 10.5% |
| Sheffield United | 19.4% | 31.8% | 26.1% | 22.7% |
Half-time / full-time
| HT β / FT β | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | H/H 14.4% | H/D 5.4% | H/A 2.6% |
| Draw | D/H 9.2% | D/D 15.7% | D/A 15.7% |
| Away | A/H 1.6% | A/D 5.4% | A/A 29.9% |
First letter = half-time result, second = full-time result (H home, D draw, A away).
Club profiles
Preston North End
Historic Lancashire club and a founder member of the Football League, they won the first English league title in 1888β89 and play in the EFL Championship.
- City
- Preston, England
- Stadium
- Deepdale
- Founded
- 1880
- Head coach
- Graham Alexander
Sheffield United
Nicknamed the Blades, this red-and-white Sheffield club plays in the EFL Championship, reached the 2025 play-off final, and is managed by Chris Wilder, who is in his third spell in charge.
- City
- Sheffield, England
- Stadium
- Bramall Lane
- Founded
- 1889
- Head coach
- Chris Wilder
Compiled by Claude with a web search (checked 2026-11-06); may contain errors β the clubs' own channels are authoritative.
Market & China Sports Lottery guide β Β· League page: EFL Championship β