Premier League Β· Matchday 10
Ipswich Town vs Bournemouth prediction: 1X2, correct score, goals, HT/FT
Kick-off (UTC): Β· Model data as of 2026-11-07
Our forecast gives Ipswich Town a 25% chance of winning, 25% for a draw and 50% for Bournemouth; the single most likely score is 1:1 (12%) with 2.93 total goals expected.
AI picks
Market consensusConfidence: Medium- 1X2 (match result)
- Bournemouth
- 50%
- Handicap 1X2 Β· Home +1
- Ipswich Town
- 50%
- Correct score
- 1:1 / 1:2
- 22%
- Total goals
- 2 / 3 goals
- 46%
- Half-time / full-time
- A/A
- 31%
- Over / under 2.5
- Over
- 56%
The top choice for each market β for reference only, no guarantee; any bet you place on it is at your own risk. For matches with bookmaker prices the pick equals the top option of the margin-free market consensus; without prices it is the statistical model.
AI pre-match analysis (written by Claude)
Ipswich Town and Bournemouth meet in Premier League round 10, with both sides on eight days' rest. Ipswich's last five brought two draws, one win and two defeats, with goals at both ends: seven scored and eight conceded. Bournemouth won three of theirs, all without conceding, but also lost 1-5 at Chelsea and 0-1 to Liverpool. Each side won one of the last two meetings, both by 2-1.
The published probabilities, which are the market consensus, make Bournemouth favourites at 50%, with the draw and an Ipswich win both at 25%. Expected goals are 1.18β1.76, and the most likely scores are 1:1 (12%), 1:2 (10%) and 0:1 (8%). Over 2.5 goals stands at 56% and both teams scoring at 58%.
Written Sat, Nov 7, 12:27 PM UTC from the data and prices on this page at that time; prices may have moved since.
Written automatically from the data on this page and the pre-match intel. For information only.
Probability data read (template)
- The published probabilities favour Bournemouth (50%); expected goals Ipswich Town 1.17 β 1.76 Bournemouth.
- 2.93 goals expected; over/under 2.5 is close to a coin flip (over 56%).
- The single most likely score is 1:1 (12%) β any exact score is a long shot by nature; the likeliest HT/FT path is A/A (31%).
- Last five: Ipswich Town DDLWL (1 wins), Bournemouth WWWLL (3 wins).
- Last 2 meetings in the dataset: Ipswich Town 1 wins, 0 draws, Bournemouth 1 wins.
Probabilities include the bookmaker consensus, which already reflects public team news; the statistical-model part uses results, scores and the closing prices of past matches, not team news directly. Check official club news before kick-off.
1X2 (match result)
1X2 and over/under 2.5 on this page equal the margin-free consensus of 25 bookmakers (the backtest found the market more accurate than our model, so the model weight is currently 0); every other market comes from the same score matrix.
- Expected goals Β· Ipswich Town
- 1.17
- Expected goals Β· Bournemouth
- 1.76
- Most likely score
- 1:1 (12%)
- Half-time result
- 22% / 39% / 39%
Handicap 1X2
| Handicap 1X2 | Ipswich Town | Draw | Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home -3 | 0.8% | 2.4% | 96.8% |
| Home -2 | 3.2% | 7.0% | 89.9% |
| Home -1 | 10.1% | 14.4% | 75.5% |
| Home +1β | 49.9% | 22.0% | 28.0% |
| Home +2 | 72.0% | 15.6% | 12.5% |
| Home +3 | 87.5% | 7.9% | 4.6% |
Model's balanced line: Home +1
Correct score
- 1:05.3%
- 2:03.7%
- 2:16.5%
- 3:01.4%
- 3:12.5%
- 3:22.2%
- 4:00.4%
- 4:10.7%
- 4:20.7%
- 5:00.1%
- 5:10.2%
- 5:20.2%
- Other home win0.6%
- 0:06.3%
- 1:112.0%
- 2:25.7%
- 3:31.3%
- Other draw0.2%
- 0:18.4%
- 0:28.2%
- 1:29.7%
- 0:34.8%
- 1:35.7%
- 2:33.3%
- 0:42.1%
- 1:42.5%
- 2:41.5%
- 0:50.7%
- 1:50.9%
- 2:50.5%
- Other away win1.8%
Scores outside the grid are pooled into "other home win / draw / away win".
