K League 1 Β· Matchday 35
Bucheon FC 1995 vs Pohang Steelers prediction: 1X2, correct score, goals, HT/FT
Kick-off (UTC): Β· Model data as of 2026-11-07
Our forecast gives Bucheon FC 1995 a 30% chance of winning, 29% for a draw and 41% for Pohang Steelers; the single most likely score is 1:1 (14%) with 2.44 total goals expected.
AI picks
Market consensusConfidence: Low (upset risk)- 1X2 (match result)
- Bucheon FC 1995 / Pohang Steelers
- 71%
- Handicap 1X2 Β· Home +1
- Bucheon FC 1995
- 59%
- Correct score
- 1:1 / 0:1
- 24%
- Total goals
- 2 / 3 goals
- 48%
- Half-time / full-time
- A/A
- 23%
- Over / under 2.5
- Under
- 56%
The top choice for each market β for reference only, no guarantee; any bet you place on it is at your own risk. For matches with bookmaker prices the pick equals the top option of the margin-free market consensus; without prices it is the statistical model.
AI pre-match analysis (written by Claude)
Bucheon 1995 host Pohang Steelers on Matchday 35 of the K League 1 Relegation Group, with both sides on seven days' rest. The hosts have lost their last five games and scored only twice in them. Reports say a win would secure their survival, though Vitor Gabriel is reportedly absent. Pohang are reported to be safe and are under interim coach Kim Sung-jae, with three straight draws behind them. Bucheon won the last two meetings, 3-0 and 2-0, after a 0-0 draw in March.
The published probabilities, a market consensus drawn from 17 bookmakers, make Pohang slight favourites at 41%, with a Bucheon win at 31% and a draw at 29%. Expected goals of 1.11β1.32 point to a tight, low-scoring game. The likeliest scores are 1:1 (14%), 0:1 (11%) and 0:0 (10%). Over 2.5 goals stands at 44% and both teams scoring at 50%.
Written Sat, Nov 7, 06:24 AM UTC from the data and prices on this page at that time; prices may have moved since.
Written automatically from the data on this page and the pre-match intel. For information only.
Probability data read (template)
- Evenly matched: Bucheon FC 1995 30%, draw 29%, Pohang Steelers 41% β no clear lean from the probabilities.
- 2.44 goals expected; over/under 2.5 is close to a coin flip (over 44%).
- The single most likely score is 1:1 (14%) β any exact score is a long shot by nature; the likeliest HT/FT path is A/A (23%).
- Last five: Bucheon FC 1995 LLLLL (0 wins), Pohang Steelers DDDLW (1 wins).
- Last 3 meetings in the dataset: Bucheon FC 1995 2 wins, 1 draws, Pohang Steelers 0 wins.
Probabilities include the bookmaker consensus, which already reflects public team news; the statistical-model part uses results, scores and the closing prices of past matches, not team news directly. Check official club news before kick-off.
1X2 (match result)
1X2 and over/under 2.5 on this page equal the margin-free consensus of 18 bookmakers (the backtest found the market more accurate than our model, so the model weight is currently 0); every other market comes from the same score matrix.
- Expected goals Β· Bucheon FC 1995
- 1.11
- Expected goals Β· Pohang Steelers
- 1.32
- Most likely score
- 1:1 (14%)
- Half-time result
- 24% / 47% / 29%
Handicap 1X2
| Handicap 1X2 | Bucheon FC 1995 | Draw | Pohang Steelers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home -3 | 0.9% | 2.9% | 96.2% |
| Home -2 | 3.8% | 8.6% | 87.6% |
| Home -1 | 12.4% | 18.0% | 69.6% |
| Home +1β | 59.4% | 21.6% | 19.0% |
| Home +2 | 81.0% | 12.2% | 6.8% |
| Home +3 | 93.2% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
Model's balanced line: Home +1
Correct score
- 1:08.9%
- 2:05.4%
- 2:17.2%
- 3:02.0%
- 3:12.7%
- 3:21.8%
- 4:00.6%
- 4:10.7%
- 4:20.5%
- 5:00.1%
- 5:10.2%
- 5:20.1%
- Other home win0.4%
- 0:09.6%
- 1:113.8%
- 2:24.7%
- 3:30.8%
- Other draw0.1%
- 0:110.7%
- 0:27.7%
- 1:28.5%
- 0:33.4%
- 1:33.8%
- 2:32.1%
- 0:41.1%
- 1:41.2%
- 2:40.7%
- 0:50.3%
- 1:50.3%
- 2:50.2%
- Other away win0.6%
Scores outside the grid are pooled into "other home win / draw / away win".
