Bundesliga Β· Matchday 8
Werder Bremen vs Hoffenheim prediction: 1X2, correct score, goals, HT/FT
Kick-off (UTC): Β· Model data as of 2026-10-26
Pre-match probabilities (computed from information available before kick-off): Werder Bremen win 40%, draw 25%, Hoffenheim win 35%; the final score was 2:0.
Full time: Werder Bremen 2-0 Hoffenheim. The pre-match pick (market consensus) was "Werder Bremen" β correct.
Post-match check: pre-match probabilities vs the result
| Market | Result | Pre-match probability | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Full-time result | Werder Bremen | 40.2% | most likely |
| Correct score | 2:0 | 5.1% | #5 of 31 |
| Total goals | 2 goals | 20.0% | #2 of 8 |
| Over/under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 33.0% | #2 of 2 |
| Half-time/full-time | D/H | 13.1% | #3 of 9 |
A single match says little about a forecast's quality β see the league track record for the full picture. Probabilities are for reference only.
AI picks
Market consensusConfidence: Low (upset risk)- 1X2 (match result)Hit
- Werder Bremen / Hoffenheim
- 75%
- Handicap 1X2 Β· Home -1Miss
- Hoffenheim
- 60%
- Correct scoreMiss
- 1:1 / 2:1
- 19%
- Total goalsHit
- 2 / 3 goals
- 42%
- Half-time / full-timeMiss
- H/H
- 24%
- Over / under 2.5Miss
- Over
- 67%
The top choice for each market β for reference only, no guarantee; any bet you place on it is at your own risk. For matches with bookmaker prices the pick equals the top option of the margin-free market consensus; without prices it is the statistical model.
Pre-match template read (from pre-match data)
- Evenly matched: Werder Bremen 40%, draw 25%, Hoffenheim 35% β no clear lean from the probabilities.
- Goals look likely: 3.45 expected in total, 67% for over 2.5 and 69% for both teams to score.
- The single most likely score is 1:1 (10%) β any exact score is a long shot by nature; the likeliest HT/FT path is H/H (24%).
- Last five: Werder Bremen WDDWD (2 wins), Hoffenheim WWLLW (3 wins).
Probabilities include the bookmaker consensus, which already reflects public team news; the statistical-model part uses results, scores and the closing prices of past matches, not team news directly. Check official club news before kick-off.
1X2 (match result)
1X2 and over/under 2.5 on this page equal the margin-free consensus of the closing prices recorded for this match (football-data.co.uk) (the backtest found the market more accurate than our model, so the model weight is currently 0); every other market comes from the same score matrix.
- Expected goals Β· Werder Bremen
- 1.78
- Expected goals Β· Hoffenheim
- 1.67
- Most likely score
- 1:1 (10%)
- Half-time result
- 33% / 37% / 30%
Handicap 1X2
| Handicap 1X2 | Werder Bremen | Draw | Hoffenheim |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home -3 | 3.4% | 6.0% | 90.5% |
| Home -2 | 9.5% | 12.3% | 78.2% |
| Home -1β | 21.8% | 18.4% | 59.8% |
| Home +1 | 64.7% | 17.1% | 18.2% |
| Home +2 | 81.8% | 10.7% | 7.4% |
| Home +3 | 92.6% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
Model's balanced line: Home -1
Correct score
- 1:04.6%
- 2:05.1%
- 2:18.4%
- 3:03.0%
- 3:15.0%
- 3:24.2%
- 4:01.3%
- 4:12.2%
- 4:21.9%
- 5:00.5%
- 5:10.8%
- 5:20.7%
- Other home win2.5%
- 0:04.2%
- 1:110.5%
- 2:27.0%
- 3:32.3%
- Other draw0.5%
- 0:14.2%
- 0:24.4%
- 1:27.9%
- 0:32.4%
- 1:34.4%
- 2:33.9%
- 0:41.0%
- 1:41.8%
- 2:41.6%
- 0:50.3%
- 1:50.6%
- 2:50.5%
- Other away win2.1%
Scores outside the grid are pooled into "other home win / draw / away win".
Total goals (0β7+)
| Over / under | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 86.9% | 67.0% | 45.3% | 26.5% |
| Under | 13.1% | 33.0% | 54.7% | 73.5% |
Goals parity (3+ goals = over)
- Over, odd
- 39.0%
- Over, even
- 28.0%
- Under, odd
- 8.8%
- Under, even
- 24.2%
Both teams to score Β· Clean-sheet probability
- Both teams to score: Yes
- 68.5%
- Both teams to score: No
- 31.5%
- Clean-sheet probability Β· Werder Bremen
- 18.9%
- Clean-sheet probability Β· Hoffenheim
- 16.8%
Goals per team (0β3+)
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Werder Bremen | 16.8% | 30.0% | 26.7% | 26.5% |
| Hoffenheim | 18.9% | 31.5% | 26.2% | 23.4% |
Half-time / full-time
| HT β / FT β | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | H/H 24.0% | H/D 6.0% | H/A 2.9% |
| Draw | D/H 13.1% | D/D 12.6% | D/A 11.7% |
| Away | A/H 3.2% | A/D 6.0% | A/A 20.7% |
First letter = half-time result, second = full-time result (H home, D draw, A away).
Club profiles
Werder Bremen
A historic northern German club with four Bundesliga titles (1965, 1988 excluded; 1993, 1994, 2004), Werder Bremen has recently been a lower-to-mid-table Bundesliga side playing at the Weserstadion.
- City
- Bremen, Germany
- Stadium
- Weserstadion
- Founded
- 1899
- Head coach
- Daniel Thioune
Hoffenheim
A Bundesliga club from the Kraichgau area near Sinsheim, long backed by Dietmar Hopp, which finished 5th in 2025β26 and qualified for the Europa League.
- City
- Sinsheim, Germany
- Stadium
- SNP Arena
- Founded
- 1899
- Head coach
- Christian Ilzer
Compiled by Claude with a web search (checked 2026-11-06); may contain errors β the clubs' own channels are authoritative.
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