Bundesliga · Matchday 8
Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig prediction: 1X2, correct score, goals, HT/FT
Kick-off (UTC): · Model data as of 2026-10-26
Pre-match probabilities (computed from information available before kick-off): Schalke 04 win 24%, draw 25%, RB Leipzig win 51%; the final score was 0:2.
Full time: Schalke 04 0-2 RB Leipzig. The pre-match pick (market consensus) was "RB Leipzig" — correct.
Post-match check: pre-match probabilities vs the result
| Market | Result | Pre-match probability | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Full-time result | RB Leipzig | 50.9% | most likely |
| Correct score | 0:2 | 7.8% | #3 of 31 |
| Total goals | 2 goals | 22.8% | most likely |
| Over/under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 40.2% | #2 of 2 |
| Half-time/full-time | A/A | 31.1% | most likely |
A single match says little about a forecast's quality — see the league track record for the full picture. Probabilities are for reference only.
AI picks
Market consensusConfidence: Medium- 1X2 (match result)Hit
- RB Leipzig
- 51%
- Handicap 1X2 · Home +1Miss
- Schalke 04
- 49%
- Correct scoreMiss
- 1:1 / 1:2
- 21%
- Total goalsHit
- 2 / 3 goals
- 45%
- Half-time / full-timeHit
- A/A
- 31%
- Over / under 2.5Miss
- Over
- 60%
The top choice for each market — for reference only, no guarantee; any bet you place on it is at your own risk. For matches with bookmaker prices the pick equals the top option of the margin-free market consensus; without prices it is the statistical model.
Pre-match template read (from pre-match data)
- The published probabilities favour RB Leipzig (51%); expected goals Schalke 04 1.24 – 1.86 RB Leipzig.
- Goals look likely: 3.10 expected in total, 60% for over 2.5 and 61% for both teams to score.
- The single most likely score is 1:1 (12%) — any exact score is a long shot by nature; the likeliest HT/FT path is A/A (31%).
- Last five: Schalke 04 DLLDW (1 wins), RB Leipzig WLWLW (3 wins).
Probabilities include the bookmaker consensus, which already reflects public team news; the statistical-model part uses results, scores and the closing prices of past matches, not team news directly. Check official club news before kick-off.
1X2 (match result)
1X2 and over/under 2.5 on this page equal the margin-free consensus of the closing prices recorded for this match (football-data.co.uk) (the backtest found the market more accurate than our model, so the model weight is currently 0); every other market comes from the same score matrix.
- Expected goals · Schalke 04
- 1.24
- Expected goals · RB Leipzig
- 1.86
- Most likely score
- 1:1 (12%)
- Half-time result
- 22% / 39% / 38%
Handicap 1X2
| Handicap 1X2 | Schalke 04 | Draw | RB Leipzig |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home -3 | 0.9% | 2.5% | 96.7% |
| Home -2 | 3.3% | 7.0% | 89.7% |
| Home -1 | 10.3% | 13.8% | 75.8% |
| Home +1≈ | 49.1% | 21.4% | 29.5% |
| Home +2 | 70.5% | 15.9% | 13.6% |
| Home +3 | 86.4% | 8.4% | 5.2% |
Model's balanced line: Home +1
Correct score
- 1:04.4%
- 2:03.4%
- 2:16.4%
- 3:01.4%
- 3:12.6%
- 3:22.5%
- 4:00.4%
- 4:10.8%
- 4:20.8%
- 5:00.1%
- 5:10.2%
- 5:20.2%
- Other home win0.8%
- 0:05.7%
- 1:111.5%
- 2:26.0%
- 3:31.5%
- Other draw0.2%
- 0:17.3%
- 0:27.8%
- 1:29.7%
- 0:34.9%
- 1:36.0%
- 2:33.7%
- 0:42.3%
- 1:42.8%
- 2:41.7%
- 0:50.8%
- 1:51.0%
- 2:50.6%
- Other away win2.3%
Scores outside the grid are pooled into "other home win / draw / away win".
Total goals (0–7+)
| Over / under | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 82.6% | 59.8% | 37.5% | 20.2% |
| Under | 17.4% | 40.2% | 62.5% | 79.8% |
Goals parity (3+ goals = over)
- Over, odd
- 35.9%
- Over, even
- 23.9%
- Under, odd
- 11.7%
- Under, even
- 28.4%
Both teams to score · Clean-sheet probability
- Both teams to score: Yes
- 61.1%
- Both teams to score: No
- 38.9%
- Clean-sheet probability · Schalke 04
- 15.5%
- Clean-sheet probability · RB Leipzig
- 29.1%
Goals per team (0–3+)
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Schalke 04 | 29.1% | 35.9% | 22.2% | 12.8% |
| RB Leipzig | 15.5% | 28.9% | 26.9% | 28.6% |
Half-time / full-time
| HT ↓ / FT → | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | H/H 13.4% | H/D 5.5% | H/A 3.2% |
| Draw | D/H 8.9% | D/D 13.9% | D/A 16.6% |
| Away | A/H 1.8% | A/D 5.5% | A/A 31.1% |
First letter = half-time result, second = full-time result (H home, D draw, A away).
Club profiles
Schalke 04
A historic Ruhr-region club nicknamed the Royal Blues, Schalke are known for their passionate fanbase, their rivalry with Borussia Dortmund and seven German championships.
- City
- Gelsenkirchen, Germany
- Stadium
- Veltins-Arena
- Founded
- 1904
- Head coach
- Miron Muslić
RB Leipzig
A Red Bull-backed club founded in 2009 that rose quickly from the fifth tier to the Bundesliga and Champions League, known for intense pressing and fast vertical football; they sit around 7th in the 2026–27 Bundesliga.
- City
- Leipzig, Germany
- Stadium
- Red Bull Arena
- Founded
- 2009
- Head coach
- Martín Demichelis
Compiled by Claude with a web search (checked 2026-11-06); may contain errors — the clubs' own channels are authoritative.
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