K League 1 Β· Matchday 34

Pohang Steelers vs Jeju SK FC prediction: 1X2, correct score, goals, HT/FT

Pohang Steelers
DDLWD
1 - 1
HT 1-1
Jeju SK FC
LLLWD

Kick-off (UTC): Β· Model data as of 2026-10-26

Pre-match probabilities (computed from information available before kick-off): Pohang Steelers win 29%, draw 32%, Jeju SK FC win 39%; the final score was 1:1.

Full time: Pohang Steelers 1-1 Jeju SK FC. The pre-match pick (statistical model) was "Jeju SK FC" β€” missed.

Post-match check: pre-match probabilities vs the result

MarketResultPre-match probabilityRank
Full-time resultDraw31.9%#2 of 3
Correct score1:114.8%most likely
Total goals2 goals28.3%most likely
Over/under 2.5Under 2.561.3%most likely
Half-time/full-timeD/D21.5%most likely

A single match says little about a forecast's quality β€” see the league track record for the full picture. Probabilities are for reference only.

AI picks

ModelConfidence: Low (upset risk)
1X2 (match result)Hit
Draw / Jeju SK FC
71%
Handicap 1X2 Β· Home +1Hit
Pohang Steelers
61%
Correct scoreHit
1:1 / 0:0
27%
Total goalsHit
1 / 2 goals
49%
Half-time / full-timeHit
D/D
22%
Over / under 2.5Hit
Under
61%

The top choice for each market β€” for reference only, no guarantee; any bet you place on it is at your own risk. For matches with bookmaker prices the pick equals the top option of the margin-free market consensus; without prices it is the statistical model.

Pre-match template read (from pre-match data)
  • Evenly matched: Pohang Steelers 29%, draw 32%, Jeju SK FC 39% β€” no clear lean from the model.
  • A tight game is the base case: 2.23 goals expected, 61% for under 2.5.
  • The single most likely score is 1:1 (15%) β€” any exact score is a long shot by nature; the likeliest HT/FT path is D/D (22%).
  • Last five: Pohang Steelers DDLWD (1 wins), Jeju SK FC LLLWD (1 wins).
  • A 32% draw probability is on the high side β€” the profile where 1X2 upsets cluster.

Probabilities include the bookmaker consensus, which already reflects public team news; the statistical-model part uses results, scores and the closing prices of past matches, not team news directly. Check official club news before kick-off.

1X2 (match result)

Pohang Steelers 29%Draw 32%Jeju SK FC 39%

No prices available for this match yet β€” the probabilities come from the statistical model alone.

Expected goals Β· Pohang Steelers
1.02
Expected goals Β· Jeju SK FC
1.22
Most likely score
1:1 (15%)
Half-time result
22% / 50% / 28%

Handicap 1X2

Handicap 1X2Pohang SteelersDrawJeju SK FC
Home -30.8%2.5%96.7%
Home -23.3%8.2%88.5%
Home -111.5%17.6%70.9%
Home +1β‰ˆ61.0%21.3%17.7%
Home +282.3%11.7%5.9%
Home +394.1%4.3%1.6%

Model's balanced line: Home +1

Correct score

Pohang Steelers Β· Home
  • 1:09.3%
  • 2:05.6%
  • 2:16.8%
  • 3:01.9%
  • 3:12.3%
  • 3:21.4%
  • 4:00.5%
  • 4:10.6%
  • 4:20.4%
  • 5:00.1%
  • 5:10.1%
  • 5:20.1%
  • Other home win0.2%
Draw
  • 0:012.3%
  • 1:114.8%
  • 2:24.1%
  • 3:30.6%
  • Other draw0.0%
Jeju SK FC Β· Away
  • 0:111.4%
  • 0:27.9%
  • 1:28.1%
  • 0:33.2%
  • 1:33.3%
  • 2:31.7%
  • 0:41.0%
  • 1:41.0%
  • 2:40.5%
  • 0:50.2%
  • 1:50.2%
  • 2:50.1%
  • Other away win0.4%

Scores outside the grid are pooled into "other home win / draw / away win".

Total goals (0–7+)

0
12.3%
1
20.7%
2
28.3%
3
19.9%
4
11.1%
5
5.0%
6
1.9%
7+
0.8%
Over / under1.52.53.54.5
Over67.0%38.7%18.7%7.6%
Under33.0%61.3%81.3%92.4%

Goals parity (3+ goals = over)

Over, odd
25.5%
Over, even
13.1%
Under, odd
20.7%
Under, even
40.6%

Both teams to score Β· Clean-sheet probability

Both teams to score: Yes
46.5%
Both teams to score: No
53.5%
Clean-sheet probability Β· Pohang Steelers
29.6%
Clean-sheet probability Β· Jeju SK FC
36.1%

Goals per team (0–3+)

Team0123+
Pohang Steelers36.1%36.8%18.7%8.4%
Jeju SK FC29.6%36.0%21.9%12.4%

Half-time / full-time

HT ↓ / FT β†’HomeDrawAway
Home
H/H
15.1%
H/D
5.2%
H/A
1.9%
Draw
D/H
12.5%
D/D
21.5%
D/A
16.1%
Away
A/H
1.5%
A/D
5.2%
A/A
21.0%

First letter = half-time result, second = full-time result (H home, D draw, A away).

Club profiles

Pohang Steelers

A K League 1 club owned by the steelmaker POSCO, the Steelers are among South Korea's most decorated sides, with several league titles and three AFC Champions League trophies.

City
Pohang, South Korea
Stadium
Pohang Steelyard
Founded
1973

Jeju SK FC

Formerly known as Jeju United and rebranded as Jeju SK in 2025, the SK Group-backed island club finished 11th in K League 1 in 2025.

City
Seogwipo (Jeju Island), South Korea
Stadium
Jeju World Cup Stadium
Founded
1982
Head coach
SΓ©rgio Costa

Compiled by Claude with a web search (checked 2026-11-06); may contain errors β€” the clubs' own channels are authoritative.

Market & China Sports Lottery guide β†’ Β· League page: K League 1 β†’