J1 League Β· Matchday 13
Kashiwa Reysol vs Urawa Red Diamonds prediction: 1X2, correct score, goals, HT/FT
Kick-off (UTC): Β· Model data as of 2026-10-26
Pre-match probabilities (computed from information available before kick-off): Kashiwa Reysol win 42%, draw 26%, Urawa Red Diamonds win 32%; the final score was 4:0.
Full time: Kashiwa Reysol 4-0 Urawa Red Diamonds. The pre-match pick (market consensus) was "Kashiwa Reysol" β correct.
Post-match check: pre-match probabilities vs the result
| Market | Result | Pre-match probability | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Full-time result | Kashiwa Reysol | 42.0% | most likely |
| Correct score | 4:0 | 1.5% | #22 of 31 |
| Total goals | 4 goals | 18.8% | #3 of 8 |
| Over/under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.3% | most likely |
| Half-time/full-time | H/H | 23.3% | most likely |
A single match says little about a forecast's quality β see the league track record for the full picture. Probabilities are for reference only.
AI picks
Market consensusConfidence: Low (upset risk)- 1X2 (match result)Hit
- Kashiwa Reysol / Urawa Red Diamonds
- 74%
- Handicap 1X2 Β· Home -1Miss
- Urawa Red Diamonds
- 58%
- Correct scoreMiss
- 1:1 / 2:1
- 20%
- Total goalsMiss
- 2 / 3 goals
- 42%
- Half-time / full-timeHit
- H/H
- 23%
- Over / under 2.5Hit
- Over
- 67%
The top choice for each market β for reference only, no guarantee; any bet you place on it is at your own risk. For matches with bookmaker prices the pick equals the top option of the margin-free market consensus; without prices it is the statistical model.
Pre-match template read (from pre-match data)
- Evenly matched: Kashiwa Reysol 42%, draw 26%, Urawa Red Diamonds 32% β no clear lean from the probabilities.
- Goals look likely: 3.47 expected in total, 67% for over 2.5 and 69% for both teams to score.
- The single most likely score is 1:1 (11%) β any exact score is a long shot by nature; the likeliest HT/FT path is H/H (23%).
- Last five: Kashiwa Reysol WDLWW (3 wins), Urawa Red Diamonds WWWLW (4 wins).
Probabilities include the bookmaker consensus, which already reflects public team news; the statistical-model part uses results, scores and the closing prices of past matches, not team news directly. Check official club news before kick-off.
1X2 (match result)
1X2 and over/under 2.5 on this page equal the margin-free consensus of the closing prices recorded for this match (football-data.co.uk) (the backtest found the market more accurate than our model, so the model weight is currently 0); every other market comes from the same score matrix.
- Expected goals Β· Kashiwa Reysol
- 1.85
- Expected goals Β· Urawa Red Diamonds
- 1.62
- Most likely score
- 1:1 (11%)
- Half-time result
- 32% / 41% / 27%
Handicap 1X2
| Handicap 1X2 | Kashiwa Reysol | Draw | Urawa Red Diamonds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home -3 | 4.0% | 6.6% | 89.4% |
| Home -2 | 10.6% | 13.1% | 76.3% |
| Home -1β | 23.7% | 18.3% | 58.0% |
| Home +1 | 67.6% | 15.8% | 16.6% |
| Home +2 | 83.4% | 10.0% | 6.6% |
| Home +3 | 93.4% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
Model's balanced line: Home -1
Correct score
- 1:04.1%
- 2:05.3%
- 2:18.6%
- 3:03.3%
- 3:15.3%
- 3:24.3%
- 4:01.5%
- 4:12.5%
- 4:22.0%
- 5:00.6%
- 5:10.9%
- 5:20.7%
- Other home win2.8%
- 0:04.8%
- 1:111.0%
- 2:27.0%
- 3:32.3%
- Other draw0.5%
- 0:13.4%
- 0:24.1%
- 1:27.5%
- 0:32.2%
- 1:34.1%
- 2:33.8%
- 0:40.9%
- 1:41.6%
- 2:41.5%
- 0:50.3%
- 1:50.5%
- 2:50.5%
- Other away win2.0%
Scores outside the grid are pooled into "other home win / draw / away win".
Total goals (0β7+)
| Over / under | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 87.7% | 67.3% | 45.6% | 26.8% |
| Under | 12.3% | 32.7% | 54.4% | 73.2% |
Goals parity (3+ goals = over)
- Over, odd
- 39.1%
- Over, even
- 28.2%
- Under, odd
- 7.5%
- Under, even
- 25.3%
Both teams to score Β· Clean-sheet probability
- Both teams to score: Yes
- 69.2%
- Both teams to score: No
- 30.8%
- Clean-sheet probability Β· Kashiwa Reysol
- 19.9%
- Clean-sheet probability Β· Urawa Red Diamonds
- 15.7%
Goals per team (0β3+)
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kashiwa Reysol | 15.7% | 29.1% | 26.9% | 28.3% |
| Urawa Red Diamonds | 19.9% | 32.1% | 25.9% | 22.1% |
Half-time / full-time
| HT β / FT β | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | H/H 23.3% | H/D 6.0% | H/A 2.9% |
| Draw | D/H 15.2% | D/D 13.5% | D/A 12.2% |
| Away | A/H 3.5% | A/D 6.0% | A/A 17.3% |
First letter = half-time result, second = full-time result (H home, D draw, A away).
Club profiles
Kashiwa Reysol
A J.League club from Kashiwa, Chiba, that grew out of the Hitachi works team. It finished 2nd in the 2025 J1 League, which earned it a place in the 2026β27 AFC Champions League Elite. It usually lines up in a 3-4-2-1 shape and was 4th in the J1 table at the end of October 2026.
- City
- Kashiwa, Chiba, Japan
- Stadium
- Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium
- Founded
- 1940
- Head coach
- Ricardo RodrΓguez
Urawa Red Diamonds
Saitama-based J1 League club with one of Japan's largest fan bases and three AFC Champions League titles (2007, 2017, 2022), now led by Cho Kwi-jae, who took over for the 2026β27 season.
- City
- Saitama, Japan
- Stadium
- Saitama Stadium 2002
- Founded
- 1950
- Head coach
- Cho Kwi-jae
Compiled by Claude with a web search (checked 2026-11-06); may contain errors β the clubs' own channels are authoritative.
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