EFL Championship Β· Matchday 14
Bristol City vs Wolves prediction: 1X2, correct score, goals, HT/FT
Kick-off (UTC): Β· Model data as of 2026-11-02
Pre-match probabilities (computed from information available before kick-off): Bristol City win 26%, draw 27%, Wolves win 47%; the final score was 1:2.
Full time: Bristol City 1-2 Wolves. The pre-match pick (market consensus) was "Wolves" β correct.
Post-match check: pre-match probabilities vs the result
| Market | Result | Pre-match probability | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Full-time result | Wolves | 47.0% | most likely |
| Correct score | 1:2 | 9.4% | #3 of 31 |
| Total goals | 3 goals | 22.0% | #2 of 8 |
| Over/under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.1% | most likely |
| Half-time/full-time | H/A | 2.5% | #8 of 9 |
A single match says little about a forecast's quality β see the league track record for the full picture. Probabilities are for reference only.
AI picks
Market consensusConfidence: Medium- 1X2 (match result)Hit
- Draw / Wolves
- 74%
- Handicap 1X2 Β· Home +1Miss
- Bristol City
- 53%
- Correct scoreMiss
- 1:1 / 0:1
- 23%
- Total goalsHit
- 2 / 3 goals
- 47%
- Half-time / full-timeMiss
- A/A
- 29%
- Over / under 2.5Hit
- Over
- 50%
The top choice for each market β for reference only, no guarantee; any bet you place on it is at your own risk. For matches with bookmaker prices the pick equals the top option of the margin-free market consensus; without prices it is the statistical model.
Pre-match template read (from pre-match data)
- The published probabilities favour Wolves (47%); expected goals Bristol City 1.11 β 1.56 Wolves.
- 2.68 goals expected; over/under 2.5 is close to a coin flip (over 50%).
- The single most likely score is 1:1 (13%) β any exact score is a long shot by nature; the likeliest HT/FT path is A/A (29%).
- Last five: Bristol City WDLLD (1 wins), Wolves WWDWL (3 wins).
Probabilities include the bookmaker consensus, which already reflects public team news; the statistical-model part uses results, scores and the closing prices of past matches, not team news directly. Check official club news before kick-off.
1X2 (match result)
1X2 and over/under 2.5 on this page equal the margin-free consensus of the closing prices recorded for this match (football-data.co.uk) (the backtest found the market more accurate than our model, so the model weight is currently 0); every other market comes from the same score matrix.
- Expected goals Β· Bristol City
- 1.11
- Expected goals Β· Wolves
- 1.56
- Most likely score
- 1:1 (13%)
- Half-time result
- 23% / 41% / 36%
Handicap 1X2
| Handicap 1X2 | Bristol City | Draw | Wolves |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home -3 | 0.8% | 2.4% | 96.8% |
| Home -2 | 3.2% | 7.3% | 89.5% |
| Home -1 | 10.5% | 15.8% | 73.7% |
| Home +1β | 53.0% | 22.5% | 24.5% |
| Home +2 | 75.5% | 14.5% | 10.0% |
| Home +3 | 90.0% | 6.7% | 3.3% |
Model's balanced line: Home +1
Correct score
- 1:06.9%
- 2:04.3%
- 2:16.7%
- 3:01.6%
- 3:12.5%
- 3:21.9%
- 4:00.4%
- 4:10.7%
- 4:20.5%
- 5:00.1%
- 5:10.2%
- 5:20.1%
- Other home win0.5%
- 0:07.6%
- 1:112.7%
- 2:25.2%
- 3:31.0%
- Other draw0.1%
- 0:110.0%
- 0:28.4%
- 1:29.4%
- 0:34.4%
- 1:34.9%
- 2:32.7%
- 0:41.7%
- 1:41.9%
- 2:41.1%
- 0:50.5%
- 1:50.6%
- 2:50.3%
- Other away win1.1%
Scores outside the grid are pooled into "other home win / draw / away win".
Total goals (0β7+)
| Over / under | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 75.5% | 50.1% | 28.1% | 13.4% |
| Under | 24.5% | 49.9% | 71.9% | 86.6% |
Goals parity (3+ goals = over)
- Over, odd
- 31.4%
- Over, even
- 18.7%
- Under, odd
- 16.9%
- Under, even
- 33.0%
Both teams to score Β· Clean-sheet probability
- Both teams to score: Yes
- 53.9%
- Both teams to score: No
- 46.1%
- Clean-sheet probability Β· Bristol City
- 20.9%
- Clean-sheet probability Β· Wolves
- 32.8%
Goals per team (0β3+)
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol City | 32.8% | 36.6% | 20.4% | 10.3% |
| Wolves | 20.9% | 32.7% | 25.6% | 20.8% |
Half-time / full-time
| HT β / FT β | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | H/H 15.1% | H/D 5.3% | H/A 2.5% |
| Draw | D/H 9.7% | D/D 16.1% | D/A 15.6% |
| Away | A/H 1.6% | A/D 5.3% | A/A 28.9% |
First letter = half-time result, second = full-time result (H home, D draw, A away).
Club profiles
Bristol City
Nicknamed "The Robins", Bristol City are a Championship club who finished 12th in 2025β26 and have played in the second tier since 2015.
- City
- Bristol, England
- Stadium
- Ashton Gate
- Founded
- 1894
- Head coach
- Michael Skubala
Wolves
Nicknamed "The Old Gold", Wolves are a historic English club who are playing in the 2026β27 EFL Championship under Portuguese head coach CΓ©sar Peixoto, with promotion back to the Premier League as their stated aim.
- City
- Wolverhampton, England
- Stadium
- Molineux Stadium
- Founded
- 1877
- Head coach
- CΓ©sar Peixoto
Compiled by Claude with a web search (checked 2026-11-06); may contain errors β the clubs' own channels are authoritative.
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