MLS Β· Matchday 34
FC Dallas vs Colorado Rapids prediction: 1X2, correct score, goals, HT/FT
Kick-off (UTC): Β· Model data as of 2026-11-07
Our forecast gives FC Dallas a 48% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 26% for Colorado Rapids; the single most likely score is 1:1 (12%) with 2.95 total goals expected.
AI picks
Market consensusConfidence: Medium- 1X2 (match result)
- FC Dallas / Colorado Rapids
- 74%
- Handicap 1X2 Β· Home -1
- Colorado Rapids
- 52%
- Correct score
- 1:1 / 2:1
- 22%
- Total goals
- 2 / 3 goals
- 46%
- Half-time / full-time
- H/H
- 29%
- Over / under 2.5
- Over
- 57%
The top choice for each market β for reference only, no guarantee; any bet you place on it is at your own risk. For matches with bookmaker prices the pick equals the top option of the margin-free market consensus; without prices it is the statistical model.
AI pre-match analysis (written by Claude)
Dallas host Colorado Rapids in MLS Regular Season round 34, with both sides on seven days' rest. Dallas have two wins, two draws and one loss from their last five, while Colorado have one win, three draws and one loss. Reports suggest Dallas have little left to play for beyond holding second seed. Colorado reportedly need a win to guarantee a playoff place and have a lengthening injury list.
Our published probabilities are Dallas 45%, draw 26%, Colorado 29%. Expected goals are 1.69β1.32, and the likeliest scores are 1:1 (12%), 2:1 (9%) and 1:0 (7%). Over 2.5 goals is at 58% and both teams scoring at 61%. Dallas won the last two meetings, including 2-1 away in May.
Written Fri, Nov 6, 11:11 PM UTC from the data and prices on this page at that time; prices may have moved since.
Written automatically from the data on this page and the pre-match intel. For information only.
Probability data read (template)
- The published probabilities favour FC Dallas (48%); expected goals FC Dallas 1.73 β 1.22 Colorado Rapids.
- 2.95 goals expected; over/under 2.5 is close to a coin flip (over 57%).
- The single most likely score is 1:1 (12%) β any exact score is a long shot by nature; the likeliest HT/FT path is H/H (29%).
- Last five: FC Dallas DLWDW (2 wins), Colorado Rapids LDWDD (1 wins).
- Last 6 meetings in the dataset: FC Dallas 2 wins, 2 draws, Colorado Rapids 2 wins.
Probabilities include the bookmaker consensus, which already reflects public team news; the statistical-model part uses results, scores and the closing prices of past matches, not team news directly. Check official club news before kick-off.
1X2 (match result)
1X2 and over/under 2.5 on this page equal the margin-free consensus of 23 bookmakers (the backtest found the market more accurate than our model, so the model weight is currently 0); every other market comes from the same score matrix.
- Expected goals Β· FC Dallas
- 1.73
- Expected goals Β· Colorado Rapids
- 1.22
- Most likely score
- 1:1 (12%)
- Half-time result
- 36% / 41% / 23%
Handicap 1X2
| Handicap 1X2 | FC Dallas | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home -3 | 4.2% | 7.4% | 88.4% |
| Home -2 | 11.6% | 15.0% | 73.4% |
| Home -1β | 26.6% | 21.7% | 51.8% |
| Home +1 | 73.8% | 15.1% | 11.1% |
| Home +2 | 88.9% | 7.5% | 3.6% |
| Home +3 | 96.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
Model's balanced line: Home -1
Correct score
- 1:08.1%
- 2:07.8%
- 2:19.5%
- 3:04.5%
- 3:15.5%
- 3:23.4%
- 4:01.9%
- 4:12.4%
- 4:21.5%
- 5:00.7%
- 5:10.8%
- 5:20.5%
- Other home win1.7%
- 0:06.1%
- 1:112.0%
- 2:25.8%
- 3:31.4%
- Other draw0.2%
- 0:15.5%
- 0:23.9%
- 1:26.8%
- 0:31.6%
- 1:32.8%
- 2:32.4%
- 0:40.5%
- 1:40.8%
- 2:40.7%
- 0:50.1%
- 1:50.2%
- 2:50.2%
- Other away win0.7%
Scores outside the grid are pooled into "other home win / draw / away win".
