K League 1 Β· Matchday 34

FC Seoul vs Incheon United prediction: 1X2, correct score, goals, HT/FT

FC Seoul
DDWLW
0 - 1
HT 0-0
Incheon United
WDWDD

Kick-off (UTC): Β· Model data as of 2026-10-26

Pre-match probabilities (computed from information available before kick-off): FC Seoul win 45%, draw 29%, Incheon United win 26%; the final score was 0:1.

Full time: FC Seoul 0-1 Incheon United. The pre-match pick (statistical model) was "FC Seoul" β€” missed.

Post-match check: pre-match probabilities vs the result

MarketResultPre-match probabilityRank
Full-time resultIncheon United25.9%#3 of 3
Correct score0:17.1%#6 of 31
Total goals1 goals17.5%#3 of 8
Over/under 2.5Under 2.554.3%most likely
Half-time/full-timeD/A10.8%#5 of 9

A single match says little about a forecast's quality β€” see the league track record for the full picture. Probabilities are for reference only.

AI picks

ModelConfidence: Low (upset risk)
1X2 (match result)Miss
FC Seoul / Draw
74%
Handicap 1X2 Β· Home -1Hit
Incheon United
55%
Correct scoreMiss
1:1 / 1:0
24%
Total goalsMiss
2 / 3 goals
49%
Half-time / full-timeMiss
H/H
25%
Over / under 2.5Hit
Under
54%

The top choice for each market β€” for reference only, no guarantee; any bet you place on it is at your own risk. For matches with bookmaker prices the pick equals the top option of the margin-free market consensus; without prices it is the statistical model.

Pre-match template read (from pre-match data)
  • The model favours FC Seoul (45%); expected goals FC Seoul 1.45 – 1.05 Incheon United.
  • 2.50 goals expected; over/under 2.5 is close to a coin flip (over 46%).
  • The single most likely score is 1:1 (14%) β€” any exact score is a long shot by nature; the likeliest HT/FT path is H/H (25%).
  • Last five: FC Seoul DDWLW (2 wins), Incheon United WDWDD (2 wins).
  • A 29% draw probability is on the high side β€” the profile where 1X2 upsets cluster.

Probabilities include the bookmaker consensus, which already reflects public team news; the statistical-model part uses results, scores and the closing prices of past matches, not team news directly. Check official club news before kick-off.

1X2 (match result)

FC Seoul 45%Draw 29%Incheon United 26%

No prices available for this match yet β€” the probabilities come from the statistical model alone.

Expected goals Β· FC Seoul
1.45
Expected goals Β· Incheon United
1.05
Most likely score
1:1 (14%)
Half-time result
32% / 47% / 21%

Handicap 1X2

Handicap 1X2FC SeoulDrawIncheon United
Home -32.8%6.0%91.2%
Home -28.8%13.9%77.3%
Home -1β‰ˆ22.7%22.1%55.2%
Home +174.1%15.6%10.3%
Home +289.7%7.3%3.0%
Home +397.0%2.3%0.7%

Model's balanced line: Home -1

Correct score

FC Seoul Β· Home
  • 1:010.4%
  • 2:08.6%
  • 2:19.1%
  • 3:04.2%
  • 3:14.4%
  • 3:22.3%
  • 4:01.5%
  • 4:11.6%
  • 4:20.8%
  • 5:00.4%
  • 5:10.5%
  • 5:20.2%
  • Other home win0.8%
Draw
  • 0:09.7%
  • 1:114.0%
  • 2:24.8%
  • 3:30.8%
  • Other draw0.1%
Incheon United Β· Away
  • 0:17.1%
  • 0:24.5%
  • 1:26.6%
  • 0:31.6%
  • 1:32.3%
  • 2:31.7%
  • 0:40.4%
  • 1:40.6%
  • 2:40.4%
  • 0:50.1%
  • 1:50.1%
  • 2:50.1%
  • Other away win0.4%

Scores outside the grid are pooled into "other home win / draw / away win".

Total goals (0–7+)

0
9.7%
1
17.5%
2
27.1%
3
21.4%
4
13.4%
5
6.7%
6
2.8%
7+
1.4%
Over / under1.52.53.54.5
Over72.9%45.7%24.3%10.9%
Under27.1%54.3%75.7%89.1%

Goals parity (3+ goals = over)

Over, odd
29.2%
Over, even
16.5%
Under, odd
17.5%
Under, even
36.8%

Both teams to score Β· Clean-sheet probability

Both teams to score: Yes
51.4%
Both teams to score: No
48.6%
Clean-sheet probability Β· FC Seoul
34.9%
Clean-sheet probability Β· Incheon United
23.4%

Goals per team (0–3+)

Team0123+
FC Seoul23.4%34.0%24.7%17.9%
Incheon United34.9%36.7%19.3%9.0%

Half-time / full-time

HT ↓ / FT β†’HomeDrawAway
Home
H/H
25.1%
H/D
5.3%
H/A
1.6%
Draw
D/H
17.3%
D/D
18.7%
D/A
10.8%
Away
A/H
2.4%
A/D
5.3%
A/A
13.5%

First letter = half-time result, second = full-time result (H home, D draw, A away).

Club profiles

FC Seoul

FC Seoul is one of the best-known and most successful clubs in the K League, based in the capital and playing at Seoul World Cup Stadium, and it also competes in the AFC Champions League Elite under Kim Ki-dong.

City
Seoul, South Korea
Stadium
Seoul World Cup Stadium
Founded
1983
Head coach
Kim Ki-dong

Incheon United

Incheon's fan-owned-style community club won the 2025 K League 2 title under Yoon Jeong-hwan to return to the top flight, and it has spent 2026 in the K League 1 upper-middle table.

City
Incheon, South Korea
Stadium
Incheon Football Stadium
Founded
2003
Head coach
Yoon Jeong-hwan

Compiled by Claude with a web search (checked 2026-11-06); may contain errors β€” the clubs' own channels are authoritative.

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