La Liga · Matchday 11

Levante vs Atlético Madrid prediction: 1X2, correct score, goals, HT/FT

Levante
LWDDL
0 - 2
HT 0-1
Atlético Madrid
WWWWW

Kick-off (UTC): · Model data as of 2026-10-26

Pre-match probabilities (computed from information available before kick-off): Levante win 16%, draw 20%, Atlético Madrid win 65%; the final score was 0:2.

Full time: Levante 0-2 Atlético Madrid. The pre-match pick (market consensus) was "Atlético Madrid" — correct.

Post-match check: pre-match probabilities vs the result

MarketResultPre-match probabilityRank
Full-time resultAtlético Madrid64.7%most likely
Correct score0:29.5%#2 of 31
Total goals2 goals20.6%#2 of 8
Over/under 2.5Under 2.536.0%#2 of 2
Half-time/full-timeA/A42.6%most likely

A single match says little about a forecast's quality — see the league track record for the full picture. Probabilities are for reference only.

AI picks

Market consensusConfidence: High
1X2 (match result)Hit
Atlético Madrid
65%
Handicap 1X2 · Home +1Hit
Atlético Madrid
42%
Correct scoreHit
1:2 / 0:2
19%
Total goalsHit
2 / 3 goals
43%
Half-time / full-timeHit
A/A
43%
Over / under 2.5Miss
Over
64%

The top choice for each market — for reference only, no guarantee; any bet you place on it is at your own risk. For matches with bookmaker prices the pick equals the top option of the margin-free market consensus; without prices it is the statistical model.

Pre-match template read (from pre-match data)
  • The published probabilities favour Atlético Madrid (65%); expected goals Levante 1.03 – 2.26 Atlético Madrid.
  • Goals look likely: 3.30 expected in total, 64% for over 2.5 and 58% for both teams to score.
  • The single most likely score is 1:2 (10%) — any exact score is a long shot by nature; the likeliest HT/FT path is A/A (43%).
  • Last five: Levante LWDDL (1 wins), Atlético Madrid WWWWW (5 wins).

Probabilities include the bookmaker consensus, which already reflects public team news; the statistical-model part uses results, scores and the closing prices of past matches, not team news directly. Check official club news before kick-off.

1X2 (match result)

Levante 16%Draw 20%Atlético Madrid 65%

1X2 and over/under 2.5 on this page equal the margin-free consensus of the closing prices recorded for this match (football-data.co.uk) (the backtest found the market more accurate than our model, so the model weight is currently 0); every other market comes from the same score matrix.

Expected goals · Levante
1.03
Expected goals · Atlético Madrid
2.26
Most likely score
1:2 (10%)
Half-time result
16% / 35% / 48%

Handicap 1X2

Handicap 1X2LevanteDrawAtlético Madrid
Home -30.3%1.2%98.5%
Home -21.5%4.0%94.5%
Home -15.5%10.0%84.5%
Home +1≈35.3%22.4%42.3%
Home +257.7%19.4%22.9%
Home +377.1%12.5%10.4%

Model's balanced line: Home +1

Correct score

Levante · Home
  • 1:03.4%
  • 2:02.0%
  • 2:14.5%
  • 3:00.7%
  • 3:11.5%
  • 3:21.7%
  • 4:00.2%
  • 4:10.4%
  • 4:20.4%
  • 5:00.0%
  • 5:10.1%
  • 5:20.1%
  • Other home win0.5%
Draw
  • 0:04.2%
  • 1:19.1%
  • 2:25.1%
  • 3:31.3%
  • Other draw0.2%
Atlético Madrid · Away
  • 0:17.9%
  • 0:29.5%
  • 1:29.8%
  • 0:37.2%
  • 1:37.4%
  • 2:33.8%
  • 0:44.1%
  • 1:44.2%
  • 2:42.2%
  • 0:51.8%
  • 1:51.9%
  • 2:51.0%
  • Other away win4.0%

Scores outside the grid are pooled into "other home win / draw / away win".

Total goals (0–7+)

0
4.2%
1
11.3%
2
20.6%
3
22.1%
4
18.2%
5
12.0%
6
6.6%
7+
5.1%
Over / under1.52.53.54.5
Over84.5%64.0%41.9%23.7%
Under15.5%36.0%58.1%76.3%

Goals parity (3+ goals = over)

Over, odd
37.7%
Over, even
26.2%
Under, odd
11.3%
Under, even
24.7%

Both teams to score · Clean-sheet probability

Both teams to score: Yes
58.1%
Both teams to score: No
41.9%
Clean-sheet probability · Levante
10.4%
Clean-sheet probability · Atlético Madrid
35.6%

Goals per team (0–3+)

Team0123+
Levante35.6%36.8%19.0%8.6%
Atlético Madrid10.4%23.5%26.6%39.4%

Half-time / full-time

HT ↓ / FT →HomeDrawAway
Home
H/H
8.5%
H/D
4.4%
H/A
3.5%
Draw
D/H
5.8%
D/D
11.0%
D/A
18.6%
Away
A/H
1.2%
A/D
4.4%
A/A
42.6%

First letter = half-time result, second = full-time result (H home, D draw, A away).

Club profiles

Levante

Valencia-based club nicknamed the Granotes (Frogs), promoted as Segunda División champions in 2025 and finishing 16th in their 2025–26 La Liga return.

City
Valencia, Spain
Stadium
Estadi Ciutat de València
Founded
1909
Head coach
Luís Castro

Atlético Madrid

One of Spain's big three clubs and Real Madrid's city rival, Atlético are known under Diego Simeone for defensive organisation, intensity and fast counter-attacks, and they are regular La Liga top-four finishers and Champions League contenders.

City
Madrid, Spain
Stadium
Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Founded
1903
Head coach
Diego Simeone

Compiled by Claude with a web search (checked 2026-11-06); may contain errors — the clubs' own channels are authoritative.

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