Conference League · Matchday 3

Getafe vs Brighton prediction: 1X2, correct score, goals, HT/FT

Getafe
WLLDD
0 - 1
HT 0-0
Brighton
WLDWW

Kick-off (UTC): · Model data as of 2026-11-05

Pre-match probabilities (computed from information available before kick-off): Getafe win 15%, draw 21%, Brighton win 64%; the final score was 0:1.

Full time: Getafe 0-1 Brighton. The pre-match pick (statistical model) was "Brighton" — correct.

Post-match check: pre-match probabilities vs the result

MarketResultPre-match probabilityRank
Full-time resultBrighton64.4%most likely
Correct score0:19.9%#2 of 31
Total goals1 goals13.9%#4 of 8
Over/under 2.5Under 2.542.1%#2 of 2
Half-time/full-timeD/A19.5%#2 of 9

A single match says little about a forecast's quality — see the league track record for the full picture. Probabilities are for reference only.

AI picks

ModelConfidence: High
1X2 (match result)Hit
Brighton
64%
Handicap 1X2 · Home +1Miss
Brighton
41%
Correct scoreHit
0:2 / 0:1
21%
Total goalsMiss
2 / 3 goals
45%
Half-time / full-timeMiss
A/A
42%
Over / under 2.5Miss
Over
58%

The top choice for each market — for reference only, no guarantee; any bet you place on it is at your own risk. For matches with bookmaker prices the pick equals the top option of the margin-free market consensus; without prices it is the statistical model.

Pre-match template read (from pre-match data)
  • The model favours Brighton (64%); expected goals Getafe 0.91 – 2.10 Brighton.
  • 3.01 goals expected; over/under 2.5 is close to a coin flip (over 58%).
  • The single most likely score is 0:2 (11%) — any exact score is a long shot by nature; the likeliest HT/FT path is A/A (42%).
  • Last five: Getafe WLLDD (1 wins), Brighton WLDWW (3 wins).

Probabilities include the bookmaker consensus, which already reflects public team news; the statistical-model part uses results, scores and the closing prices of past matches, not team news directly. Check official club news before kick-off.

1X2 (match result)

Getafe 15%Draw 21%Brighton 64%

No prices available for this match yet — the probabilities come from the statistical model alone.

Expected goals · Getafe
0.91
Expected goals · Brighton
2.10
Most likely score
0:2 (11%)
Half-time result
15% / 38% / 47%

Handicap 1X2

Handicap 1X2GetafeDrawBrighton
Home -30.2%1.0%98.8%
Home -21.2%3.7%95.1%
Home -14.9%9.9%85.3%
Home +1≈35.6%23.5%40.9%
Home +259.1%19.7%21.2%
Home +378.8%12.1%9.2%

Model's balanced line: Home +1

Correct score

Getafe · Home
  • 1:04.0%
  • 2:02.0%
  • 2:14.3%
  • 3:00.6%
  • 3:11.3%
  • 3:21.4%
  • 4:00.1%
  • 4:10.3%
  • 4:20.3%
  • 5:00.0%
  • 5:10.1%
  • 5:20.1%
  • Other home win0.3%
Draw
  • 0:05.4%
  • 1:19.9%
  • 2:24.5%
  • 3:31.0%
  • Other draw0.1%
Brighton · Away
  • 0:19.9%
  • 0:210.9%
  • 1:29.9%
  • 0:37.6%
  • 1:36.9%
  • 2:33.1%
  • 0:44.0%
  • 1:43.6%
  • 2:41.7%
  • 0:51.7%
  • 1:51.5%
  • 2:50.7%
  • Other away win2.8%

Scores outside the grid are pooled into "other home win / draw / away win".

Total goals (0–7+)

0
5.4%
1
13.9%
2
22.8%
3
22.4%
4
16.9%
5
10.2%
6
5.1%
7+
3.4%
Over / under1.52.53.54.5
Over80.7%57.9%35.5%18.7%
Under19.3%42.1%64.5%81.3%

Goals parity (3+ goals = over)

Over, odd
35.0%
Over, even
22.9%
Under, odd
13.9%
Under, even
28.2%

Both teams to score · Clean-sheet probability

Both teams to score: Yes
52.8%
Both teams to score: No
47.2%
Clean-sheet probability · Getafe
12.2%
Clean-sheet probability · Brighton
40.3%

Goals per team (0–3+)

Team0123+
Getafe40.3%36.6%16.6%6.4%
Brighton12.2%25.7%27.0%35.1%

Half-time / full-time

HT ↓ / FT →HomeDrawAway
Home
H/H
7.9%
H/D
4.3%
H/A
3.2%
Draw
D/H
5.8%
D/D
12.3%
D/A
19.5%
Away
A/H
1.1%
A/D
4.3%
A/A
41.7%

First letter = half-time result, second = full-time result (H home, D draw, A away).

Club profiles

Getafe

A club from the Madrid suburb of Getafe, known as the Azulones, who have been a regular La Liga side since 2017 and play a disciplined, physical, defensively organised style under José Bordalás.

City
Getafe (Community of Madrid), Spain
Stadium
Coliseum (Estadio Coliseum)
Founded
1983
Head coach
José Bordalás

Brighton

Nicknamed the Seagulls, Brighton are a south-coast Premier League club known for a data-driven recruitment model and possession-based football. They finished 8th in 2025–26, which earned a place in the 2026–27 UEFA Conference League.

City
Brighton and Hove, England
Stadium
Falmer Stadium (American Express Stadium)
Founded
1901
Head coach
Fabian Hürzeler

Compiled by Claude with a web search (checked 2026-11-06); may contain errors — the clubs' own channels are authoritative.

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