Total goals (0β7+)
| Over / under | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 70.8% | 44.0% | 22.9% | 10.1% |
| Under | 29.2% | 56.0% | 77.1% | 89.9% |
Goals parity (3+ goals = over)
- Over, odd
- 28.3%
- Over, even
- 15.7%
- Under, odd
- 19.5%
- Under, even
- 36.5%
Both teams to score Β· Clean-sheet probability
- Both teams to score: Yes
- 50.2%
- Both teams to score: No
- 49.8%
- Clean-sheet probability Β· Bucheon FC 1995
- 26.6%
- Clean-sheet probability Β· Pohang Steelers
- 32.8%
Goals per team (0β3+)
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucheon FC 1995 | 32.8% | 36.6% | 20.4% | 10.2% |
| Pohang Steelers | 26.6% | 35.2% | 23.3% | 14.8% |
Half-time / full-time
| HT β / FT β | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | H/H 16.3% | H/D 5.2% | H/A 2.2% |
| Draw | D/H 12.4% | D/D 18.6% | D/A 15.8% |
| Away | A/H 1.7% | A/D 5.2% | A/A 22.5% |
First letter = half-time result, second = full-time result (H home, D draw, A away).
Bookmaker odds (EU region)
Market consensus (margin removed): Bucheon FC 1995 30.4% Β· Draw 29.0% Β· Pohang Steelers 40.6% Β· 2.5+ 44.0%
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Over/Under | Asian handicap (home) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.08 | 3.35 | 2.42 | 2.25: 1.93 / 1.93 | +0.25: 1.83 / 2.08 |
| 1xBet | 2.96 | 3.24 | 2.36 | 2.5: 2.12 / 1.67 | 0: 2.09 / 1.68 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.00 | 3.25 | 2.40 | 2.25: 1.87 / 1.88 | 0: 2.09 / 1.70 |
| Coolbet | 3.10 | 3.25 | 2.35 | 2.5: 2.15 / 1.68 | +1: 1.24 / 3.90 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.95 | 3.24 | 2.34 | 2.5: 2.12 / 1.67 | 0: 2.09 / 1.68 |
| Matchbook | 3.15 | 3.35 | 2.40 | 2.5: 2.20 / 1.75 | +0.25: 1.82 / 2.06 |
| Betsson | 2.95 | 3.10 | 2.28 | 2.5: 2.10 / 1.65 | β |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.10 | 3.00 | 2.10 | 2.5: 2.10 / 1.64 | β |
| Nordic Bet | 2.95 | 3.10 | 2.28 | 2.5: 2.10 / 1.65 | β |
| PMU (FR) | 3.00 | 2.90 | 2.02 | 2.5: 2.00 / 1.56 | β |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.15 | 3.05 | 2.10 | 2.5: 2.10 / 1.64 | β |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.15 | 3.05 | 2.10 | 2.5: 2.10 / 1.64 | β |
| William Hill | 2.90 | 3.10 | 2.30 | 2.5: 2.10 / 1.67 | β |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.85 | 3.07 | 2.17 | β | β |
Odds updated: Sat, Nov 7, 04:20 PM UTC
Showing the 14 most-covered bookmakers of the 18 in the consensus.
Prices from European bookmakers via The Odds API, refreshed about every 2 hours. Shown for information only β not betting advice. GoalPulse links to no bookmaker and sells no bets.
Claude pre-match intel
Claude's independent view from a web search, part of a public test β it does not change the probabilities on this page.