Total goals (0β7+)
| Over / under | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 80.2% | 56.6% | 34.2% | 17.6% |
| Under | 19.8% | 43.4% | 65.8% | 82.4% |
Goals parity (3+ goals = over)
- Over, odd
- 34.4%
- Over, even
- 22.1%
- Under, odd
- 13.6%
- Under, even
- 29.8%
Both teams to score Β· Clean-sheet probability
- Both teams to score: Yes
- 58.9%
- Both teams to score: No
- 41.1%
- Clean-sheet probability Β· FC Dallas
- 29.4%
- Clean-sheet probability Β· Colorado Rapids
- 17.8%
Goals per team (0β3+)
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dallas | 17.8% | 30.7% | 26.5% | 25.0% |
| Colorado Rapids | 29.4% | 36.0% | 22.0% | 12.6% |
Half-time / full-time
| HT β / FT β | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | H/H 29.0% | H/D 5.4% | H/A 1.9% |
| Draw | D/H 16.3% | D/D 14.6% | D/A 9.8% |
| Away | A/H 3.0% | A/D 5.4% | A/A 14.6% |
First letter = half-time result, second = full-time result (H home, D draw, A away).
Bookmaker odds (EU region)
Market consensus (margin removed): FC Dallas 48.2% Β· Draw 25.5% Β· Colorado Rapids 26.2% Β· 2.5+ 56.6%
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Over/Under | Asian handicap (home) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.98 | 3.75 | 3.77 | 2.75: 1.94 / 1.92 | -0.5: 1.98 / 1.91 |
| 1xBet | 1.97 | 3.83 | 3.81 | 2.5: 1.72 / 2.23 | -1.5: 3.40 / 1.36 |
| BetAnything | 1.93 | 3.91 | 3.85 | 3: 2.22 / 1.70 | -0.5: 1.93 / 1.89 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.93 | 3.91 | 3.85 | 3: 2.10 / 1.70 | -0.5: 1.93 / 1.89 |
| Coolbet | 1.98 | 3.75 | 3.50 | 2.5: 1.68 / 2.15 | -1: 2.77 / 1.43 |
| GTbets | 1.94 | 3.75 | 3.57 | 2.5: 1.68 / 2.20 | -0.5: 1.97 / 1.81 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.89 | 3.68 | 3.65 | 2.5: 1.66 / 2.14 | 0: 1.42 / 2.70 |
| Matchbook | 2.02 | 3.80 | 3.85 | 2.5: 1.77 / 2.14 | -0.5: 2.00 / 1.91 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.97 | 3.65 | 3.55 | 2.5: 1.68 / 2.10 | -0.5: 1.93 / 1.81 |
| Betsson | 1.95 | 3.60 | 3.70 | 2.5: 1.70 / 2.12 | β |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.06 | 3.80 | 3.55 | 2.5: 1.63 / 2.23 | β |
| Nordic Bet | 1.95 | 3.60 | 3.70 | 2.5: 1.70 / 2.12 | β |
| PMU (FR) | 1.88 | 3.40 | 3.15 | 2.5: 1.53 / 2.08 | β |
| Tipico | 1.80 | 3.70 | 3.70 | 2.5: 1.62 / 2.10 | β |
Odds updated: Sat, Nov 7, 04:20 PM UTC
Showing the 14 most-covered bookmakers of the 23 in the consensus.
Prices from European bookmakers via The Odds API, refreshed about every 2 hours. Shown for information only β not betting advice. GoalPulse links to no bookmaker and sells no bets.
Claude pre-match intel
Claude's independent view from a web search, part of a public test β it does not change the probabilities on this page.
