Bundesliga · Matchday 9
SC Paderborn vs Eintracht Frankfurt prediction: 1X2, correct score, goals, HT/FT
Kick-off (UTC): · Model data as of 2026-11-07
Our forecast gives SC Paderborn a 33% chance of winning, 25% for a draw and 42% for Eintracht Frankfurt; the single most likely score is 1:1 (11%) with 3.23 total goals expected.
AI picks
Market consensusConfidence: Low (upset risk)- 1X2 (match result)
- SC Paderborn / Eintracht Frankfurt
- 75%
- Handicap 1X2 · Home +1
- SC Paderborn
- 58%
- Correct score
- 1:1 / 1:2
- 20%
- Total goals
- 2 / 3 goals
- 44%
- Half-time / full-time
- A/A
- 25%
- Over / under 2.5
- Over
- 63%
The top choice for each market — for reference only, no guarantee; any bet you place on it is at your own risk. For matches with bookmaker prices the pick equals the top option of the margin-free market consensus; without prices it is the statistical model.
AI pre-match analysis (written by Claude)
Paderborn host Frankfurt in Bundesliga matchday 9 with a slight rest advantage, seven days against six. The hosts have won two, drawn two and lost one of their last five, including a 3-1 win over Hoffenheim and a 0-0 draw at Gladbach. Frankfurt have won two, drawn one and lost two, with a 0-6 defeat at Leipzig among them. Late doubts over captain Robin Koch and Mario Götze's absence weaken their spine, while Paderborn are hard to beat at home but short of goals and carry injuries.
Frankfurt are the favourites at 44%, with a Paderborn win at 31% and a draw at 25%. The expected goals range is 1.46–1.76, with 62% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score. The most likely scores are 1:1 (11%), 1:2 (9%) and 2:1 (8%). These figures blend our model with the consensus of 23 bookmakers.
Written Fri, Nov 6, 10:33 PM UTC from the data and prices on this page at that time; prices may have moved since.
Written automatically from the data on this page and the pre-match intel. For information only.
Probability data read (template)
- Evenly matched: SC Paderborn 33%, draw 25%, Eintracht Frankfurt 42% — no clear lean from the probabilities.
- Goals look likely: 3.23 expected in total, 63% for over 2.5 and 65% for both teams to score.
- The single most likely score is 1:1 (11%) — any exact score is a long shot by nature; the likeliest HT/FT path is A/A (25%).
- Last five: SC Paderborn DWDLW (2 wins), Eintracht Frankfurt WLWLD (2 wins).
Probabilities include the bookmaker consensus, which already reflects public team news; the statistical-model part uses results, scores and the closing prices of past matches, not team news directly. Check official club news before kick-off.
1X2 (match result)
The match has kicked off; probabilities keep the last pre-match blend.
- Expected goals · SC Paderborn
- 1.50
- Expected goals · Eintracht Frankfurt
- 1.73
- Most likely score
- 1:1 (11%)
- Half-time result
- 28% / 39% / 33%
Handicap 1X2
| Handicap 1X2 | SC Paderborn | Draw | Eintracht Frankfurt |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home -3 | 1.9% | 4.1% | 94.0% |
| Home -2 | 6.0% | 9.8% | 84.1% |
| Home -1 | 15.9% | 16.8% | 67.4% |
| Home +1≈ | 57.9% | 19.4% | 22.7% |
| Home +2 | 77.3% | 13.0% | 9.7% |
| Home +3 | 90.3% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
Model's balanced line: Home +1
Correct score
- 1:04.9%
- 2:04.5%
- 2:17.7%
- 3:02.2%
- 3:13.9%
- 3:23.3%
- 4:00.8%
- 4:11.5%
- 4:21.3%
- 5:00.3%
- 5:10.4%
- 5:20.4%
- Other home win1.5%
- 0:05.0%
- 1:111.3%
- 2:26.7%
- 3:31.9%
- Other draw0.3%
- 0:15.8%
- 0:25.9%
- 1:28.9%
- 0:33.4%
- 1:35.1%
- 2:33.8%
- 0:41.5%
- 1:42.2%
- 2:41.7%
- 0:50.5%
- 1:50.8%
- 2:50.6%
- Other away win2.1%
Scores outside the grid are pooled into "other home win / draw / away win".
Total goals (0–7+)
| Over / under | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 84.3% | 62.6% | 40.4% | 22.5% |
| Under | 15.7% | 37.4% | 59.6% | 77.5% |
Goals parity (3+ goals = over)
- Over, odd
- 37.1%
- Over, even
- 25.5%
- Under, odd
- 10.7%
- Under, even
- 26.7%
Both teams to score · Clean-sheet probability
- Both teams to score: Yes
- 65.0%
- Both teams to score: No
- 35.0%
- Clean-sheet probability · SC Paderborn
- 17.8%
- Clean-sheet probability · Eintracht Frankfurt
- 22.2%
Goals per team (0–3+)
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn | 22.2% | 33.4% | 25.1% | 19.2% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 17.8% | 30.7% | 26.5% | 25.0% |
Half-time / full-time
| HT ↓ / FT → | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | H/H 18.7% | H/D 5.8% | H/A 3.1% |
| Draw | D/H 11.4% | D/D 13.6% | D/A 14.1% |
| Away | A/H 2.5% | A/D 5.8% | A/A 25.0% |
First letter = half-time result, second = full-time result (H home, D draw, A away).
