Champions League · Matchday 4
PSV vs Club Brugge prediction: 1X2, correct score, goals, HT/FT
Kick-off (UTC): · Model data as of 2026-11-04
Pre-match probabilities (computed from information available before kick-off): PSV win 57%, draw 24%, Club Brugge win 20%; the final score was 1:2.
Full time: PSV 1-2 Club Brugge. The pre-match pick (statistical model) was "PSV" — missed.
Post-match check: pre-match probabilities vs the result
| Market | Result | Pre-match probability | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Full-time result | Club Brugge | 20.0% | #3 of 3 |
| Correct score | 1:2 | 5.4% | #8 of 31 |
| Total goals | 3 goals | 22.4% | #2 of 8 |
| Over/under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.1% | most likely |
| Half-time/full-time | A/A | 10.9% | #4 of 9 |
A single match says little about a forecast's quality — see the league track record for the full picture. Probabilities are for reference only.
AI picks
ModelConfidence: Medium- 1X2 (match result)Miss
- PSV
- 57%
- Handicap 1X2 · Home -1Hit
- Club Brugge
- 43%
- Correct scoreMiss
- 1:1 / 2:1
- 21%
- Total goalsHit
- 2 / 3 goals
- 46%
- Half-time / full-timeMiss
- H/H
- 35%
- Over / under 2.5Hit
- Over
- 55%
The top choice for each market — for reference only, no guarantee; any bet you place on it is at your own risk. For matches with bookmaker prices the pick equals the top option of the margin-free market consensus; without prices it is the statistical model.
Pre-match template read (from pre-match data)
- The model favours PSV (57%); expected goals PSV 1.86 – 1.02 Club Brugge.
- 2.89 goals expected; over/under 2.5 is close to a coin flip (over 55%).
- The single most likely score is 1:1 (11%) — any exact score is a long shot by nature; the likeliest HT/FT path is H/H (35%).
- Last five: PSV WDWLL (2 wins), Club Brugge WWLLD (2 wins).
Probabilities include the bookmaker consensus, which already reflects public team news; the statistical-model part uses results, scores and the closing prices of past matches, not team news directly. Check official club news before kick-off.
1X2 (match result)
No prices available for this match yet — the probabilities come from the statistical model alone.
- Expected goals · PSV
- 1.86
- Expected goals · Club Brugge
- 1.02
- Most likely score
- 1:1 (11%)
- Half-time result
- 42% / 40% / 19%
Handicap 1X2
| Handicap 1X2 | PSV | Draw | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home -3 | 6.1% | 9.5% | 84.5% |
| Home -2 | 15.5% | 17.5% | 67.0% |
| Home -1≈ | 33.0% | 23.5% | 43.5% |
| Home +1 | 80.0% | 12.6% | 7.3% |
| Home +2 | 92.7% | 5.3% | 2.0% |
| Home +3 | 98.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
Model's balanced line: Home -1
Correct score
- 1:09.8%
- 2:09.7%
- 2:19.9%
- 3:06.0%
- 3:16.2%
- 3:23.2%
- 4:02.8%
- 4:12.9%
- 4:21.5%
- 5:01.0%
- 5:11.1%
- 5:20.5%
- Other home win2.0%
- 0:06.1%
- 1:111.2%
- 2:25.1%
- 3:31.1%
- Other draw0.1%
- 0:15.2%
- 0:22.9%
- 1:25.4%
- 0:31.0%
- 1:31.9%
- 2:31.7%
- 0:40.3%
- 1:40.5%
- 2:40.4%
- 0:50.1%
- 1:50.1%
- 2:50.1%
- Other away win0.4%
Scores outside the grid are pooled into "other home win / draw / away win".
Total goals (0–7+)
| Over / under | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 78.9% | 55.1% | 32.8% | 16.6% |
| Under | 21.1% | 44.9% | 67.2% | 83.4% |
Goals parity (3+ goals = over)
- Over, odd
- 33.8%
- Over, even
- 21.4%
- Under, odd
- 15.0%
- Under, even
- 29.8%
Both teams to score · Clean-sheet probability
- Both teams to score: Yes
- 54.7%
- Both teams to score: No
- 45.3%
- Clean-sheet probability · PSV
- 35.9%
- Clean-sheet probability · Club Brugge
- 15.5%
Goals per team (0–3+)
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSV | 15.5% | 28.9% | 26.9% | 28.7% |
| Club Brugge | 35.9% | 36.8% | 18.8% | 8.5% |
Half-time / full-time
| HT ↓ / FT → | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | H/H 35.3% | H/D 4.8% | H/A 1.4% |
| Draw | D/H 18.1% | D/D 13.9% | D/A 7.7% |
| Away | A/H 3.0% | A/D 4.8% | A/A 10.9% |
First letter = half-time result, second = full-time result (H home, D draw, A away).
Club profiles
PSV
Founded as a works team of Philips, PSV is one of the Netherlands' 'big three' clubs, a regular Eredivisie title contender and 1987–88 European Cup winner, known for attacking, possession-based football.
- City
- Eindhoven, Netherlands
- Stadium
- Philips Stadion
- Founded
- 1913
- Head coach
- Peter Bosz
Club Brugge
Bruges-based Belgian club that has won the national league 20 times and shares the Jan Breydel Stadium with city rival Cercle Brugge, and is a regular in European competition.
- City
- Bruges, Belgium
- Stadium
- Jan Breydel Stadium
- Founded
- 1891
- Head coach
- Ivan Leko
Compiled by Claude with a web search (checked 2026-11-06); may contain errors — the clubs' own channels are authoritative.
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