K League 1 Β· Matchday 35
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs FC Anyang prediction: 1X2, correct score, goals, HT/FT
Kick-off (UTC): Β· Model data as of 2026-11-02
Pre-match probabilities (computed from information available before kick-off): Gimcheon Sangmu FC win 39%, draw 28%, FC Anyang win 33%; the final score was 1:0.
Full time: Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1-0 FC Anyang. The pre-match pick (market consensus) was "Gimcheon Sangmu FC" β correct.
Post-match check: pre-match probabilities vs the result
| Market | Result | Pre-match probability | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Full-time result | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 39.0% | most likely |
| Correct score | 1:0 | 8.0% | #3 of 31 |
| Total goals | 1 goals | 15.3% | #3 of 8 |
| Over/under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 48.0% | #2 of 2 |
| Half-time/full-time | D/H | 15.0% | #4 of 9 |
A single match says little about a forecast's quality β see the league track record for the full picture. Probabilities are for reference only.
AI picks
Market consensusConfidence: Low (upset risk)- 1X2 (match result)Hit
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC / FC Anyang
- 72%
- Handicap 1X2 Β· Home -1Miss
- FC Anyang
- 61%
- Correct scoreMiss
- 1:1 / 2:1
- 22%
- Total goalsMiss
- 2 / 3 goals
- 47%
- Half-time / full-timeMiss
- H/H
- 21%
- Over / under 2.5Miss
- Over
- 52%
The top choice for each market β for reference only, no guarantee; any bet you place on it is at your own risk. For matches with bookmaker prices the pick equals the top option of the margin-free market consensus; without prices it is the statistical model.
AI pre-match analysis (written by Claude before kick-off)
Gimcheon Sangmu host Anyang in Round 35 of the K League 1 Relegation Group. The hosts have won one, drawn two and lost two of their last five, including a 0-1 home defeat to Anyang last month. Anyang are unbeaten in their last five (three wins, two draws). Gimcheon have had seven days of rest against six for the visitors. Anyang have not lost any of the last four meetings, with two wins and two draws.
Our published probabilities give Gimcheon Sangmu a 42% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Anyang 31%. Expected goals are 1.51β1.26, with over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams scoring at 57%. The most likely scores are 1:1 (13%), 2:1 (9%) and 1:0 (8%). The numbers blend our model with the consensus of 18 bookmakers.
Written Fri, Nov 6, 10:28 PM UTC from the data and prices on this page at that time; prices may have moved since.
Written before kick-off and not edited after the match.
Written automatically from the data on this page and the pre-match intel. For information only.
Pre-match template read (from pre-match data)
- Evenly matched: Gimcheon Sangmu FC 39%, draw 28%, FC Anyang 33% β no clear lean from the probabilities.
- 2.76 goals expected; over/under 2.5 is close to a coin flip (over 52%).
- The single most likely score is 1:1 (13%) β any exact score is a long shot by nature; the likeliest HT/FT path is H/H (21%).
- Last five: Gimcheon Sangmu FC DLDLW (1 wins), FC Anyang WDDWW (3 wins).
Probabilities include the bookmaker consensus, which already reflects public team news; the statistical-model part uses results, scores and the closing prices of past matches, not team news directly. Check official club news before kick-off.
1X2 (match result)
1X2 and over/under 2.5 on this page equal the last margin-free consensus before kick-off of 18 bookmakers (the backtest found the market more accurate than our model, so the model weight is currently 0); every other market comes from the same score matrix.
- Expected goals Β· Gimcheon Sangmu FC
- 1.44
- Expected goals Β· FC Anyang
- 1.32
- Most likely score
- 1:1 (13%)
- Half-time result
- 29% / 45% / 26%
Handicap 1X2
| Handicap 1X2 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | Draw | FC Anyang |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home -3 | 2.2% | 5.0% | 92.8% |
| Home -2 | 7.2% | 11.9% | 81.0% |
| Home -1β | 19.0% | 19.9% | 61.0% |
| Home +1 | 66.6% | 18.1% | 15.2% |
| Home +2 | 84.8% | 9.9% | 5.3% |
| Home +3 | 94.7% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
Model's balanced line: Home -1
Correct score
- 1:08.0%
- 2:06.6%
- 2:18.7%
- 3:03.2%
- 3:14.2%
- 3:22.7%
- 4:01.1%
- 4:11.5%
- 4:21.0%
- 5:00.3%
- 5:10.4%
- 5:20.3%
- Other home win1.0%
- 0:07.5%
- 1:113.1%
- 2:25.7%
- 3:31.2%
- Other draw0.2%
- 0:17.3%
- 0:25.5%
- 1:27.9%
- 0:32.4%
- 1:33.5%
- 2:32.5%
- 0:40.8%
- 1:41.1%
- 2:40.8%
- 0:50.2%
- 1:50.3%
- 2:50.2%
- Other away win0.8%
Scores outside the grid are pooled into "other home win / draw / away win".
