MLS Β· Matchday 34
Chicago Fire FC vs Columbus Crew prediction: 1X2, correct score, goals, HT/FT
Kick-off (UTC): Β· Model data as of 2026-11-07
Our forecast gives Chicago Fire FC a 50% chance of winning, 23% for a draw and 26% for Columbus Crew; the single most likely score is 1:1 (10%) with 3.33 total goals expected.
AI picks
Market consensusConfidence: Medium- 1X2 (match result)
- Chicago Fire FC
- 50%
- Handicap 1X2 Β· Home -1
- Columbus Crew
- 50%
- Correct score
- 1:1 / 2:1
- 20%
- Total goals
- 2 / 3 goals
- 43%
- Half-time / full-time
- H/H
- 31%
- Over / under 2.5
- Over
- 65%
The top choice for each market β for reference only, no guarantee; any bet you place on it is at your own risk. For matches with bookmaker prices the pick equals the top option of the margin-free market consensus; without prices it is the statistical model.
AI pre-match analysis (written by Claude)
Chicago Fire host Columbus Crew in MLS Regular Season round 34, with both sides on seven days' rest. Chicago's last five were mixed: two wins, a draw and two defeats, with 10 goals scored and 10 conceded. Columbus arrive with five straight wins, 14 goals scored and only three conceded. Recent meetings have been close: 0-0 in March 2026, a 2-0 Chicago win in September 2025, and Columbus wins of 4-2 in February 2025 and 3-1 in May 2024.
The published probabilities, the market consensus of 23 bookmakers' odds with the margin removed, make Chicago slight favourites: home win 50%, draw 23%, away win 26%. Expected goals are 1.95β1.38, with over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams scoring at 65%. The most likely scores are 1:1 (10%), 2:1 (9%) and 2:0 (7%).
Written Sat, Nov 7, 04:22 PM UTC from the data and prices on this page at that time; prices may have moved since.
Written automatically from the data on this page and the pre-match intel. For information only.
Probability data read (template)
- The published probabilities favour Chicago Fire FC (50%); expected goals Chicago Fire FC 1.95 β 1.38 Columbus Crew.
- Goals look likely: 3.33 expected in total, 65% for over 2.5 and 65% for both teams to score.
- The single most likely score is 1:1 (10%) β any exact score is a long shot by nature; the likeliest HT/FT path is H/H (31%).
- Last five: Chicago Fire FC WDWLL (2 wins), Columbus Crew WWWWW (5 wins).
- Last 6 meetings in the dataset: Chicago Fire FC 1 wins, 1 draws, Columbus Crew 4 wins.
Probabilities include the bookmaker consensus, which already reflects public team news; the statistical-model part uses results, scores and the closing prices of past matches, not team news directly. Check official club news before kick-off.
1X2 (match result)
1X2 and over/under 2.5 on this page equal the margin-free consensus of 23 bookmakers (the backtest found the market more accurate than our model, so the model weight is currently 0); every other market comes from the same score matrix.
- Expected goals Β· Chicago Fire FC
- 1.95
- Expected goals Β· Columbus Crew
- 1.38
- Most likely score
- 1:1 (10%)
- Half-time result
- 38% / 38% / 24%
Handicap 1X2
| Handicap 1X2 | Chicago Fire FC | Draw | Columbus Crew |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home -3 | 5.5% | 8.3% | 86.2% |
| Home -2 | 13.8% | 15.4% | 70.8% |
| Home -1β | 29.2% | 20.9% | 49.9% |
| Home +1 | 73.6% | 14.6% | 11.9% |
| Home +2 | 88.1% | 7.7% | 4.2% |
| Home +3 | 95.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
Model's balanced line: Home -1
Correct score
- 1:06.2%
- 2:06.8%
- 2:19.4%
- 3:04.4%
- 3:16.1%
- 3:24.2%
- 4:02.2%
- 4:13.0%
- 4:22.1%
- 5:00.8%
- 5:11.2%
- 5:20.8%
- Other home win2.9%
- 0:04.3%
- 1:110.4%
- 2:26.5%
- 3:31.9%
- Other draw0.4%
- 0:14.2%
- 0:23.4%
- 1:26.6%
- 0:31.6%
- 1:33.1%
- 2:33.0%
- 0:40.5%
- 1:41.1%
- 2:41.0%
- 0:50.1%
- 1:50.3%
- 2:50.3%
- Other away win1.2%
Scores outside the grid are pooled into "other home win / draw / away win".
Total goals (0β7+)
| Over / under | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 85.3% | 64.7% | 42.6% | 24.3% |
| Under | 14.7% | 35.3% | 57.4% | 75.7% |
Goals parity (3+ goals = over)
- Over, odd
- 38.0%
- Over, even
- 26.6%
- Under, odd
- 10.4%
- Under, even
- 24.9%
Both teams to score Β· Clean-sheet probability
- Both teams to score: Yes
- 65.0%
- Both teams to score: No
- 35.0%
- Clean-sheet probability Β· Chicago Fire FC
- 25.2%
- Clean-sheet probability Β· Columbus Crew
- 14.2%
Goals per team (0β3+)
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Fire FC | 14.2% | 27.7% | 27.1% | 31.0% |
| Columbus Crew | 25.2% | 34.7% | 24.0% | 16.2% |
Half-time / full-time
| HT β / FT β | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | H/H 30.7% | H/D 5.5% | H/A 2.2% |
| Draw | D/H 15.9% | D/D 12.5% | D/A 9.4% |
| Away | A/H 3.5% | A/D 5.5% | A/A 14.9% |
First letter = half-time result, second = full-time result (H home, D draw, A away).