Total goals (0β7+)
| Over / under | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 80.0% | 56.1% | 33.8% | 17.4% |
| Under | 20.0% | 43.9% | 66.2% | 82.6% |
Goals parity (3+ goals = over)
- Over, odd
- 34.2%
- Over, even
- 21.9%
- Under, odd
- 13.7%
- Under, even
- 30.2%
Both teams to score Β· Clean-sheet probability
- Both teams to score: Yes
- 58.2%
- Both teams to score: No
- 41.8%
- Clean-sheet probability Β· Ipswich Town
- 17.2%
- Clean-sheet probability Β· Bournemouth
- 30.9%
Goals per team (0β3+)
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich Town | 30.9% | 36.3% | 21.3% | 11.5% |
| Bournemouth | 17.2% | 30.3% | 26.6% | 25.8% |
Half-time / full-time
| HT β / FT β | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | H/H 14.1% | H/D 5.4% | H/A 2.8% |
| Draw | D/H 8.8% | D/D 14.6% | D/A 15.8% |
| Away | A/H 1.7% | A/D 5.4% | A/A 31.5% |
First letter = half-time result, second = full-time result (H home, D draw, A away).
Bookmaker odds (EU region)
Market consensus (margin removed): Ipswich Town 24.5% Β· Draw 25.4% Β· Bournemouth 50.1% Β· 2.5+ 56.1%
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Over/Under | Asian handicap (home) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 4.09 | 3.75 | 1.92 | 2.75: 1.94 / 1.94 | +0.5: 1.98 / 1.93 |
| 1xBet | 3.90 | 3.96 | 1.97 | 2.5: 1.74 / 2.27 | 0: 2.91 / 1.49 |
| BetAnything | 3.88 | 3.79 | 1.93 | 2.75: 1.91 / 1.91 | +0.5: 1.91 / 1.91 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.00 | 3.73 | 1.93 | 3: 2.08 / 1.75 | +0.5: 1.90 / 1.93 |
| Coolbet | 4.20 | 3.72 | 1.95 | 2.5: 1.77 / 2.13 | +1: 1.52 / 2.66 |
| GTbets | 3.75 | 3.72 | 1.94 | 2.5: 1.67 / 2.17 | +0.5: 1.88 / 1.89 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.80 | 3.85 | 1.92 | 2.5: 1.69 / 2.20 | 0: 2.82 / 1.44 |
| MyBookie.ag | 3.75 | 3.70 | 1.92 | 2.5: 1.68 / 2.10 | +0.5: 1.85 / 1.88 |
| Betsson | 3.87 | 3.66 | 1.92 | 2.5: 1.73 / 2.13 | β |
| Codere (IT) | 3.80 | 3.65 | 1.95 | 2.5: 1.66 / 2.05 | β |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.95 | 3.85 | 1.83 | 2.5: 1.67 / 2.23 | β |
| Matchbook | 4.20 | 3.80 | 1.98 | β | +0.5: 1.98 / 1.94 |
| Nordic Bet | 3.90 | 3.65 | 1.92 | 2.5: 1.72 / 2.12 | β |
| PMU (FR) | 3.70 | 3.60 | 1.78 | 2.5: 1.56 / 2.08 | β |
Odds updated: Sat, Nov 7, 04:20 PM UTC
Showing the 14 most-covered bookmakers of the 25 in the consensus.
Prices from European bookmakers via The Odds API, refreshed about every 2 hours. Shown for information only β not betting advice. GoalPulse links to no bookmaker and sells no bets.