Dallas are strong at home and have little left to play for beyond holding second seed, while Colorado arrive needing a win to guarantee a playoff place despite a weak away record and a lengthening injury list. The desperate visitors should make for an open contest, so we nudge the over slightly up and keep Dallas as clear favourites, only marginally above the market given the possibility of rotation.
- FC Dallas Β· Dallas have clinched a top-four finish and home advantage in Round One. They need only a point to hold second place in the West, ahead of third-place San Jose. (moderate Β· mlssoccer.com)
- FC Dallas Β· The official MLS/club availability list has no Dallas players out, questionable or suspended. Only Kaka Scabin is on the season-ending list. (minor Β· bigdsoccer.com)
- FC Dallas Β· Sports Mole and WhoScored list forward Logan Farrington as out with a muscle injury, and he has missed five games. This conflicts with the official list, so his status is unconfirmed. (moderate Β· sportsmole.co.uk)
- FC Dallas Β· Petar Musa has 22 league goals and is second in the MLS scoring chart. Dallas have scored a club-record 56 goals this season. (moderate Β· bvmsports.com)
- FC Dallas Β· Dallas drew 1-1 at Sporting KC after having a stoppage-time penalty saved. They have lost only one home game since early August. (minor Β· beinsports.com)
- Colorado Rapids Β· Colorado sit ninth in the West on 43 points. A win clinches a playoff spot, while a draw or loss leaves them dependent on other results. (major Β· mlssoccer.com)
- Colorado Rapids Β· Defender Reggie Cannon (leg), Ibrahim Sadiq (leg) and goalkeeper Zack Steffen (shoulder) are out. Youssef Maziz is also listed out. (moderate Β· bigdsoccer.com)
- Colorado Rapids Β· Winger Georgi Minoungou is doubtful after an issue in the 4-2 loss to Chicago. He had assisted both Colorado goals in that game. (moderate Β· whoscored.com)
Collected by Claude with web search and may contain mistakes β check official club news. The intel does not change the probabilities on this page; it is part of a public test of whether it can beat the market.
Club profiles
FC Dallas
An MLS club founded as the Dallas Burn that is known for its homegrown academy approach, and it qualified for the 2026 MLS playoffs under Eric Quill.
- City
- Frisco, Texas, United States
- Stadium
- Toyota Stadium
- Founded
- 1995
- Head coach
- Eric Quill
Colorado Rapids
Founding MLS club from the Denver area and 2010 MLS Cup champions, now under Matt Wells, who has brought a possession-based approach after the team missed the 2025 playoffs.
- City
- Commerce City, Colorado, United States
- Stadium
- Dick's Sporting Goods Park
- Founded
- 1995
- Head coach
- Matt Wells
Compiled by Claude with a web search (checked 2026-11-06); may contain errors β the clubs' own channels are authoritative.
Recent form Β· Head to head
FC Dallas
- D@ Sporting Kansas City1-1 Β· 10-31
- LColumbus Crew0-2 Β· 10-29
- WSan Jose Earthquakes3-0 Β· 10-25
- D@ Houston Dynamo2-2 Β· 10-18
- WSeattle Sounders1-0 Β· 10-15
Colorado Rapids
- LChicago Fire FC2-4 Β· 11-01
- D@ San Jose Earthquakes2-2 Β· 10-29
- WVancouver Whitecaps FC1-0 Β· 10-25
- D@ Portland Timbers0-0 Β· 10-18
- DMinnesota United FC2-2 Β· 10-15
FC Dallas 7 days rest Β· Colorado Rapids 7 days rest
Head to head
- 2026-05-24Colorado Rapids 1-2 FC DallasMLS
- 2025-09-21FC Dallas 3-1 Colorado RapidsMLS
- 2025-03-02Colorado Rapids 3-3 FC DallasMLS
- 2024-09-01FC Dallas 2-3 Colorado RapidsMLS
- 2024-04-21Colorado Rapids 2-1 FC DallasMLS
- 2023-10-15FC Dallas 1-1 Colorado RapidsMLS
Market & China Sports Lottery guide β Β· League page: MLS β