Bookmaker odds (EU region)
Market consensus (margin removed): Chicago Fire FC 50.1% Β· Draw 23.5% Β· Columbus Crew 26.4% Β· 2.5+ 64.7%
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Over/Under | Asian handicap (home) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.88 | 4.14 | 3.77 | 3.25: 1.95 / 1.92 | -0.5: 1.88 / 2.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.94 | 4.14 | 3.65 | 3.5: 2.10 / 1.80 | -1.5: 3.08 / 1.42 |
| BetAnything | 1.83 | 4.00 | 3.50 | 3.5: 2.15 / 1.74 | -0.5: 1.85 / 1.98 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.88 | 4.22 | 3.77 | 3.5: 2.05 / 1.74 | -0.5: 1.88 / 1.95 |
| Coolbet | 1.90 | 4.00 | 3.50 | 3.5: 2.10 / 1.71 | -1: 2.54 / 1.50 |
| GTbets | 1.93 | 3.95 | 3.47 | 3.5: 2.11 / 1.70 | -0.5: 1.87 / 1.92 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.86 | 3.98 | 3.50 | 3.5: 2.08 / 1.70 | 0: 1.43 / 2.66 |
| Matchbook | 1.90 | 4.40 | 3.85 | 3.5: 2.22 / 1.75 | -0.5: 1.88 / 2.04 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.85 | 4.10 | 3.65 | 3.5: 2.11 / 1.68 | -0.5: 1.81 / 1.93 |
| Betsson | 1.90 | 3.85 | 3.70 | 2.5: 1.46 / 2.68 | β |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.97 | 4.10 | 3.55 | 3.5: 2.05 / 1.74 | β |
| Nordic Bet | 1.90 | 3.85 | 3.70 | 2.5: 1.46 / 2.68 | β |
| PMU (FR) | 1.82 | 3.60 | 3.15 | 3.5: 1.92 / 1.63 | β |
| Tipico | 1.72 | 4.20 | 3.60 | 3.5: 1.93 / 1.72 | β |
Odds updated: Sat, Nov 7, 04:20 PM UTC
Showing the 14 most-covered bookmakers of the 23 in the consensus.
Prices from European bookmakers via The Odds API, refreshed about every 2 hours. Shown for information only β not betting advice. GoalPulse links to no bookmaker and sells no bets.
Club profiles
Chicago Fire FC
A Major League Soccer club from Chicago, now led by Gregg Berhalter, that reached the MLS playoffs in 2025 for the first time since 2017 and plans to move into a new stadium around 2028.
- City
- Chicago, Illinois, United States
- Stadium
- Soldier Field
- Founded
- 1997
- Head coach
- Gregg Berhalter
Columbus Crew
One of MLS's founding clubs and a three-time MLS Cup winner (1996 is not counted here; titles in 2008, 2020 and 2023), the Crew are known for possession-based football, and in 2026 they sit in the Eastern Conference wild-card places under interim coach Laurent Courtois.
- City
- Columbus, Ohio, United States
- Stadium
- ScottsMiracle-Gro Field
- Founded
- 1994
- Head coach
- Laurent Courtois (interim)
Compiled by Claude with a web search (checked 2026-11-06); may contain errors β the clubs' own channels are authoritative.
Recent form Β· Head to head
Chicago Fire FC
- W@ Colorado Rapids4-2 Β· 11-01
- DOrlando City SC2-2 Β· 10-29
- W@ Atlanta United FC3-2 Β· 10-24
- L@ New England Revolution0-1 Β· 10-17
- LPhiladelphia Union1-3 Β· 10-15
Columbus Crew
- WD.C. United3-0 Β· 10-31
- W@ FC Dallas2-0 Β· 10-29
- WToronto FC4-2 Β· 10-24
- W@ FC Cincinnati2-0 Β· 10-18
- WCharlotte FC3-1 Β· 10-14
Chicago Fire FC 7 days rest Β· Columbus Crew 7 days rest
Head to head
- 2026-03-08Columbus Crew 0-0 Chicago Fire FCMLS
- 2025-09-28Chicago Fire FC 2-0 Columbus CrewMLS
- 2025-02-23Columbus Crew 4-2 Chicago Fire FCMLS
- 2024-05-19Chicago Fire FC 1-3 Columbus CrewMLS
- 2024-03-10Columbus Crew 2-1 Chicago Fire FCMLS
- 2023-09-20Columbus Crew 3-0 Chicago Fire FCMLS
Market & China Sports Lottery guide β Β· League page: MLS β