Claude pre-match intel
Claude's independent view from a web search, part of a public test β it does not change the probabilities on this page.
Claude's view is that this remains clearly a Bournemouth-favoured fixture: Marco Rose's side are in superb form, with seven straight wins, and their first-choice XI is expected back after rotation in Prague. The main counterweights are a short turnaround for a thin squad and Ipswich's full week of preparation with Sasa Lukic back in midfield, but these factors are widely known and largely priced in. Ipswich's failure to keep a clean sheet all season keeps goals on the agenda.
- Ipswich Town Β· Sasa Lukic (groin) missed three league games but has trained well, and O'Neil says there is no reason he couldn't start. (moderate Β· foxsports.com)
- Ipswich Town Β· Jack Taylor (knee) is reported fit, with recent omissions put down to selection. One provider still lists him as unavailable, so his status is unclear. (minor Β· foxsports.com)
- Ipswich Town Β· Ipswich are winless in three league games, have drawn their last two, and have not kept a clean sheet this season. (moderate Β· livescore.com)
- Ipswich Town Β· Gary O'Neil is unlikely to make many changes and could name an unchanged side from the Hull draw. Emersonn is expected to keep his place up front despite not scoring in five games. (minor Β· sportsmole.co.uk)
- Bournemouth Β· Alex Toth (hamstring surgery, out until the new year), Julian Araujo (thigh) and Juanlu Sanchez (ankle ligament) are out for Bournemouth. (moderate Β· og.com)
- Bournemouth Β· Alex Scott, out about eight games with a thigh problem, is in contention to return but is not confirmed. (moderate Β· livescore.com)
- Bournemouth Β· Bournemouth played at Sparta Prague in the Europa League on Thursday (won 3-1) and are on a seven-match winning run in all competitions. They have a small squad and a congested schedule. (moderate Β· thehardtackle.com)
- Bournemouth Β· Marco Rose is expected to revert to the XI that beat Leeds after rotating for Prague. Petrovic, Silva, Truffert, Adams, Tavernier, Kluivert, Rayan and Evanilson are tipped to return. (moderate Β· sportsmole.co.uk)
Collected by Claude with web search and may contain mistakes β check official club news. The intel does not change the probabilities on this page; it is part of a public test of whether it can beat the market.
Club profiles
Ipswich Town
Suffolk club nicknamed the Tractor Boys, who returned to the Premier League for 2026-27 and play in blue and white at Portman Road under Gary O'Neil.
- City
- Ipswich, England
- Stadium
- Portman Road
- Founded
- 1878
- Head coach
- Gary O'Neil
Bournemouth
A south-coast club nicknamed the Cherries, Bournemouth finished sixth in 2025β26, their best-ever top-flight finish, and are playing in the Europa League for the first time in 2026β27 under Marco Rose.
- City
- Bournemouth, England
- Stadium
- Vitality Stadium
- Founded
- 1899
- Head coach
- Marco Rose
Compiled by Claude with a web search (checked 2026-11-06); may contain errors β the clubs' own channels are authoritative.
Recent form Β· Head to head
Ipswich Town
- D@ Hull City2-2 Β· 10-31
- DNottingham Forest1-1 Β· 10-23
- L@ Manchester City2-3 Β· 10-17
- WFulham2-1 Β· 10-10
- L@ Everton0-1 Β· 09-19
Bournemouth
- WLeeds United2-0 Β· 10-31
- W@ Manchester United3-0 Β· 10-25
- WSunderland2-0 Β· 10-18
- L@ Chelsea1-5 Β· 10-10
- LLiverpool0-1 Β· 09-20
Ipswich Town 8 days rest Β· Bournemouth 8 days rest
Head to head
- 2025-04-02Bournemouth 1-2 Ipswich TownPremier League
- 2024-12-08Ipswich Town 1-2 BournemouthPremier League
Market & China Sports Lottery guide β Β· League page: Premier League β