Ligue 1 · Matchday 9

Lyon vs Angers prediction: 1X2, correct score, goals, HT/FT

Lyon
LWLWD
2 - 0
HT 1-0
Angers
DLLWD

Kick-off (UTC): · Model data as of 2026-10-26

Pre-match probabilities (computed from information available before kick-off): Lyon win 67%, draw 20%, Angers win 13%; the final score was 2:0.

Full time: Lyon 2-0 Angers. The pre-match pick (market consensus) was "Lyon" — correct.

Post-match check: pre-match probabilities vs the result

MarketResultPre-match probabilityRank
Full-time resultLyon67.3%most likely
Correct score2:011.9%most likely
Total goals2 goals23.0%most likely
Over/under 2.5Under 2.543.3%#2 of 2
Half-time/full-timeH/H43.0%most likely

A single match says little about a forecast's quality — see the league track record for the full picture. Probabilities are for reference only.

AI picks

Market consensusConfidence: High
1X2 (match result)Hit
Lyon
67%
Handicap 1X2 · Home -1Hit
Lyon
43%
Correct scoreHit
2:0 / 1:0
23%
Total goalsHit
2 / 3 goals
45%
Half-time / full-timeHit
H/H
43%
Over / under 2.5Miss
Over
57%

The top choice for each market — for reference only, no guarantee; any bet you place on it is at your own risk. For matches with bookmaker prices the pick equals the top option of the margin-free market consensus; without prices it is the statistical model.

Pre-match template read (from pre-match data)
  • The published probabilities favour Lyon (67%); expected goals Lyon 2.13 – 0.82 Angers.
  • 2.95 goals expected; over/under 2.5 is close to a coin flip (over 57%).
  • The single most likely score is 2:0 (12%) — any exact score is a long shot by nature; the likeliest HT/FT path is H/H (43%).
  • Last five: Lyon LWLWD (2 wins), Angers DLLWD (1 wins).

Probabilities include the bookmaker consensus, which already reflects public team news; the statistical-model part uses results, scores and the closing prices of past matches, not team news directly. Check official club news before kick-off.

1X2 (match result)

Lyon 67%Draw 20%Angers 13%

1X2 and over/under 2.5 on this page equal the margin-free consensus of the closing prices recorded for this match (football-data.co.uk) (the backtest found the market more accurate than our model, so the model weight is currently 0); every other market comes from the same score matrix.

Expected goals · Lyon
2.13
Expected goals · Angers
0.82
Most likely score
2:0 (12%)
Half-time result
48% / 39% / 14%

Handicap 1X2

Handicap 1X2LyonDrawAngers
Home -310.1%12.8%77.1%
Home -222.9%20.5%56.6%
Home -1≈43.4%23.9%32.7%
Home +187.0%9.0%3.9%
Home +296.1%3.0%0.9%
Home +399.1%0.7%0.2%

Model's balanced line: Home -1

Correct score

Lyon · Home
  • 1:010.9%
  • 2:011.9%
  • 2:19.7%
  • 3:08.4%
  • 3:16.9%
  • 3:22.8%
  • 4:04.5%
  • 4:13.7%
  • 4:21.5%
  • 5:01.9%
  • 5:11.6%
  • 5:20.6%
  • Other home win2.8%
Draw
  • 0:05.5%
  • 1:19.4%
  • 2:24.0%
  • 3:30.8%
  • Other draw0.1%
Angers · Away
  • 0:14.0%
  • 0:21.8%
  • 1:23.7%
  • 0:30.5%
  • 1:31.0%
  • 2:31.1%
  • 0:40.1%
  • 1:40.2%
  • 2:40.2%
  • 0:50.0%
  • 1:50.0%
  • 2:50.0%
  • Other away win0.2%

Scores outside the grid are pooled into "other home win / draw / away win".

Total goals (0–7+)

0
5.5%
1
14.9%
2
23.0%
3
22.4%
4
16.5%
5
9.8%
6
4.8%
7+
3.1%
Over / under1.52.53.54.5
Over79.7%56.7%34.3%17.7%
Under20.3%43.3%65.7%82.3%

Goals parity (3+ goals = over)

Over, odd
34.5%
Over, even
22.2%
Under, odd
14.9%
Under, even
28.5%

Both teams to score · Clean-sheet probability

Both teams to score: Yes
49.6%
Both teams to score: No
50.4%
Clean-sheet probability · Lyon
44.0%
Clean-sheet probability · Angers
11.8%

Goals per team (0–3+)

Team0123+
Lyon11.8%25.3%27.0%35.9%
Angers44.0%36.1%14.8%5.0%

Half-time / full-time

HT ↓ / FT →HomeDrawAway
Home
H/H
43.0%
H/D
3.9%
H/A
0.9%
Draw
D/H
21.2%
D/D
12.0%
D/A
5.4%
Away
A/H
3.2%
A/D
3.9%
A/A
6.7%

First letter = half-time result, second = full-time result (H home, D draw, A away).

Club profiles

Lyon

Lyon, nicknamed Les Gones, is a French club that won seven consecutive Ligue 1 titles from 2002 to 2008 and plays in Ligue 1.

City
Décines-Charpieu (Lyon), France
Stadium
Groupama Stadium (Parc Olympique Lyonnais)
Founded
1950

Angers

Angers SCO, nicknamed Les Noirs et Blancs, is a club from western France that returned to the top flight in 2024 after finishing second in Ligue 2.

City
Angers, France
Stadium
Stade Raymond Kopa
Founded
1919
Head coach
Stéphane Gilli

Compiled by Claude with a web search (checked 2026-11-06); may contain errors — the clubs' own channels are authoritative.

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