MLS Β· Matchday 34
Orlando City SC vs New England Revolution prediction: 1X2, correct score, goals, HT/FT
Kick-off (UTC): Β· Model data as of 2026-11-07
Our forecast gives Orlando City SC a 48% chance of winning, 23% for a draw and 29% for New England Revolution; the single most likely score is 1:1 (9%) with 3.71 total goals expected.
AI picks
Market consensusConfidence: Medium- 1X2 (match result)
- Orlando City SC / New England Revolution
- 77%
- Handicap 1X2 Β· Home -1
- New England Revolution
- 52%
- Correct score
- 1:1 / 2:1
- 18%
- Total goals
- 3 / 4 goals
- 40%
- Half-time / full-time
- H/H
- 29%
- Over / under 2.5
- Over
- 72%
The top choice for each market β for reference only, no guarantee; any bet you place on it is at your own risk. For matches with bookmaker prices the pick equals the top option of the margin-free market consensus; without prices it is the statistical model.
AI pre-match analysis (written by Claude)
Orlando City host the New England Revolution in MLS Regular Season round 34, with seven days of rest against six for the visitors. The hosts have won only one of their last five (L, D, D, W, D), scoring 11 and conceding 12, and are reported to be without Jansson, Spicer and Teodoro. New England have won four of their last five, though Harrison and Campana are reported absent. Orlando are said to be settled in a Wild Card place, while the Revolution are protecting a high seed. The Revolution won the last meeting 4-2 in September.
The published numbers make Orlando favourites at 48%, with the draw at 23% and a New England win at 29%. Expected goals are 2.04β1.57, and the most likely scores are 1:1 (9%), 2:1 (9%) and 2:2 (7%). Over 2.5 goals stands at 70% and both teams scoring also at 70%, pointing to an open game.
Written Fri, Nov 6, 11:09 PM UTC from the data and prices on this page at that time; prices may have moved since.
Written automatically from the data on this page and the pre-match intel. For information only.
Probability data read (template)
- The published probabilities favour Orlando City SC (48%); expected goals Orlando City SC 2.09 β 1.62 New England Revolution.
- Goals look likely: 3.71 expected in total, 72% for over 2.5 and 71% for both teams to score.
- The single most likely score is 1:1 (9%) β any exact score is a long shot by nature; the likeliest HT/FT path is H/H (29%).
- Last five: Orlando City SC LDDWD (1 wins), New England Revolution LWWWW (4 wins).
- Last 6 meetings in the dataset: Orlando City SC 4 wins, 1 draws, New England Revolution 1 wins.
Probabilities include the bookmaker consensus, which already reflects public team news; the statistical-model part uses results, scores and the closing prices of past matches, not team news directly. Check official club news before kick-off.
1X2 (match result)
1X2 and over/under 2.5 on this page equal the margin-free consensus of 23 bookmakers (the backtest found the market more accurate than our model, so the model weight is currently 0); every other market comes from the same score matrix.
- Expected goals Β· Orlando City SC
- 2.09
- Expected goals Β· New England Revolution
- 1.62
- Most likely score
- 1:1 (9%)
- Half-time result
- 38% / 36% / 27%
Handicap 1X2
| Handicap 1X2 | Orlando City SC | Draw | New England Revolution |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home -3 | 5.7% | 8.1% | 86.2% |
| Home -2 | 13.8% | 14.5% | 71.7% |
| Home -1β | 28.3% | 19.3% | 52.4% |
| Home +1 | 70.7% | 14.8% | 14.5% |
| Home +2 | 85.5% | 8.8% | 5.7% |
| Home +3 | 94.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
Model's balanced line: Home -1
Correct score
- 1:04.1%
- 2:05.3%
- 2:18.6%
- 3:03.7%
- 3:16.0%
- 3:24.9%
- 4:01.9%
- 4:13.1%
- 4:22.5%
- 5:00.8%
- 5:11.3%
- 5:21.1%
- Other home win4.2%
- 0:03.5%
- 1:19.3%
- 2:27.0%
- 3:32.6%
- Other draw0.6%
- 0:13.0%
- 0:23.2%
- 1:26.7%
- 0:31.7%
- 1:33.6%
- 2:33.8%
- 0:40.7%
- 1:41.5%
- 2:41.5%
- 0:50.2%
- 1:50.5%
- 2:50.5%
- Other away win2.2%
Scores outside the grid are pooled into "other home win / draw / away win".
