MLS Β· Matchday 33
Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota United FC prediction: 1X2, correct score, goals, HT/FT
Kick-off (UTC): Β· Model data as of 2026-11-02
Pre-match probabilities (computed from information available before kick-off): Los Angeles FC win 54%, draw 23%, Minnesota United FC win 23%; the final score was 1:3.
Full time: Los Angeles FC 1-3 Minnesota United FC. The pre-match pick (market consensus) was "Los Angeles FC" β missed.
Post-match check: pre-match probabilities vs the result
| Market | Result | Pre-match probability | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Full-time result | Minnesota United FC | 23.4% | #2 of 3 |
| Correct score | 1:3 | 2.8% | #16 of 31 |
| Total goals | 4 goals | 19.0% | #3 of 8 |
| Over/under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.6% | most likely |
| Half-time/full-time | A/A | 13.2% | #3 of 9 |
A single match says little about a forecast's quality β see the league track record for the full picture. Probabilities are for reference only.
AI picks
Market consensusConfidence: Medium- 1X2 (match result)Miss
- Los Angeles FC
- 54%
- Handicap 1X2 Β· Home -1Hit
- Minnesota United FC
- 46%
- Correct scoreMiss
- 1:1 / 2:1
- 19%
- Total goalsMiss
- 2 / 3 goals
- 41%
- Half-time / full-timeMiss
- H/H
- 34%
- Over / under 2.5Hit
- Over
- 69%
The top choice for each market β for reference only, no guarantee; any bet you place on it is at your own risk. For matches with bookmaker prices the pick equals the top option of the margin-free market consensus; without prices it is the statistical model.
Pre-match template read (from pre-match data)
- The published probabilities favour Los Angeles FC (54%); expected goals Los Angeles FC 2.15 β 1.39 Minnesota United FC.
- Goals look likely: 3.54 expected in total, 69% for over 2.5 and 67% for both teams to score.
- The single most likely score is 1:1 (10%) β any exact score is a long shot by nature; the likeliest HT/FT path is H/H (34%).
- Last five: Los Angeles FC DDWDL (1 wins), Minnesota United FC WDWDD (2 wins).
Probabilities include the bookmaker consensus, which already reflects public team news; the statistical-model part uses results, scores and the closing prices of past matches, not team news directly. Check official club news before kick-off.
1X2 (match result)
1X2 and over/under 2.5 on this page equal the margin-free consensus of the closing prices recorded for this match (football-data.co.uk) (the backtest found the market more accurate than our model, so the model weight is currently 0); every other market comes from the same score matrix.
- Expected goals Β· Los Angeles FC
- 2.15
- Expected goals Β· Minnesota United FC
- 1.39
- Most likely score
- 1:1 (10%)
- Half-time result
- 42% / 36% / 23%
Handicap 1X2
| Handicap 1X2 | Los Angeles FC | Draw | Minnesota United FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home -3 | 7.2% | 9.7% | 83.1% |
| Home -2 | 16.9% | 16.5% | 66.6% |
| Home -1β | 33.4% | 20.6% | 46.0% |
| Home +1 | 76.6% | 12.9% | 10.5% |
| Home +2 | 89.5% | 6.8% | 3.6% |
| Home +3 | 96.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
Model's balanced line: Home -1
Correct score
- 1:05.3%
- 2:06.7%
- 2:19.3%
- 3:04.8%
- 3:16.7%
- 3:24.6%
- 4:02.6%
- 4:13.6%
- 4:22.5%
- 5:01.1%
- 5:11.6%
- 5:21.1%
- Other home win4.1%
- 0:03.9%
- 1:19.7%
- 2:26.5%
- 3:32.1%
- Other draw0.5%
- 0:13.0%
- 0:22.8%
- 1:26.0%
- 0:31.3%
- 1:32.8%
- 2:33.0%
- 0:40.4%
- 1:41.0%
- 2:41.0%
- 0:50.1%
- 1:50.3%
- 2:50.3%
- Other away win1.4%
Scores outside the grid are pooled into "other home win / draw / away win".
Total goals (0β7+)
| Over / under | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 87.8% | 68.6% | 47.2% | 28.2% |
| Under | 12.2% | 31.4% | 52.8% | 71.8% |
Goals parity (3+ goals = over)
- Over, odd
- 39.7%
- Over, even
- 29.0%
- Under, odd
- 8.3%
- Under, even
- 23.1%
Both teams to score Β· Clean-sheet probability
- Both teams to score: Yes
- 67.3%
- Both teams to score: No
- 32.7%
- Clean-sheet probability Β· Los Angeles FC
- 25.0%
- Clean-sheet probability Β· Minnesota United FC
- 11.6%
Goals per team (0β3+)
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles FC | 11.6% | 25.0% | 26.9% | 36.4% |
| Minnesota United FC | 25.0% | 34.7% | 24.0% | 16.3% |
Half-time / full-time
| HT β / FT β | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | H/H 34.0% | H/D 5.5% | H/A 2.0% |
| Draw | D/H 16.2% | D/D 11.6% | D/A 8.1% |
| Away | A/H 3.8% | A/D 5.5% | A/A 13.2% |
First letter = half-time result, second = full-time result (H home, D draw, A away).
Club profiles
Los Angeles FC
An MLS club from Los Angeles that began play in 2018 and has been a regular Western Conference playoff side; in 2026 it sits in the playoff places under interim coach Xavi Tamarit.
- City
- Los Angeles, United States
- Stadium
- BMO Stadium
- Founded
- 2014
- Head coach
- Xavi Tamarit (interim)
Minnesota United FC
Nicknamed the Loons, this Saint Paul-based MLS side set a club-record 58 points in 2025 and reached the Western Conference semifinals. In 2026 they are led by Cameron Knowles, who replaced Eric Ramsay, and they signed James RodrΓguez.
- City
- Saint Paul, Minnesota, United States
- Stadium
- Allianz Field
- Founded
- 2007
- Head coach
- Cameron Knowles
Compiled by Claude with a web search (checked 2026-11-06); may contain errors β the clubs' own channels are authoritative.
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