MLS · Matchday 34
Inter Miami vs Charlotte FC prediction: 1X2, correct score, goals, HT/FT
Kick-off (UTC): · Model data as of 2026-11-07
Our forecast gives Inter Miami a 69% chance of winning, 17% for a draw and 15% for Charlotte FC; the single most likely score is 2:1 (9%) with 4.05 total goals expected.
AI picks
Market consensusConfidence: High- 1X2 (match result)
- Inter Miami
- 69%
- Handicap 1X2 · Home -1
- Inter Miami
- 49%
- Correct score
- 2:1 / 3:1
- 16%
- Total goals
- 3 / 4 goals
- 39%
- Half-time / full-time
- H/H
- 46%
- Over / under 2.5
- Over
- 77%
The top choice for each market — for reference only, no guarantee; any bet you place on it is at your own risk. For matches with bookmaker prices the pick equals the top option of the margin-free market consensus; without prices it is the statistical model.
AI pre-match analysis (written by Claude)
Inter Miami host Charlotte on the final day of the MLS regular season (round 34), with second place in the East reportedly on the line and Messi expected to start. Miami have won three of their last five, drawing one and losing one. Charlotte arrive on back-to-back 4-0 wins but have lost two of their last five and are missing several players. Miami have had six days of rest, Charlotte seven. The last four meetings were one win each and two draws.
The published probabilities make Miami clear favourites: home win 68%, draw 17%, away win 15%. Expected goals are 2.75–1.29, with over 2.5 goals at 77% and both teams scoring at 68%. The most likely scores are 2:1 (9%), 3:1 (8%) and 1:1 (7%). The figures blend our model with the consensus of 23 bookmakers.
Written Fri, Nov 6, 11:08 PM UTC from the data and prices on this page at that time; prices may have moved since.
Written automatically from the data on this page and the pre-match intel. For information only.
Probability data read (template)
- The published probabilities favour Inter Miami (69%); expected goals Inter Miami 2.78 – 1.27 Charlotte FC.
- Goals look likely: 4.05 expected in total, 77% for over 2.5 and 68% for both teams to score.
- The single most likely score is 2:1 (9%) — any exact score is a long shot by nature; the likeliest HT/FT path is H/H (46%).
- Last five: Inter Miami WDLWW (3 wins), Charlotte FC WWLDL (2 wins).
- Last 6 meetings in the dataset: Inter Miami 2 wins, 2 draws, Charlotte FC 2 wins.
Probabilities include the bookmaker consensus, which already reflects public team news; the statistical-model part uses results, scores and the closing prices of past matches, not team news directly. Check official club news before kick-off.
1X2 (match result)
1X2 and over/under 2.5 on this page equal the margin-free consensus of 23 bookmakers (the backtest found the market more accurate than our model, so the model weight is currently 0); every other market comes from the same score matrix.
- Expected goals · Inter Miami
- 2.78
- Expected goals · Charlotte FC
- 1.27
- Most likely score
- 2:1 (9%)
- Half-time result
- 52% / 31% / 17%
Handicap 1X2
| Handicap 1X2 | Inter Miami | Draw | Charlotte FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home -3 | 15.5% | 14.1% | 70.4% |
| Home -2 | 29.6% | 19.1% | 51.2% |
| Home -1≈ | 48.8% | 19.8% | 31.4% |
| Home +1 | 85.3% | 8.9% | 5.8% |
| Home +2 | 94.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Home +3 | 98.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
Model's balanced line: Home -1
Correct score
- 1:04.5%
- 2:06.7%
- 2:18.5%
- 3:06.2%
- 3:17.9%
- 3:25.0%
- 4:04.3%
- 4:15.5%
- 4:23.5%
- 5:02.4%
- 5:13.1%
- 5:21.9%
- Other home win8.9%
- 0:02.1%
- 1:16.5%
- 2:25.4%
- 3:32.1%
- Other draw0.5%
- 0:11.8%
- 0:21.4%
- 1:23.9%
- 0:30.6%
- 1:31.7%
- 2:32.3%
- 0:40.2%
- 1:40.5%
- 2:40.7%
- 0:50.0%
- 1:50.1%
- 2:50.2%
- Other away win1.2%
Scores outside the grid are pooled into "other home win / draw / away win".
Total goals (0–7+)
| Over / under | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 91.6% | 76.9% | 57.6% | 38.1% |
| Under | 8.4% | 23.1% | 42.4% | 61.9% |
Goals parity (3+ goals = over)
- Over, odd
- 42.9%
- Over, even
- 34.0%
- Under, odd
- 6.3%
- Under, even
- 16.8%
Both teams to score · Clean-sheet probability
- Both teams to score: Yes
- 67.8%
- Both teams to score: No
- 32.2%
- Clean-sheet probability · Inter Miami
- 28.1%
- Clean-sheet probability · Charlotte FC
- 6.2%
Goals per team (0–3+)
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Miami | 6.2% | 17.2% | 24.0% | 52.6% |
| Charlotte FC | 28.1% | 35.7% | 22.7% | 13.6% |
Half-time / full-time
| HT ↓ / FT → | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | H/H 46.2% | H/D 4.3% | H/A 1.5% |
| Draw | D/H 17.9% | D/D 8.1% | D/A 5.1% |
| Away | A/H 4.5% | A/D 4.3% | A/A 8.1% |
First letter = half-time result, second = full-time result (H home, D draw, A away).
