Serie A Β· Matchday 10

Frosinone vs Torino prediction: 1X2, correct score, goals, HT/FT

Frosinone
WDWLW
2 - 0
HT 0-0
Torino
LWWWD

Kick-off (UTC): Β· Model data as of 2026-10-26

Pre-match probabilities (computed from information available before kick-off): Frosinone win 45%, draw 24%, Torino win 31%; the final score was 2:0.

Full time: Frosinone 2-0 Torino. The pre-match pick (market consensus) was "Frosinone" β€” correct.

Post-match check: pre-match probabilities vs the result

MarketResultPre-match probabilityRank
Full-time resultFrosinone45.5%most likely
Correct score2:05.5%#6 of 31
Total goals2 goals19.2%#2 of 8
Over/under 2.5Under 2.531.1%#2 of 2
Half-time/full-timeD/H14.1%#3 of 9

A single match says little about a forecast's quality β€” see the league track record for the full picture. Probabilities are for reference only.

AI picks

Market consensusConfidence: Medium
1X2 (match result)Hit
Frosinone / Torino
76%
Handicap 1X2 Β· Home -1Miss
Torino
55%
Correct scoreMiss
1:1 / 2:1
19%
Total goalsHit
2 / 3 goals
41%
Half-time / full-timeMiss
H/H
28%
Over / under 2.5Miss
Over
69%

The top choice for each market β€” for reference only, no guarantee; any bet you place on it is at your own risk. For matches with bookmaker prices the pick equals the top option of the margin-free market consensus; without prices it is the statistical model.

Pre-match template read (from pre-match data)
  • The published probabilities favour Frosinone (45%); expected goals Frosinone 1.96 – 1.59 Torino.
  • Goals look likely: 3.56 expected in total, 69% for over 2.5 and 70% for both teams to score.
  • The single most likely score is 1:1 (10%) β€” any exact score is a long shot by nature; the likeliest HT/FT path is H/H (28%).
  • Last five: Frosinone WDWLW (3 wins), Torino LWWWD (3 wins).

Probabilities include the bookmaker consensus, which already reflects public team news; the statistical-model part uses results, scores and the closing prices of past matches, not team news directly. Check official club news before kick-off.

1X2 (match result)

Frosinone 45%Draw 24%Torino 31%

1X2 and over/under 2.5 on this page equal the margin-free consensus of the closing prices recorded for this match (football-data.co.uk) (the backtest found the market more accurate than our model, so the model weight is currently 0); every other market comes from the same score matrix.

Expected goals Β· Frosinone
1.96
Expected goals Β· Torino
1.59
Most likely score
1:1 (10%)
Half-time result
36% / 36% / 27%

Handicap 1X2

Handicap 1X2FrosinoneDrawTorino
Home -34.8%7.5%87.7%
Home -212.3%14.0%73.7%
Home -1β‰ˆ26.3%19.2%54.5%
Home +169.5%15.4%15.2%
Home +284.8%9.2%5.9%
Home +394.1%4.0%1.9%

Model's balanced line: Home -1

Correct score

Frosinone Β· Home
  • 1:04.5%
  • 2:05.5%
  • 2:18.8%
  • 3:03.6%
  • 3:15.7%
  • 3:24.6%
  • 4:01.8%
  • 4:12.8%
  • 4:22.2%
  • 5:00.7%
  • 5:11.1%
  • 5:20.9%
  • Other home win3.4%
Draw
  • 0:04.0%
  • 1:110.1%
  • 2:27.0%
  • 3:32.4%
  • Other draw0.5%
Torino Β· Away
  • 0:13.4%
  • 0:23.6%
  • 1:27.1%
  • 0:31.9%
  • 1:33.8%
  • 2:33.7%
  • 0:40.8%
  • 1:41.5%
  • 2:41.5%
  • 0:50.2%
  • 1:50.5%
  • 2:50.5%
  • Other away win2.0%

Scores outside the grid are pooled into "other home win / draw / away win".

Total goals (0–7+)

0
4.0%
1
7.9%
2
19.2%
3
21.4%
4
19.0%
5
13.5%
6
8.0%
7+
7.0%
Over / under1.52.53.54.5
Over88.1%68.9%47.6%28.5%
Under11.9%31.1%52.4%71.5%

Goals parity (3+ goals = over)

Over, odd
39.8%
Over, even
29.1%
Under, odd
7.9%
Under, even
23.2%

Both teams to score Β· Clean-sheet probability

Both teams to score: Yes
69.6%
Both teams to score: No
30.4%
Clean-sheet probability Β· Frosinone
20.3%
Clean-sheet probability Β· Torino
14.1%

Goals per team (0–3+)

Team0123+
Frosinone14.1%27.6%27.1%31.3%
Torino20.3%32.4%25.8%21.5%

Half-time / full-time

HT ↓ / FT β†’HomeDrawAway
Home
H/H
27.8%
H/D
5.9%
H/A
2.6%
Draw
D/H
14.1%
D/D
12.1%
D/A
10.2%
Away
A/H
3.5%
A/D
5.9%
A/A
17.7%

First letter = half-time result, second = full-time result (H home, D draw, A away).

Club profiles

Frosinone

A Lazio-based club that returned to Serie A for 2026–27, Frosinone play a courageous, intense, front-foot style.

City
Frosinone, Italy
Stadium
Stadio Benito Stirpe
Founded
1928
Head coach
Massimiliano Alvini

Torino

Torino is a historic Turin club known as Il Toro, seven-time Italian champions led by the Grande Torino side of the 1940s, and in recent years a mid-table Serie A team (12th in 2025–26).

City
Turin, Italy
Stadium
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Founded
1906
Head coach
Ignazio Abate

Compiled by Claude with a web search (checked 2026-11-06); may contain errors β€” the clubs' own channels are authoritative.

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