Brasileirão Série A · Matchday 34

São Paulo FC vs Corinthians prediction: 1X2, correct score, goals, HT/FT

São Paulo FC
LDWWL
0 - 0
HT 0-0
Corinthians
WLDLL

Kick-off (UTC): · Model data as of 2026-11-02

Pre-match probabilities (computed from information available before kick-off): São Paulo FC win 38%, draw 31%, Corinthians win 32%; the final score was 0:0.

Full time: São Paulo FC 0-0 Corinthians. The pre-match pick (market consensus) was "São Paulo FC" — missed.

Post-match check: pre-match probabilities vs the result

MarketResultPre-match probabilityRank
Full-time resultDraw30.7%#3 of 3
Correct score0:010.6%#2 of 31
Total goals0 goals10.6%#5 of 8
Over/under 2.5Under 2.556.8%most likely
Half-time/full-timeD/D19.7%#2 of 9

A single match says little about a forecast's quality — see the league track record for the full picture. Probabilities are for reference only.

AI picks

Market consensusConfidence: Low (upset risk)
1X2 (match result)Miss
São Paulo FC / Corinthians
69%
Handicap 1X2 · Home -1Hit
Corinthians
62%
Correct scoreHit
1:1 / 0:0
25%
Total goalsMiss
2 / 3 goals
49%
Half-time / full-timeMiss
H/H
22%
Over / under 2.5Hit
Under
57%

The top choice for each market — for reference only, no guarantee; any bet you place on it is at your own risk. For matches with bookmaker prices the pick equals the top option of the margin-free market consensus; without prices it is the statistical model.

Pre-match template read (from pre-match data)
  • Evenly matched: São Paulo FC 38%, draw 31%, Corinthians 32% — no clear lean from the probabilities.
  • 2.41 goals expected; over/under 2.5 is close to a coin flip (over 43%).
  • The single most likely score is 1:1 (15%) — any exact score is a long shot by nature; the likeliest HT/FT path is H/H (22%).
  • Last five: São Paulo FC LDWWL (2 wins), Corinthians WLDLL (1 wins).
  • A 31% draw probability is on the high side — the profile where 1X2 upsets cluster.

Probabilities include the bookmaker consensus, which already reflects public team news; the statistical-model part uses results, scores and the closing prices of past matches, not team news directly. Check official club news before kick-off.

1X2 (match result)

São Paulo FC 38%Draw 31%Corinthians 32%

1X2 and over/under 2.5 on this page equal the margin-free consensus of the closing prices recorded for this match (football-data.co.uk) (the backtest found the market more accurate than our model, so the model weight is currently 0); every other market comes from the same score matrix.

Expected goals · São Paulo FC
1.26
Expected goals · Corinthians
1.14
Most likely score
1:1 (15%)
Half-time result
29% / 46% / 25%

Handicap 1X2

Handicap 1X2São Paulo FCDrawCorinthians
Home -31.7%4.3%94.0%
Home -26.0%11.4%82.7%
Home -1≈17.3%20.3%62.4%
Home +168.3%18.2%13.5%
Home +286.5%9.3%4.2%
Home +395.8%3.2%1.1%

Model's balanced line: Home -1

Correct score

São Paulo FC · Home
  • 1:09.8%
  • 2:07.2%
  • 2:18.2%
  • 3:03.0%
  • 3:13.5%
  • 3:22.0%
  • 4:01.0%
  • 4:11.1%
  • 4:20.6%
  • 5:00.2%
  • 5:10.3%
  • 5:20.2%
  • Other home win0.5%
Draw
  • 0:010.6%
  • 1:114.6%
  • 2:24.7%
  • 3:30.8%
  • Other draw0.1%
Corinthians · Away
  • 0:18.7%
  • 0:25.9%
  • 1:27.4%
  • 0:32.2%
  • 1:32.8%
  • 2:31.8%
  • 0:40.6%
  • 1:40.8%
  • 2:40.5%
  • 0:50.1%
  • 1:50.2%
  • 2:50.1%
  • Other away win0.4%

Scores outside the grid are pooled into "other home win / draw / away win".

Total goals (0–7+)

0
10.6%
1
18.5%
2
27.7%
3
20.9%
4
12.6%
5
6.1%
6
2.4%
7+
1.2%
Over / under1.52.53.54.5
Over70.9%43.2%22.3%9.7%
Under29.1%56.8%77.7%90.3%

Goals parity (3+ goals = over)

Over, odd
27.9%
Over, even
15.3%
Under, odd
18.5%
Under, even
38.3%

Both teams to score · Clean-sheet probability

Both teams to score: Yes
50.4%
Both teams to score: No
49.6%
Clean-sheet probability · São Paulo FC
31.9%
Clean-sheet probability · Corinthians
28.3%

Goals per team (0–3+)

Team0123+
São Paulo FC28.3%35.7%22.6%13.5%
Corinthians31.9%36.4%20.8%10.8%

Half-time / full-time

HT ↓ / FT →HomeDrawAway
Home
H/H
21.7%
H/D
5.5%
H/A
1.7%
Draw
D/H
13.9%
D/D
19.7%
D/A
12.1%
Away
A/H
1.9%
A/D
5.5%
A/A
17.9%

First letter = half-time result, second = full-time result (H home, D draw, A away).

Club profiles

São Paulo FC

One of Brazil's most successful clubs, with three Copa Libertadores titles and three Club World Cup-era world titles, São Paulo plays in the Brasileirão Série A and is known as the Tricolor Paulista.

City
São Paulo, Brazil
Stadium
Estádio do Morumbi (Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo)
Founded
1930

Corinthians

One of Brazil's biggest and most popular clubs, based in São Paulo and nicknamed Timão, it recently won the Copa do Brasil and Supercopa do Brasil but has been struggling near the relegation zone in the 2026 Série A.

City
São Paulo, Brazil
Stadium
Neo Química Arena
Founded
1910
Head coach
Clarence Seedorf

Compiled by Claude with a web search (checked 2026-11-06); may contain errors — the clubs' own channels are authoritative.

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