EFL Championship Β· Matchday 14
Cardiff City vs West Ham United prediction: 1X2, correct score, goals, HT/FT
Kick-off (UTC): Β· Model data as of 2026-11-02
Pre-match probabilities (computed from information available before kick-off): Cardiff City win 28%, draw 23%, West Ham United win 48%; the final score was 3:3.
Full time: Cardiff City 3-3 West Ham United. The pre-match pick (market consensus) was "West Ham United" β missed.
Post-match check: pre-match probabilities vs the result
| Market | Result | Pre-match probability | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Full-time result | Draw | 23.4% | #3 of 3 |
| Correct score | 3:3 | 2.3% | #18 of 31 |
| Total goals | 6 goals | 7.7% | #6 of 8 |
| Over/under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.0% | most likely |
| Half-time/full-time | H/D | 5.8% | #7 of 9 |
A single match says little about a forecast's quality β see the league track record for the full picture. Probabilities are for reference only.
AI picks
Market consensusConfidence: Medium- 1X2 (match result)Miss
- Cardiff City / West Ham United
- 77%
- Handicap 1X2 Β· Home +1Hit
- Cardiff City
- 52%
- Correct scoreMiss
- 1:1 / 1:2
- 19%
- Total goalsMiss
- 2 / 3 goals
- 41%
- Half-time / full-timeMiss
- A/A
- 31%
- Over / under 2.5Hit
- Over
- 68%
The top choice for each market β for reference only, no guarantee; any bet you place on it is at your own risk. For matches with bookmaker prices the pick equals the top option of the margin-free market consensus; without prices it is the statistical model.
Pre-match template read (from pre-match data)
- The published probabilities favour West Ham United (48%); expected goals Cardiff City 1.50 β 2.00 West Ham United.
- Goals look likely: 3.50 expected in total, 68% for over 2.5 and 68% for both teams to score.
- The single most likely score is 1:1 (10%) β any exact score is a long shot by nature; the likeliest HT/FT path is A/A (31%).
- Last five: Cardiff City LWDWL (2 wins), West Ham United LLWWD (2 wins).
Probabilities include the bookmaker consensus, which already reflects public team news; the statistical-model part uses results, scores and the closing prices of past matches, not team news directly. Check official club news before kick-off.
1X2 (match result)
1X2 and over/under 2.5 on this page equal the margin-free consensus of the closing prices recorded for this match (football-data.co.uk) (the backtest found the market more accurate than our model, so the model weight is currently 0); every other market comes from the same score matrix.
- Expected goals Β· Cardiff City
- 1.50
- Expected goals Β· West Ham United
- 2.00
- Most likely score
- 1:1 (10%)
- Half-time result
- 26% / 35% / 39%
Handicap 1X2
| Handicap 1X2 | Cardiff City | Draw | West Ham United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home -3 | 1.5% | 3.4% | 95.0% |
| Home -2 | 5.0% | 8.4% | 86.7% |
| Home -1 | 13.3% | 14.8% | 71.9% |
| Home +1β | 51.5% | 20.0% | 28.4% |
| Home +2 | 71.6% | 14.9% | 13.6% |
| Home +3 | 86.4% | 8.1% | 5.4% |
Model's balanced line: Home +1
Correct score
- 1:03.6%
- 2:03.4%
- 2:16.8%
- 3:01.7%
- 3:13.4%
- 3:23.4%
- 4:00.6%
- 4:11.3%
- 4:21.3%
- 5:00.2%
- 5:10.4%
- 5:20.4%
- Other home win1.7%
- 0:03.9%
- 1:110.0%
- 2:26.8%
- 3:32.3%
- Other draw0.5%
- 0:15.1%
- 0:26.0%
- 1:29.1%
- 0:34.0%
- 1:36.0%
- 2:34.5%
- 0:42.0%
- 1:43.0%
- 2:42.3%
- 0:50.8%
- 1:51.2%
- 2:50.9%
- Other away win3.4%
Scores outside the grid are pooled into "other home win / draw / away win".
Total goals (0β7+)
| Over / under | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 87.4% | 68.0% | 46.4% | 27.5% |
| Under | 12.6% | 32.0% | 53.6% | 72.5% |
Goals parity (3+ goals = over)
- Over, odd
- 39.4%
- Over, even
- 28.6%
- Under, odd
- 8.7%
- Under, even
- 23.3%
Both teams to score Β· Clean-sheet probability
- Both teams to score: Yes
- 68.1%
- Both teams to score: No
- 31.9%
- Clean-sheet probability Β· Cardiff City
- 13.5%
- Clean-sheet probability Β· West Ham United
- 22.3%
Goals per team (0β3+)
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff City | 22.3% | 33.5% | 25.1% | 19.1% |
| West Ham United | 13.5% | 27.0% | 27.1% | 32.4% |
Half-time / full-time
| HT β / FT β | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | H/H 16.7% | H/D 5.8% | H/A 3.4% |
| Draw | D/H 9.1% | D/D 11.9% | D/A 14.2% |
| Away | A/H 2.3% | A/D 5.8% | A/A 30.8% |
First letter = half-time result, second = full-time result (H home, D draw, A away).
Club profiles
Cardiff City
Nicknamed the Bluebirds, this Welsh club is the only non-English side to have won the FA Cup, and it returned to the Championship in 2026 after finishing second in League One in 2025β26.
- City
- Cardiff, Wales
- Stadium
- Cardiff City Stadium
- Founded
- 1899
- Head coach
- Brian Barry-Murphy
West Ham United
East London club nicknamed the Hammers, with roots in Thames Ironworks and a strong academy tradition, relegated from the Premier League in 2025β26.
- City
- London, England
- Stadium
- London Stadium
- Founded
- 1895
- Head coach
- Scott Parker
Compiled by Claude with a web search (checked 2026-11-06); may contain errors β the clubs' own channels are authoritative.
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