Bookmaker odds (EU region)
Market consensus (margin removed): Inter Miami 68.6% · Draw 16.7% · Charlotte FC 14.7% · 2.5+ 76.9%
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Over/Under | Asian handicap (home) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.37 | 5.94 | 6.89 | 4: 1.83 / 2.05 | -1.5: 1.90 / 1.99 |
| 1xBet | 1.40 | 6.00 | 6.75 | 4.5: 2.20 / 1.73 | -1.5: 1.93 / 1.95 |
| BetAnything | 1.37 | 5.75 | 6.75 | 4: 1.82 / 2.02 | -1.5: 1.88 / 1.93 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.38 | 5.98 | 7.00 | 4: 1.83 / 1.98 | -1.5: 1.88 / 1.93 |
| Coolbet | 1.35 | 5.75 | 6.75 | 4: 1.78 / 2.01 | -1.5: 1.89 / 1.89 |
| GTbets | 1.45 | 5.57 | 6.58 | 4.5: 2.22 / 1.65 | -1.5: 1.88 / 1.86 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.36 | 5.55 | 6.25 | 3.5: 1.54 / 2.38 | -1.5: 1.87 / 1.87 |
| Matchbook | 1.40 | 6.00 | 7.20 | 4.5: 2.30 / 1.69 | -1.5: 1.91 / 1.99 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.34 | 6.00 | 6.60 | 4.5: 2.20 / 1.62 | -1.5: 1.80 / 1.94 |
| Betsson | 1.36 | 5.70 | 6.80 | 4.5: 2.18 / 1.65 | – |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.42 | 5.75 | 6.50 | 4.5: 2.20 / 1.65 | – |
| Nordic Bet | 1.36 | 5.70 | 6.80 | 4.5: 2.18 / 1.65 | – |
| PMU (FR) | 1.32 | 4.90 | 5.60 | 4.5: 2.05 / 1.54 | – |
| Tipico | 1.30 | 5.70 | 6.50 | 4.5: 2.15 / 1.60 | – |
Odds updated: Sat, Nov 7, 04:20 PM UTC
Showing the 14 most-covered bookmakers of the 23 in the consensus.
Prices from European bookmakers via The Odds API, refreshed about every 2 hours. Shown for information only — not betting advice. GoalPulse links to no bookmaker and sells no bets.
Claude pre-match intel
Claude's independent view from a web search, part of a public test — it does not change the probabilities on this page.
(Claude's experimental view; does not change this page) Inter Miami are strong favourites at home on the final day with Messi expected to start and second place in the East on the line, and the bookmakers already reflect that at around 68%. Charlotte come in with consecutive 4-0 wins but have several absentees, so we only shade marginally toward our model, which is slightly less sure of a Miami win. With both attacks in form and Miami's home record, a high-scoring game remains the most likely outcome.
- Inter Miami · Tadeo Allende, Fricio Caicedo (knee) and Mateo Silvetti are unavailable; coach Kily González otherwise has a relatively healthy squad. (minor · sportsmole.co.uk)
- Inter Miami · Messi leads the Golden Boot race with 26-27 goals and is expected to start; Suárez, Ayala and Reguilón could be recalled in the XI. (moderate · 101greatgoals.com)
- Inter Miami · Miami are already in the playoffs and can tie up second place in the East with a win on the final day. They are unbeaten in seven home games, with 21 goals scored. (moderate · news.bet365.com)
- Charlotte FC · Nimfasha Berchimas, Will Cleary (illness), Archie Goodwin, Aron John and Tim Ream are listed as sidelined. Khelnow lists only Berchimas, Cleary and John. (moderate · sportsmole.co.uk)
- Charlotte FC · Charlotte are already in the playoffs and arrive after consecutive 4-0 wins (Montreal, Orlando). David Schnegg and Ashley Westwood are one yellow card from a suspension, which does not affect this match. (minor · sportsmole.co.uk)
Collected by Claude with web search and may contain mistakes — check official club news. The intel does not change the probabilities on this page; it is part of a public test of whether it can beat the market.
Club profiles
Inter Miami
Co-owned by David Beckham and the Mas family, Inter Miami are the reigning MLS Cup champions (2025) and 2026 Campeones Cup winners. Their attack is led by Lionel Messi, and they moved into the new Nu Stadium in April 2026.
- City
- Miami, United States
- Stadium
- Nu Stadium
- Founded
- 2018
- Head coach
- Kily González
Charlotte FC
Charlotte FC is an MLS expansion club in the Eastern Conference. It was awarded its franchise in 2019 and joined the league in 2022. It shares Bank of America Stadium with the NFL's Carolina Panthers and has been a regular playoff contender under Dean Smith.
- City
- Charlotte, North Carolina, United States
- Stadium
- Bank of America Stadium
- Founded
- 2019
- Head coach
- Dean Smith
Compiled by Claude with a web search (checked 2026-11-06); may contain errors — the clubs' own channels are authoritative.
Recent form · Head to head
Inter Miami
- W@ New England Revolution2-1 · 11-02
- DFC Cincinnati2-2 · 10-28
- L@ New York Red Bulls0-2 · 10-24
- W@ Atlanta United FC3-1 · 10-17
- WNew York City FC2-0 · 10-14
Charlotte FC
- WOrlando City SC4-0 · 10-31
- WCF Montréal4-0 · 10-28
- L@ Portland Timbers2-3 · 10-25
- D@ Philadelphia Union2-2 · 10-17
- L@ Columbus Crew1-3 · 10-14
Inter Miami 6 days rest · Charlotte FC 7 days rest
Head to head
- 2026-03-14Charlotte FC 0-0 Inter MiamiMLS
- 2025-09-13Charlotte FC 3-0 Inter MiamiMLS
- 2025-03-09Inter Miami 1-0 Charlotte FCMLS
- 2024-09-28Inter Miami 1-1 Charlotte FCMLS
- 2024-07-03Charlotte FC 1-2 Inter MiamiMLS
- 2023-10-22Charlotte FC 1-0 Inter MiamiMLS