Total goals (0β7+)
| Over / under | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 77.2% | 52.0% | 29.8% | 14.6% |
| Under | 22.8% | 48.0% | 70.2% | 85.4% |
Goals parity (3+ goals = over)
- Over, odd
- 32.3%
- Over, even
- 19.7%
- Under, odd
- 15.3%
- Under, even
- 32.7%
Both teams to score Β· Clean-sheet probability
- Both teams to score: Yes
- 57.0%
- Both teams to score: No
- 43.0%
- Clean-sheet probability Β· Gimcheon Sangmu FC
- 26.8%
- Clean-sheet probability Β· FC Anyang
- 23.7%
Goals per team (0β3+)
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 23.7% | 34.1% | 24.6% | 17.6% |
| FC Anyang | 26.8% | 35.3% | 23.2% | 14.7% |
Half-time / full-time
| HT β / FT β | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | H/H 21.5% | H/D 5.5% | H/A 2.2% |
| Draw | D/H 15.0% | D/D 16.6% | D/A 13.1% |
| Away | A/H 2.5% | A/D 5.5% | A/A 18.0% |
First letter = half-time result, second = full-time result (H home, D draw, A away).
Claude pre-match intel
Claude's independent view from a web search, part of a public test β it does not change the probabilities on this page.
Gimcheon are favoured at home despite a poor run, with Anyang arriving in better form and having won the reverse fixture at this ground last month. The team news is general rather than specific, so we stay close to the bookmaker consensus, with only a slight trim on goals given Gimcheon's rotation uncertainty and a possibly wet pitch.
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC Β· Gimcheon are 10th on 35 points in the Final B (relegation) round and have won none of their last 4 league games. They have not won at home in 6 league matches and are looking for a first win in the final round. (moderate Β· sports.news.nate.com)
- FC Anyang Β· Anyang are 8th on 46 points and unbeaten in 6 league games. They are chasing the Final B leaders and won the last meeting 1-0 at Gimcheon on 2026-10-10. (moderate Β· sports.news.nate.com)
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC Β· Gimcheon's preview names national-team midfielder Park Tae-jun, Lee Kang-hyun and No Kyung-ho as the key midfielders. Byeon Jun-su and Kim Min-kyu are the central defensive pair, and An Joon-su is now the first-choice goalkeeper. (minor Β· sportsworldi.com)
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC Β· Players from the 13th batch of Sangmu conscripts may make a surprise appearance, according to the club preview. New and established players are still settling together, which could affect rotation. (minor Β· m.news.nate.com)
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC Β· Hong Yun-sang will reach 100 K League 1 appearances if he plays. Min Kyung-hyun's 100th K League game will be marked before kick-off, so both are expected to feature. (minor Β· sports.news.nate.com)
- FC Anyang Β· Anyang's attack is built around their foreign players, with domestic players supporting them. Gimcheon's preview flags this as the main threat. (minor Β· newmdtimes.com)
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC Β· Kick-off is 16:30 local time at Gimcheon Stadium. The club says rain ponchos may be handed out at some gates depending on the weather, which hints at possible wet conditions. (minor Β· kbcs.kr)
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC Β· Neither side has a European or cup fixture nearby. Rest is 7 days for Gimcheon and 6 for Anyang, a small difference. No confirmed injury or suspension lists were found for either team. (minor Β· unknown)
Collected by Claude with web search and may contain mistakes β check official club news. The intel does not change the probabilities on this page; it is part of a public test of whether it can beat the market.
Club profiles
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
The military-affiliated club of the Korea Armed Forces Athletic Corps, staffed by K League players during their national service. It won the 2023 K League 2 title and finished third in K League 1 in 2024.
- City
- Gimcheon, South Korea
- Stadium
- Gimcheon Stadium
- Founded
- 1984
- Head coach
- Joo Seung-jin
FC Anyang
A purple-and-black club from Anyang, founded in 2013, that won the 2024 K League 2 title and has played in K League 1 since 2025, with a reputation for attacking football.
- City
- Anyang, South Korea
- Stadium
- Anyang Stadium
- Founded
- 2013
- Head coach
- Yoo Byung-hoon
Compiled by Claude with a web search (checked 2026-11-06); may contain errors β the clubs' own channels are authoritative.
Market & China Sports Lottery guide β Β· League page: K League 1 β