J1 League Β· Matchday 13
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kawasaki Frontale prediction: 1X2, correct score, goals, HT/FT
Kick-off (UTC): Β· Model data as of 2026-10-26
Pre-match probabilities (computed from information available before kick-off): Yokohama F. Marinos win 30%, draw 25%, Kawasaki Frontale win 45%; the final score was 4:2.
Full time: Yokohama F. Marinos 4-2 Kawasaki Frontale. The pre-match pick (market consensus) was "Kawasaki Frontale" β missed.
Post-match check: pre-match probabilities vs the result
| Market | Result | Pre-match probability | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Full-time result | Yokohama F. Marinos | 29.8% | #2 of 3 |
| Correct score | 4:2 | 1.5% | #23 of 31 |
| Total goals | 6 goals | 8.1% | #5 of 8 |
| Over/under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.3% | most likely |
| Half-time/full-time | H/H | 15.9% | #3 of 9 |
A single match says little about a forecast's quality β see the league track record for the full picture. Probabilities are for reference only.
AI picks
Market consensusConfidence: Medium- 1X2 (match result)Hit
- Yokohama F. Marinos / Kawasaki Frontale
- 75%
- Handicap 1X2 Β· Home +1Hit
- Yokohama F. Marinos
- 55%
- Correct scoreMiss
- 1:1 / 1:2
- 19%
- Total goalsMiss
- 2 / 3 goals
- 41%
- Half-time / full-timeMiss
- A/A
- 26%
- Over / under 2.5Hit
- Over
- 69%
The top choice for each market β for reference only, no guarantee; any bet you place on it is at your own risk. For matches with bookmaker prices the pick equals the top option of the margin-free market consensus; without prices it is the statistical model.
Pre-match template read (from pre-match data)
- The published probabilities favour Kawasaki Frontale (45%); expected goals Yokohama F. Marinos 1.59 β 1.98 Kawasaki Frontale.
- Goals look likely: 3.57 expected in total, 69% for over 2.5 and 70% for both teams to score.
- The single most likely score is 1:1 (10%) β any exact score is a long shot by nature; the likeliest HT/FT path is A/A (26%).
- Last five: Yokohama F. Marinos DDDDW (1 wins), Kawasaki Frontale WWWLD (3 wins).
Probabilities include the bookmaker consensus, which already reflects public team news; the statistical-model part uses results, scores and the closing prices of past matches, not team news directly. Check official club news before kick-off.
1X2 (match result)
1X2 and over/under 2.5 on this page equal the margin-free consensus of the closing prices recorded for this match (football-data.co.uk) (the backtest found the market more accurate than our model, so the model weight is currently 0); every other market comes from the same score matrix.
- Expected goals Β· Yokohama F. Marinos
- 1.59
- Expected goals Β· Kawasaki Frontale
- 1.98
- Most likely score
- 1:1 (10%)
- Half-time result
- 26% / 40% / 34%
Handicap 1X2
| Handicap 1X2 | Yokohama F. Marinos | Draw | Kawasaki Frontale |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home -3 | 1.9% | 4.0% | 94.1% |
| Home -2 | 5.9% | 9.2% | 85.0% |
| Home -1 | 15.0% | 14.8% | 70.2% |
| Home +1β | 54.6% | 18.8% | 26.6% |
| Home +2 | 73.4% | 14.1% | 12.5% |
| Home +3 | 87.5% | 7.6% | 4.9% |
Model's balanced line: Home +1
Correct score
- 1:02.9%
- 2:03.6%
- 2:17.1%
- 3:01.9%
- 3:13.8%
- 3:23.7%
- 4:00.8%
- 4:11.5%
- 4:21.5%
- 5:00.2%
- 5:10.5%
- 5:20.5%
- Other home win2.0%
- 0:04.4%
- 1:110.4%
- 2:27.0%
- 3:32.4%
- Other draw0.6%
- 0:14.0%
- 0:25.5%
- 1:28.8%
- 0:33.6%
- 1:35.8%
- 2:34.6%
- 0:41.8%
- 1:42.9%
- 2:42.3%
- 0:50.7%
- 1:51.1%
- 2:50.9%
- Other away win3.5%
Scores outside the grid are pooled into "other home win / draw / away win".
Total goals (0β7+)
| Over / under | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 88.8% | 69.3% | 47.9% | 28.9% |
| Under | 11.2% | 30.7% | 52.1% | 71.1% |
Goals parity (3+ goals = over)
- Over, odd
- 39.9%
- Over, even
- 29.3%
- Under, odd
- 6.8%
- Under, even
- 23.9%
Both teams to score Β· Clean-sheet probability
- Both teams to score: Yes
- 70.3%
- Both teams to score: No
- 29.7%
- Clean-sheet probability Β· Yokohama F. Marinos
- 13.8%
- Clean-sheet probability Β· Kawasaki Frontale
- 20.3%
Goals per team (0β3+)
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yokohama F. Marinos | 20.3% | 32.4% | 25.8% | 21.5% |
| Kawasaki Frontale | 13.8% | 27.3% | 27.1% | 31.8% |
Half-time / full-time
| HT β / FT β | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | H/H 15.9% | H/D 6.0% | H/A 3.8% |
| Draw | D/H 11.2% | D/D 12.9% | D/A 16.0% |
| Away | A/H 2.8% | A/D 6.0% | A/A 25.6% |
First letter = half-time result, second = full-time result (H home, D draw, A away).
Club profiles
Yokohama F. Marinos
Nissan-backed club from Yokohama and a long-standing J1 League side, known for attacking, possession-based football.
- City
- Yokohama, Japan
- Stadium
- Nissan Stadium
- Founded
- 1972
- Head coach
- Steve Corica
Kawasaki Frontale
Based in Kawasaki, Kanagawa, Frontale is a four-time J1 League champion (2017, 2018, 2020, 2021) known for a possession-based, attacking style.
- City
- Kawasaki, Japan
- Stadium
- Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu
- Founded
- 1955
- Head coach
- Shigetoshi Hasebe
Compiled by Claude with a web search (checked 2026-11-06); may contain errors β the clubs' own channels are authoritative.
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