Claude's view is that this is a motivation mismatch: Bucheon can secure K League 1 survival with a win, while Pohang are safe, drifting under interim coach Kim Sung-jae and arrived off a draining 3-3 Champions League match four days earlier. That said, Bucheon's five straight defeats and the absence of Vitor Gabriel keep their ceiling low, and the manager change and midweek game are already widely known. The news nudges things slightly toward the hosts and a tight, lower-scoring game rather than changing the picture materially.
- Bucheon FC 1995 Β· Bucheon can secure K League 1 survival with a win, whatever Gwangju (12th) do. They are 11th on 32 points. (major Β· topstarnews.net)
- Bucheon FC 1995 Β· Forward Vitor Gabriel is out injured, so the attack leans on top scorer Galego (10 goals) and Park Jung-in (2 goals in the last 3 games). (moderate Β· fourfourtwo.co.kr)
- Bucheon FC 1995 Β· Bucheon are winless in their last 10 league games (2 draws, 8 losses), including 5 straight defeats. They scored only 6 goals and kept no clean sheet in that run. (moderate Β· fourfourtwo.co.kr)
- Bucheon FC 1995 Β· Bucheon have not lost to Pohang this season (2 wins, 1 draw). They scored 5 and conceded 0, and won 3-0 at home on 22 August. (minor Β· mt.co.kr)
- Pohang Steelers Β· Pohang parted by mutual consent with manager Park Tae-ha on 30 Oct after a 5-game losing run and missing the top six. Assistant Kim Sung-jae is interim coach until the end of the year. (major Β· osen.co.kr)
- Pohang Steelers Β· Pohang drew 3-3 with Gamba Osaka at home in the AFC Champions League Elite on 4 Nov, four days before this match. That raises fatigue and rotation risk despite the listed 7 rest days, which appear to count league games only. (moderate Β· fourfourtwo.co.kr)
- Pohang Steelers Β· Pohang sit 9th in the Relegation Group and are safe from the drop. Their motivation is a reaction to the manager's exit, and they have drawn three straight league games under the interim coach. (minor Β· daily25news.com)
Collected by Claude with web search and may contain mistakes β check official club news. The intel does not change the probabilities on this page; it is part of a public test of whether it can beat the market.
Club profiles
Bucheon FC 1995
A community-owned club from Bucheon, founded in 2007 by supporters of the former Bucheon SK, which plays in the K League.
- City
- Bucheon, South Korea
- Stadium
- Bucheon Stadium
- Founded
- 2007
- Head coach
- Lee Young-min
Pohang Steelers
A K League 1 club owned by the steelmaker POSCO, the Steelers are among South Korea's most decorated sides, with several league titles and three AFC Champions League trophies.
- City
- Pohang, South Korea
- Stadium
- Pohang Steelyard
- Founded
- 1973
Compiled by Claude with a web search (checked 2026-11-06); may contain errors β the clubs' own channels are authoritative.
Recent form Β· Head to head
Bucheon FC 1995
- L@ FC Anyang1-2 Β· 11-01
- LGwangju FC0-3 Β· 10-24
- L@ Ulsan HD FC1-2 Β· 10-17
- L@ Gangwon FC0-2 Β· 10-09
- LGimcheon Sangmu FC0-2 Β· 09-19
Pohang Steelers
- DJeju SK FC1-1 Β· 11-01
- D@ Ulsan HD FC2-2 Β· 10-24
- DFC Anyang0-0 Β· 10-18
- L@ Incheon United0-3 Β· 10-09
- WFC Seoul2-1 Β· 09-20
Bucheon FC 1995 7 days rest Β· Pohang Steelers 7 days rest
Head to head
- 2026-08-22Bucheon FC 1995 3-0 Pohang SteelersK League 1
- 2026-05-17Bucheon FC 1995 2-0 Pohang SteelersK League 1
- 2026-03-22Pohang Steelers 0-0 Bucheon FC 1995K League 1
Market & China Sports Lottery guide β Β· League page: K League 1 β