Total goals (0β7+)
| Over / under | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 89.5% | 71.6% | 50.8% | 31.5% |
| Under | 10.5% | 28.4% | 49.2% | 68.5% |
Goals parity (3+ goals = over)
- Over, odd
- 40.9%
- Over, even
- 30.7%
- Under, odd
- 7.1%
- Under, even
- 21.3%
Both teams to score Β· Clean-sheet probability
- Both teams to score: Yes
- 71.3%
- Both teams to score: No
- 28.7%
- Clean-sheet probability Β· Orlando City SC
- 19.7%
- Clean-sheet probability Β· New England Revolution
- 12.4%
Goals per team (0β3+)
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando City SC | 12.4% | 25.9% | 27.0% | 34.6% |
| New England Revolution | 19.7% | 32.0% | 26.0% | 22.3% |
Half-time / full-time
| HT β / FT β | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | H/H 29.4% | H/D 5.9% | H/A 2.6% |
| Draw | D/H 14.5% | D/D 11.3% | D/A 9.7% |
| Away | A/H 3.8% | A/D 5.9% | A/A 17.0% |
First letter = half-time result, second = full-time result (H home, D draw, A away).
Bookmaker odds (EU region)
Market consensus (margin removed): Orlando City SC 47.6% Β· Draw 23.1% Β· New England Revolution 29.3% Β· 2.5+ 71.6%
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Over/Under | Asian handicap (home) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.02 | 4.23 | 3.26 | 3.75: 2.01 / 1.87 | -0.5: 2.03 / 1.86 |
| 1xBet | 2.02 | 4.27 | 3.31 | 3.5: 1.81 / 2.10 | -1.5: 3.21 / 1.39 |
| BetAnything | 1.99 | 4.39 | 3.28 | 3.75: 1.98 / 1.85 | -0.5: 2.01 / 1.83 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.99 | 4.39 | 3.28 | 3.5: 1.85 / 1.93 | -0.5: 1.99 / 1.83 |
| Coolbet | 2.00 | 4.20 | 3.10 | 3.5: 1.80 / 1.98 | -1: 2.70 / 1.45 |
| GTbets | 1.93 | 4.11 | 3.32 | 3.5: 1.80 / 1.98 | -0.5: 1.93 / 1.84 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.94 | 4.10 | 3.18 | 3.5: 1.78 / 1.97 | 0: 1.51 / 2.43 |
| Matchbook | 2.06 | 4.30 | 3.30 | 3.5: 1.81 / 2.14 | -0.5: 2.02 / 1.89 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.00 | 4.00 | 3.20 | 3.5: 1.76 / 1.99 | -0.5: 1.96 / 1.79 |
| Betsson | 2.02 | 3.85 | 3.25 | 2.5: 1.31 / 3.35 | β |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.96 | 4.25 | 3.45 | 3.5: 1.82 / 1.94 | β |
| Nordic Bet | 2.02 | 3.85 | 3.25 | 2.5: 1.31 / 3.35 | β |
| PMU (FR) | 1.81 | 3.75 | 3.10 | 3.5: 1.70 / 1.83 | β |
| Tipico | 1.90 | 4.20 | 3.00 | 3.5: 1.67 / 2.00 | β |
Odds updated: Sat, Nov 7, 04:20 PM UTC
Showing the 14 most-covered bookmakers of the 23 in the consensus.
Prices from European bookmakers via The Odds API, refreshed about every 2 hours. Shown for information only β not betting advice. GoalPulse links to no bookmaker and sells no bets.
Claude pre-match intel
Claude's independent view from a web search, part of a public test β it does not change the probabilities on this page.
