Europa League Β· Matchday 4

Hapoel Beer Sheva vs OFI Crete prediction: 1X2, correct score, goals, HT/FT

Hapoel Beer Sheva
LLDLW
0 - 2
HT 0-1
OFI Crete
LLWWW

Kick-off (UTC): Β· Model data as of 2026-11-05

Pre-match probabilities (computed from information available before kick-off): Hapoel Beer Sheva win 41%, draw 27%, OFI Crete win 33%; the final score was 0:2.

Full time: Hapoel Beer Sheva 0-2 OFI Crete. The pre-match pick (statistical model) was "Hapoel Beer Sheva" β€” missed.

Post-match check: pre-match probabilities vs the result

MarketResultPre-match probabilityRank
Full-time resultOFI Crete32.6%#2 of 3
Correct score0:25.3%#9 of 31
Total goals2 goals24.6%most likely
Over/under 2.5Under 2.547.7%#2 of 2
Half-time/full-timeA/A18.7%#2 of 9

A single match says little about a forecast's quality β€” see the league track record for the full picture. Probabilities are for reference only.

AI picks

ModelConfidence: Low (upset risk)
1X2 (match result)Hit
Hapoel Beer Sheva / OFI Crete
73%
Handicap 1X2 Β· Home -1Hit
OFI Crete
59%
Correct scoreMiss
1:1 / 2:1
21%
Total goalsHit
2 / 3 goals
47%
Half-time / full-timeMiss
H/H
24%
Over / under 2.5Miss
Over
52%

The top choice for each market β€” for reference only, no guarantee; any bet you place on it is at your own risk. For matches with bookmaker prices the pick equals the top option of the margin-free market consensus; without prices it is the statistical model.

Pre-match template read (from pre-match data)
  • Evenly matched: Hapoel Beer Sheva 41%, draw 27%, OFI Crete 33% β€” no clear lean from the model.
  • 2.77 goals expected; over/under 2.5 is close to a coin flip (over 52%).
  • The single most likely score is 1:1 (13%) β€” any exact score is a long shot by nature; the likeliest HT/FT path is H/H (24%).
  • Last five: Hapoel Beer Sheva LLDLW (1 wins), OFI Crete LLWWW (3 wins).

Probabilities include the bookmaker consensus, which already reflects public team news; the statistical-model part uses results, scores and the closing prices of past matches, not team news directly. Check official club news before kick-off.

1X2 (match result)

Hapoel Beer Sheva 41%Draw 27%OFI Crete 33%

No prices available for this match yet β€” the probabilities come from the statistical model alone.

Expected goals Β· Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.47
Expected goals Β· OFI Crete
1.29
Most likely score
1:1 (13%)
Half-time result
32% / 42% / 27%

Handicap 1X2

Handicap 1X2Hapoel Beer ShevaDrawOFI Crete
Home -32.4%5.3%92.3%
Home -27.7%12.3%79.9%
Home -1β‰ˆ20.1%20.8%59.2%
Home +167.4%18.2%14.5%
Home +285.5%9.5%5.0%
Home +395.0%3.6%1.4%

Model's balanced line: Home -1

Correct score

Hapoel Beer Sheva Β· Home
  • 1:08.6%
  • 2:06.8%
  • 2:18.8%
  • 3:03.4%
  • 3:14.3%
  • 3:22.8%
  • 4:01.2%
  • 4:11.6%
  • 4:21.0%
  • 5:00.4%
  • 5:10.5%
  • 5:20.3%
  • Other home win1.0%
Draw
  • 0:06.9%
  • 1:112.6%
  • 2:25.7%
  • 3:31.2%
  • Other draw0.2%
OFI Crete Β· Away
  • 0:17.5%
  • 0:25.3%
  • 1:27.7%
  • 0:32.3%
  • 1:33.3%
  • 2:32.5%
  • 0:40.7%
  • 1:41.1%
  • 2:40.8%
  • 0:50.2%
  • 1:50.3%
  • 2:50.2%
  • Other away win0.7%

Scores outside the grid are pooled into "other home win / draw / away win".

Total goals (0–7+)

0
6.9%
1
16.2%
2
24.6%
3
22.2%
4
15.4%
5
8.5%
6
3.9%
7+
2.3%
Over / under1.52.53.54.5
Over77.0%52.3%30.1%14.8%
Under23.0%47.7%69.9%85.2%

Goals parity (3+ goals = over)

Over, odd
32.4%
Over, even
19.9%
Under, odd
16.2%
Under, even
31.5%

Both teams to score Β· Clean-sheet probability

Both teams to score: Yes
56.6%
Both teams to score: No
43.4%
Clean-sheet probability Β· Hapoel Beer Sheva
27.4%
Clean-sheet probability Β· OFI Crete
22.9%

Goals per team (0–3+)

Team0123+
Hapoel Beer Sheva22.9%33.7%24.9%18.5%
OFI Crete27.4%35.5%23.0%14.2%

Half-time / full-time

HT ↓ / FT β†’HomeDrawAway
Home
H/H
24.1%
H/D
5.4%
H/A
2.1%
Draw
D/H
14.3%
D/D
15.6%
D/A
11.9%
Away
A/H
2.5%
A/D
5.4%
A/A
18.7%

First letter = half-time result, second = full-time result (H home, D draw, A away).

Club profiles

Hapoel Beer Sheva

Nicknamed the Camels, this southern Israeli club is a regular in the Israeli Premier League's top group and a frequent European qualifier, backed by a loud home crowd at Turner Stadium.

City
Beer Sheva, Israel
Stadium
Turner Stadium
Founded
1949
Head coach
Ran Kozuch

OFI Crete

OFI is the leading football club of Crete, based in Heraklion, and it won the Greek Cup in 2025–26 to earn a place in European competition.

City
Heraklion, Greece
Stadium
Pankritio Stadium
Founded
1925
Head coach
Christos Kontis

Compiled by Claude with a web search (checked 2026-11-06); may contain errors β€” the clubs' own channels are authoritative.

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