Premier League Β· Matchday 9
Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace prediction: 1X2, correct score, goals, HT/FT
Kick-off (UTC): Β· Model data as of 2026-10-26
Pre-match probabilities (computed from information available before kick-off): Tottenham Hotspur win 58%, draw 23%, Crystal Palace win 19%; the final score was 2:0.
Full time: Tottenham Hotspur 2-0 Crystal Palace. The pre-match pick (market consensus) was "Tottenham Hotspur" β correct.
Post-match check: pre-match probabilities vs the result
| Market | Result | Pre-match probability | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Full-time result | Tottenham Hotspur | 57.9% | most likely |
| Correct score | 2:0 | 9.5% | #3 of 31 |
| Total goals | 2 goals | 23.0% | most likely |
| Over/under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 42.3% | #2 of 2 |
| Half-time/full-time | H/H | 37.3% | most likely |
A single match says little about a forecast's quality β see the league track record for the full picture. Probabilities are for reference only.
AI picks
Market consensusConfidence: Medium- 1X2 (match result)Hit
- Tottenham Hotspur
- 58%
- Handicap 1X2 Β· Home -1Miss
- Crystal Palace
- 42%
- Correct scoreMiss
- 1:1 / 2:1
- 21%
- Total goalsHit
- 2 / 3 goals
- 45%
- Half-time / full-timeHit
- H/H
- 37%
- Over / under 2.5Miss
- Over
- 58%
The top choice for each market β for reference only, no guarantee; any bet you place on it is at your own risk. For matches with bookmaker prices the pick equals the top option of the margin-free market consensus; without prices it is the statistical model.
Pre-match template read (from pre-match data)
- The published probabilities favour Tottenham Hotspur (58%); expected goals Tottenham Hotspur 1.95 β 1.05 Crystal Palace.
- 3.00 goals expected; over/under 2.5 is close to a coin flip (over 58%).
- The single most likely score is 1:1 (11%) β any exact score is a long shot by nature; the likeliest HT/FT path is H/H (37%).
- Last five: Tottenham Hotspur WWDLD (2 wins), Crystal Palace LLWDL (1 wins).
Probabilities include the bookmaker consensus, which already reflects public team news; the statistical-model part uses results, scores and the closing prices of past matches, not team news directly. Check official club news before kick-off.
1X2 (match result)
1X2 and over/under 2.5 on this page equal the margin-free consensus of the closing prices recorded for this match (football-data.co.uk) (the backtest found the market more accurate than our model, so the model weight is currently 0); every other market comes from the same score matrix.
- Expected goals Β· Tottenham Hotspur
- 1.95
- Expected goals Β· Crystal Palace
- 1.05
- Most likely score
- 1:1 (11%)
- Half-time result
- 44% / 38% / 19%
Handicap 1X2
| Handicap 1X2 | Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home -3 | 6.8% | 10.1% | 83.1% |
| Home -2 | 16.9% | 17.9% | 65.2% |
| Home -1β | 34.8% | 23.1% | 42.1% |
| Home +1 | 80.8% | 12.1% | 7.1% |
| Home +2 | 92.9% | 5.1% | 2.0% |
| Home +3 | 98.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
Model's balanced line: Home -1
Correct score
- 1:09.2%
- 2:09.5%
- 2:19.9%
- 3:06.2%
- 3:16.5%
- 3:23.4%
- 4:03.0%
- 4:13.2%
- 4:21.7%
- 5:01.2%
- 5:11.2%
- 5:20.6%
- Other home win2.4%
- 0:05.6%
- 1:110.8%
- 2:25.2%
- 3:31.2%
- Other draw0.2%
- 0:14.6%
- 0:22.7%
- 1:25.3%
- 0:30.9%
- 1:31.9%
- 2:31.8%
- 0:40.2%
- 1:40.5%
- 2:40.5%
- 0:50.1%
- 1:50.1%
- 2:50.1%
- Other away win0.5%
Scores outside the grid are pooled into "other home win / draw / away win".
Total goals (0β7+)
| Over / under | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 80.7% | 57.7% | 35.3% | 18.5% |
| Under | 19.3% | 42.3% | 64.7% | 81.5% |
Goals parity (3+ goals = over)
- Over, odd
- 34.9%
- Over, even
- 22.7%
- Under, odd
- 13.8%
- Under, even
- 28.5%
Both teams to score Β· Clean-sheet probability
- Both teams to score: Yes
- 56.2%
- Both teams to score: No
- 43.8%
- Clean-sheet probability Β· Tottenham Hotspur
- 35.2%
- Clean-sheet probability Β· Crystal Palace
- 14.2%
Goals per team (0β3+)
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham Hotspur | 14.2% | 27.7% | 27.1% | 31.1% |
| Crystal Palace | 35.2% | 36.8% | 19.2% | 8.9% |
Half-time / full-time
| HT β / FT β | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | H/H 37.3% | H/D 4.9% | H/A 1.4% |
| Draw | D/H 17.5% | D/D 13.2% | D/A 7.1% |
| Away | A/H 3.1% | A/D 4.9% | A/A 10.8% |
First letter = half-time result, second = full-time result (H home, D draw, A away).
Club profiles
Tottenham Hotspur
A North London club and long-time Premier League side that avoided relegation on the final day of 2025β26.
- City
- London, England
- Stadium
- Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
- Founded
- 1882
- Head coach
- Roberto De Zerbi
Crystal Palace
A south London Premier League club nicknamed the Eagles, who won the FA Cup in 2025 and are now coached by Frenchman Pierre Sage, appointed in June 2026.
- City
- London, England
- Stadium
- Selhurst Park
- Founded
- 1861
- Head coach
- Pierre Sage
Compiled by Claude with a web search (checked 2026-11-06); may contain errors β the clubs' own channels are authoritative.
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