J1 League Β· Matchday 13

Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-Pulse prediction: 1X2, correct score, goals, HT/FT

Kyoto Sanga
DDLLW
2 - 0
HT 2-0
Shimizu S-Pulse
LLDWW

Kick-off (UTC): Β· Model data as of 2026-10-26

Pre-match probabilities (computed from information available before kick-off): Kyoto Sanga win 44%, draw 28%, Shimizu S-Pulse win 27%; the final score was 2:0.

Full time: Kyoto Sanga 2-0 Shimizu S-Pulse. The pre-match pick (market consensus) was "Kyoto Sanga" β€” correct.

Post-match check: pre-match probabilities vs the result

MarketResultPre-match probabilityRank
Full-time resultKyoto Sanga44.4%most likely
Correct score2:07.3%#4 of 31
Total goals2 goals24.9%most likely
Over/under 2.5Under 2.543.7%#2 of 2
Half-time/full-timeH/H24.2%most likely

A single match says little about a forecast's quality β€” see the league track record for the full picture. Probabilities are for reference only.

AI picks

Market consensusConfidence: Low (upset risk)
1X2 (match result)Hit
Kyoto Sanga / Draw
73%
Handicap 1X2 Β· Home -1Miss
Shimizu S-Pulse
56%
Correct scoreMiss
1:1 / 2:1
23%
Total goalsHit
2 / 3 goals
47%
Half-time / full-timeHit
H/H
24%
Over / under 2.5Miss
Over
56%

The top choice for each market β€” for reference only, no guarantee; any bet you place on it is at your own risk. For matches with bookmaker prices the pick equals the top option of the margin-free market consensus; without prices it is the statistical model.

Pre-match template read (from pre-match data)
  • The published probabilities favour Kyoto Sanga (44%); expected goals Kyoto Sanga 1.66 – 1.28 Shimizu S-Pulse.
  • 2.94 goals expected; over/under 2.5 is close to a coin flip (over 56%).
  • The single most likely score is 1:1 (13%) β€” any exact score is a long shot by nature; the likeliest HT/FT path is H/H (24%).
  • Last five: Kyoto Sanga DDLLW (1 wins), Shimizu S-Pulse LLDWW (2 wins).

Probabilities include the bookmaker consensus, which already reflects public team news; the statistical-model part uses results, scores and the closing prices of past matches, not team news directly. Check official club news before kick-off.

1X2 (match result)

Kyoto Sanga 44%Draw 28%Shimizu S-Pulse 27%

1X2 and over/under 2.5 on this page equal the margin-free consensus of the closing prices recorded for this match (football-data.co.uk) (the backtest found the market more accurate than our model, so the model weight is currently 0); every other market comes from the same score matrix.

Expected goals Β· Kyoto Sanga
1.66
Expected goals Β· Shimizu S-Pulse
1.28
Most likely score
1:1 (13%)
Half-time result
32% / 45% / 23%

Handicap 1X2

Handicap 1X2Kyoto SangaDrawShimizu S-Pulse
Home -33.6%6.7%89.7%
Home -210.3%14.0%75.7%
Home -1β‰ˆ24.3%20.1%55.6%
Home +172.5%15.0%12.5%
Home +287.5%8.3%4.2%
Home +395.8%3.1%1.2%

Model's balanced line: Home -1

Correct score

Kyoto Sanga Β· Home
  • 1:06.8%
  • 2:07.3%
  • 2:19.3%
  • 3:04.0%
  • 3:15.2%
  • 3:23.3%
  • 4:01.7%
  • 4:12.1%
  • 4:21.4%
  • 5:00.6%
  • 5:10.7%
  • 5:20.5%
  • Other home win1.6%
Draw
  • 0:07.3%
  • 1:113.3%
  • 2:26.0%
  • 3:31.4%
  • Other draw0.2%
Shimizu S-Pulse Β· Away
  • 0:14.7%
  • 0:24.3%
  • 1:27.2%
  • 0:31.8%
  • 1:33.1%
  • 2:32.5%
  • 0:40.6%
  • 1:41.0%
  • 2:40.8%
  • 0:50.2%
  • 1:50.2%
  • 2:50.2%
  • Other away win0.8%

Scores outside the grid are pooled into "other home win / draw / away win".

Total goals (0–7+)

0
7.3%
1
11.5%
2
24.9%
3
22.4%
4
16.4%
5
9.7%
6
4.7%
7+
3.0%
Over / under1.52.53.54.5
Over81.2%56.3%33.9%17.4%
Under18.8%43.7%66.1%82.6%

Goals parity (3+ goals = over)

Over, odd
34.3%
Over, even
22.0%
Under, odd
11.5%
Under, even
32.2%

Both teams to score Β· Clean-sheet probability

Both teams to score: Yes
60.4%
Both teams to score: No
39.6%
Clean-sheet probability Β· Kyoto Sanga
27.9%
Clean-sheet probability Β· Shimizu S-Pulse
19.0%

Goals per team (0–3+)

Team0123+
Kyoto Sanga19.0%31.6%26.2%23.2%
Shimizu S-Pulse27.9%35.6%22.7%13.8%

Half-time / full-time

HT ↓ / FT β†’HomeDrawAway
Home
H/H
24.2%
H/D
5.8%
H/A
2.1%
Draw
D/H
17.2%
D/D
16.5%
D/A
11.3%
Away
A/H
3.0%
A/D
5.8%
A/A
14.0%

First letter = half-time result, second = full-time result (H home, D draw, A away).

Club profiles

Kyoto Sanga

A purple-shirted club from the Kyoto area that plays in J1 League and is coached by Ranko Popović, who took over in mid-2026.

City
Kameoka, Kyoto, Japan
Stadium
Sanga Stadium by Kyocera
Founded
1922
Head coach
Ranko Popović

Shimizu S-Pulse

An orange-clad Shizuoka club and one of the original J.League members, competing in J1 League and known for a possession-minded, attacking approach under Takayuki Yoshida.

City
Shizuoka, Japan
Stadium
IAI Stadium Nihondaira
Founded
1991
Head coach
Takayuki Yoshida

Compiled by Claude with a web search (checked 2026-11-06); may contain errors β€” the clubs' own channels are authoritative.

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