Conference League · Matchday 3
Trabzonspor vs SC Freiburg prediction: 1X2, correct score, goals, HT/FT
Kick-off (UTC): · Model data as of 2026-11-05
Pre-match probabilities (computed from information available before kick-off): Trabzonspor win 18%, draw 23%, SC Freiburg win 60%; the final score was 0:1.
Full time: Trabzonspor 0-1 SC Freiburg. The pre-match pick (statistical model) was "SC Freiburg" — correct.
Post-match check: pre-match probabilities vs the result
| Market | Result | Pre-match probability | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Full-time result | SC Freiburg | 59.6% | most likely |
| Correct score | 0:1 | 9.9% | #4 of 31 |
| Total goals | 1 goals | 14.6% | #4 of 8 |
| Over/under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 43.9% | #2 of 2 |
| Half-time/full-time | A/A | 37.8% | most likely |
A single match says little about a forecast's quality — see the league track record for the full picture. Probabilities are for reference only.
AI picks
ModelConfidence: Medium- 1X2 (match result)Hit
- SC Freiburg
- 60%
- Handicap 1X2 · Home +1Miss
- Trabzonspor
- 40%
- Correct scoreMiss
- 1:1 / 0:2
- 21%
- Total goalsMiss
- 2 / 3 goals
- 46%
- Half-time / full-timeHit
- A/A
- 38%
- Over / under 2.5Miss
- Over
- 56%
The top choice for each market — for reference only, no guarantee; any bet you place on it is at your own risk. For matches with bookmaker prices the pick equals the top option of the margin-free market consensus; without prices it is the statistical model.
Pre-match template read (from pre-match data)
- The model favours SC Freiburg (60%); expected goals Trabzonspor 0.98 – 1.95 SC Freiburg.
- 2.93 goals expected; over/under 2.5 is close to a coin flip (over 56%).
- The single most likely score is 1:1 (11%) — any exact score is a long shot by nature; the likeliest HT/FT path is A/A (38%).
- Last five: Trabzonspor WWLLD (2 wins), SC Freiburg WLLLW (2 wins).
Probabilities include the bookmaker consensus, which already reflects public team news; the statistical-model part uses results, scores and the closing prices of past matches, not team news directly. Check official club news before kick-off.
1X2 (match result)
No prices available for this match yet — the probabilities come from the statistical model alone.
- Expected goals · Trabzonspor
- 0.98
- Expected goals · SC Freiburg
- 1.95
- Most likely score
- 1:1 (11%)
- Half-time result
- 17% / 39% / 44%
Handicap 1X2
| Handicap 1X2 | Trabzonspor | Draw | SC Freiburg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home -3 | 0.4% | 1.3% | 98.3% |
| Home -2 | 1.7% | 4.6% | 93.7% |
| Home -1 | 6.3% | 11.6% | 82.2% |
| Home +1≈ | 40.4% | 23.6% | 36.0% |
| Home +2 | 64.0% | 18.4% | 17.6% |
| Home +3 | 82.4% | 10.5% | 7.1% |
Model's balanced line: Home +1
Correct score
- 1:04.7%
- 2:02.6%
- 2:15.0%
- 3:00.8%
- 3:11.6%
- 3:21.6%
- 4:00.2%
- 4:10.4%
- 4:20.4%
- 5:00.0%
- 5:10.1%
- 5:20.1%
- Other home win0.4%
- 0:05.8%
- 1:110.7%
- 2:24.9%
- 3:31.0%
- Other draw0.1%
- 0:19.9%
- 0:210.2%
- 1:29.9%
- 0:36.6%
- 1:36.5%
- 2:33.2%
- 0:43.2%
- 1:43.2%
- 2:41.5%
- 0:51.3%
- 1:51.2%
- 2:50.6%
- Other away win2.2%
Scores outside the grid are pooled into "other home win / draw / away win".
Total goals (0–7+)
| Over / under | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 79.5% | 56.1% | 33.7% | 17.3% |
| Under | 20.5% | 43.9% | 66.3% | 82.7% |
Goals parity (3+ goals = over)
- Over, odd
- 34.2%
- Over, even
- 21.9%
- Under, odd
- 14.6%
- Under, even
- 29.3%
Both teams to score · Clean-sheet probability
- Both teams to score: Yes
- 54.0%
- Both teams to score: No
- 46.0%
- Clean-sheet probability · Trabzonspor
- 14.2%
- Clean-sheet probability · SC Freiburg
- 37.6%
Goals per team (0–3+)
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor | 37.6% | 36.8% | 18.0% | 7.6% |
| SC Freiburg | 14.2% | 27.7% | 27.1% | 31.1% |
Half-time / full-time
| HT ↓ / FT → | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | H/H 9.7% | H/D 4.6% | H/A 3.1% |
| Draw | D/H 6.9% | D/D 13.3% | D/A 18.7% |
| Away | A/H 1.2% | A/D 4.6% | A/A 37.8% |
First letter = half-time result, second = full-time result (H home, D draw, A away).
Club profiles
Trabzonspor
Black Sea club from Trabzon, Süper Lig champions in 2021–22 and Turkish Cup winners in 2025–26.
- City
- Trabzon, Turkey
- Stadium
- Şenol Güneş Sports Complex (Papara Park)
- Founded
- 1967
- Head coach
- Thomas Reis
SC Freiburg
A well-organised club from southwest Germany, known for its youth development and stable long-term planning, that finished 7th in the 2025–26 Bundesliga and reached the Europa League final.
- City
- Freiburg im Breisgau, Germany
- Stadium
- Europa-Park Stadion
- Founded
- 1904
- Head coach
- Julian Schuster
Compiled by Claude with a web search (checked 2026-11-06); may contain errors — the clubs' own channels are authoritative.
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