(Claude's experimental view; does not change this page) Orlando are shaky at the back, missing Jansson, Spicer and Teodoro and conceding freely in recent weeks, while New England arrive in better form despite the absences of Harrison and Campana. With Orlando already locked into a Wild Card spot and the Revolution still protecting a high seed, we lean marginally more toward the visitors than the market, though the home side remains favoured. Both teams' recent games have been goal-heavy, so a high-scoring finale looks likely.
- Orlando City SC Β· Iago Teodoro is unavailable for the season finale, and Adrian Marin is expected to replace him in defence. (moderate Β· whoscored.com)
- Orlando City SC Β· Robin Jansson and Tyrese Spicer are listed as out injured. Jansson has a history of foot problems. (moderate Β· whoscored.com)
- Orlando City SC Β· David Brekalo has served his one-match suspension and is available again. (minor Β· whoscored.com)
- Orlando City SC Β· Orlando have already clinched a playoff spot (ninth in the East, 43 pts, so they would play a Wild Card match). Only their final seeding is still open, and they come off a 0-4 loss at Charlotte. (moderate Β· themaneland.com)
- Orlando City SC Β· Interim head coach MartΓn Perelman has led the team since Oscar Pareja left in March. (minor Β· mlssoccer.com)
- New England Revolution Β· Jack Harrison and Leonardo Campana remain out injured. (major Β· themaneland.com)
- New England Revolution Β· Alhassan Yusuf was back on the bench against Inter Miami after injury. He could feature in some capacity. (minor Β· themaneland.com)
- New England Revolution Β· Luca Langoni could be recalled to the forward line. New England are already in the playoff places, third in the East in the latest standings I found, and the season finale is Decision Day. They played on 2 Nov, so rotation is possible. (moderate Β· whoscored.com)
Collected by Claude with web search and may contain mistakes β check official club news. The intel does not change the probabilities on this page; it is part of a public test of whether it can beat the market.
Club profiles
Orlando City SC
Orlando City, nicknamed the Lions, is an MLS club in the Eastern Conference whose 2026 season included a March coaching change, with MartΓn Perelman taking over as interim head coach.
- City
- Orlando, Florida, United States
- Stadium
- Inter.co Stadium
- Founded
- 2010
- Head coach
- MartΓn Perelman (interim)
New England Revolution
A founding Major League Soccer club owned by the Kraft Group, the Revolution play in the Boston area under head coach Marko MitroviΔ and reached the 2026 MLS Cup playoffs.
- City
- Foxborough, Massachusetts, United States
- Stadium
- Gillette Stadium
- Founded
- 1995
- Head coach
- Marko MitroviΔ
Compiled by Claude with a web search (checked 2026-11-06); may contain errors β the clubs' own channels are authoritative.
Recent form Β· Head to head
Orlando City SC
- L@ Charlotte FC0-4 Β· 10-31
- D@ Chicago Fire FC2-2 Β· 10-29
- DNew York City FC2-2 Β· 10-24
- WD.C. United4-1 Β· 10-17
- D@ Toronto FC3-3 Β· 10-14
New England Revolution
- LInter Miami1-2 Β· 11-02
- WNew York Red Bulls3-2 Β· 10-28
- W@ Philadelphia Union2-1 Β· 10-24
- WChicago Fire FC1-0 Β· 10-17
- W@ FC Cincinnati3-2 Β· 10-14
Orlando City SC 7 days rest Β· New England Revolution 6 days rest
Head to head
- 2026-09-19New England Revolution 4-2 Orlando City SCMLS
- 2025-07-19New England Revolution 1-2 Orlando City SCMLS
- 2025-05-10Orlando City SC 3-3 New England RevolutionMLS
- 2024-09-14Orlando City SC 3-0 New England RevolutionMLS
- 2024-07-13New England Revolution 1-3 Orlando City SCMLS
- 2023-10-07Orlando City SC 3-2 New England RevolutionMLS
Market & China Sports Lottery guide β Β· League page: MLS β