Team news & line-ups
SC Paderborn
Injuries & suspensions
No absences reported by our data provider.
Starting XI
Formation: 3-5-2 · Coach: R. Kettemann
- 15 N. Noll
- 21 J. ter Horst
- 25 T. Scheller
- 22 M. Hansen
- 17 L. Curda
- 6 T. Baack
- 5 S. Castañeda
- 40 G. Vidović
- 23 R. Obermair
- 2 Ruben Müller
- 30 S. Marino
Eintracht Frankfurt
Injuries & suspensions
No absences reported by our data provider.
Starting XI
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · Coach: A. Hütter
- 1 N. Atubolu
- 7 A. Knauff
- 4 R. Koch
- 3 L. Brassier
- 2 Elias Baum
- 25 R. Onyedika
- 15 N. Aséko Nkili
- 20 R. Dōan
- 42 C. Uzun
- 8 F. Chaïbi
- 9 J. Burkardt
Claude pre-match intel
Claude's independent view from a web search, part of a public test — it does not change the probabilities on this page.
Frankfurt remain favourites, but late doubts over captain Robin Koch alongside Mario Götze's absence slightly weaken their spine, and their away record this season is modest. Paderborn are hard to beat at home yet struggle badly for goals, with their own injury list limiting any upside. We nudge the away probability down a touch and lean marginally lower on goals than the market.
- Eintracht Frankfurt · Mario Götze is expected to miss the match with an ear infection. Hütter said he will probably stay home. (moderate · bundesliga.com)
- Eintracht Frankfurt · Captain and centre-back Robin Koch is a doubt after a knock to the knee. He only trained partially, and Hütter called it a race against time. Brassier and Maluze are the cover. (moderate · sportschau.de)
- Eintracht Frankfurt · Jessic Ngankam remains out with a long-term thigh injury. (minor · sportsmole.co.uk)
- Eintracht Frankfurt · Niko Ilicevic returns to the squad. Jonathan Burkardt was left out of the Germany squad and could start up front alongside or instead of Younes Ebnoutalib. (minor · hessenschau.de)
- SC Paderborn · Marcel Hoffmeier (muscle or thigh injury) and Timur Gayret (knee) are listed as out. Louis Nyamekye Awortwie-Grant is still building fitness after a long layoff. (moderate · bundesliga.com)
- SC Paderborn · Marvin Pieringer went off injured at Gladbach and is doubtful. Oliver Batista Meier and Sebastian Klaas are also reported as doubts, and Steffen Tigges would replace Pieringer if he misses out. Reports on Sven Michel and Hoffmeier conflict, (moderate · wetttippsheute.net)
- SC Paderborn · Captain Felix Götze has not yet started a Bundesliga game this season after early-season knocks. He is easing back in and started the cup tie against Stuttgart. (minor · bundesliga.com)
- SC Paderborn · Paderborn have scored only six goals in eight games, a Bundesliga record low for them. They are unbeaten in three league games (W1 D2) and sit 14th, two points above the relegation playoff place. (moderate · sportsmole.co.uk)
Collected by Claude with web search and may contain mistakes — check official club news. The intel does not change the probabilities on this page; it is part of a public test of whether it can beat the market.
Club profiles
SC Paderborn
A small-city club from North Rhine-Westphalia that returned to the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season, its third top-flight stint, and was 14th in the table after eight matches.
- City
- Paderborn, Germany
- Stadium
- Home Deluxe Arena
- Founded
- 1907
- Head coach
- Ralf Kettemann
Eintracht Frankfurt
A traditional Bundesliga club from Hesse, nicknamed "Die Adler" (The Eagles), known for its passionate fans and for winning the UEFA Europa League in 2021–22.
- City
- Frankfurt am Main, Germany
- Stadium
- Deutsche Bank Park
- Founded
- 1899
- Head coach
- Adi Hütter
Compiled by Claude with a web search (checked 2026-11-06); may contain errors — the clubs' own channels are authoritative.
Recent form · Head to head
SC Paderborn
- D@ Gladbach0-0 · 10-31
- WHamburger SV1-0 · 10-24
- D@ Werder Bremen2-2 · 10-17
- LVfB Stuttgart0-2 · 10-10
- WHoffenheim3-1 · 09-20
Eintracht Frankfurt
- WHamburger SV3-1 · 11-01
- L@ Borussia Dortmund0-1 · 10-24
- W1. FC Köln1-0 · 10-16
- L@ RB Leipzig0-6 · 10-10
- DSC Freiburg2-2 · 09-19
SC Paderborn 7 days rest · Eintracht Frankfurt 6 days rest
Head to head
No recent meetings in the dataset.
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