Premier League Β· Matchday 10
Everton vs Coventry City prediction: 1X2, correct score, goals, HT/FT
Kick-off (UTC): Β· Model data as of 2026-11-02
Pre-match probabilities (computed from information available before kick-off): Everton win 57%, draw 23%, Coventry City win 20%; the final score was 3:1.
Full time: Everton 3-1 Coventry City. The pre-match pick (statistical model) was "Everton" β correct.
Post-match check: pre-match probabilities vs the result
| Market | Result | Pre-match probability | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Full-time result | Everton | 56.9% | most likely |
| Correct score | 3:1 | 6.2% | #5 of 31 |
| Total goals | 4 goals | 16.2% | #3 of 8 |
| Over/under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.3% | most likely |
| Half-time/full-time | D/H | 17.5% | #2 of 9 |
A single match says little about a forecast's quality β see the league track record for the full picture. Probabilities are for reference only.
AI picks
ModelConfidence: Medium- 1X2 (match result)Hit
- Everton
- 57%
- Handicap 1X2 Β· Home -1Miss
- Coventry City
- 43%
- Correct scoreMiss
- 1:1 / 1:0
- 21%
- Total goalsMiss
- 2 / 3 goals
- 46%
- Half-time / full-timeMiss
- H/H
- 36%
- Over / under 2.5Hit
- Over
- 55%
The top choice for each market β for reference only, no guarantee; any bet you place on it is at your own risk. For matches with bookmaker prices the pick equals the top option of the margin-free market consensus; without prices it is the statistical model.
Pre-match template read (from pre-match data)
- The model favours Everton (57%); expected goals Everton 1.87 β 1.03 Coventry City.
- 2.90 goals expected; over/under 2.5 is close to a coin flip (over 55%).
- The single most likely score is 1:1 (11%) β any exact score is a long shot by nature; the likeliest HT/FT path is H/H (36%).
- Last five: Everton WLLDW (2 wins), Coventry City WLLWW (3 wins).
Probabilities include the bookmaker consensus, which already reflects public team news; the statistical-model part uses results, scores and the closing prices of past matches, not team news directly. Check official club news before kick-off.
1X2 (match result)
No prices available for this match yet β the probabilities come from the statistical model alone.
- Expected goals Β· Everton
- 1.87
- Expected goals Β· Coventry City
- 1.03
- Most likely score
- 1:1 (11%)
- Half-time result
- 43% / 38% / 19%
Handicap 1X2
| Handicap 1X2 | Everton | Draw | Coventry City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home -3 | 6.1% | 9.5% | 84.4% |
| Home -2 | 15.6% | 17.5% | 66.9% |
| Home -1β | 33.1% | 23.8% | 43.1% |
| Home +1 | 79.7% | 13.0% | 7.3% |
| Home +2 | 92.7% | 5.3% | 2.0% |
| Home +3 | 98.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
Model's balanced line: Home -1
Correct score
- 1:010.2%
- 2:09.6%
- 2:19.9%
- 3:06.0%
- 3:16.2%
- 3:23.2%
- 4:02.8%
- 4:12.9%
- 4:21.5%
- 5:01.1%
- 5:11.1%
- 5:20.6%
- Other home win2.0%
- 0:05.7%
- 1:110.8%
- 2:25.1%
- 3:31.1%
- Other draw0.1%
- 0:15.5%
- 0:22.9%
- 1:25.4%
- 0:31.0%
- 1:31.9%
- 2:31.7%
- 0:40.3%
- 1:40.5%
- 2:40.4%
- 0:50.1%
- 1:50.1%
- 2:50.1%
- Other away win0.4%
Scores outside the grid are pooled into "other home win / draw / away win".
Total goals (0β7+)
| Over / under | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 78.7% | 55.3% | 33.0% | 16.8% |
| Under | 21.3% | 44.7% | 67.0% | 83.2% |
Goals parity (3+ goals = over)
- Over, odd
- 33.9%
- Over, even
- 21.5%
- Under, odd
- 15.7%
- Under, even
- 29.0%
Both teams to score Β· Clean-sheet probability
- Both teams to score: Yes
- 54.5%
- Both teams to score: No
- 45.5%
- Clean-sheet probability Β· Everton
- 35.8%
- Clean-sheet probability Β· Coventry City
- 15.4%
Goals per team (0β3+)
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | 15.4% | 28.8% | 26.9% | 28.8% |
| Coventry City | 35.8% | 36.8% | 18.9% | 8.5% |
Half-time / full-time
| HT β / FT β | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | H/H 36.5% | H/D 4.7% | H/A 1.4% |
| Draw | D/H 17.5% | D/D 13.3% | D/A 7.5% |
| Away | A/H 2.9% | A/D 4.7% | A/A 11.4% |
First letter = half-time result, second = full-time result (H home, D draw, A away).
Club profiles
Everton
Nicknamed the Toffees, Everton are one of English football's oldest clubs and have a long top-flight history. They moved to the new Hill Dickinson Stadium in 2025 and are managed by David Moyes.
- City
- Liverpool, England
- Stadium
- Hill Dickinson Stadium
- Founded
- 1878
- Head coach
- David Moyes
Coventry City
Nicknamed the Sky Blues, Coventry won the 2025β26 Championship under Frank Lampard, earning a return to the Premier League for the first time since 2001.
- City
- Coventry, England
- Stadium
- Coventry Building Society Arena
- Founded
- 1883
- Head coach
- Frank Lampard
Compiled by Claude with a web search (checked 2026-11-06); may contain errors β the clubs' own channels are authoritative.
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