Premier League Β· Matchday 9

Hull City vs Ipswich Town prediction: 1X2, correct score, goals, HT/FT

Hull City
DLDLD
2 - 2
HT 0-1
Ipswich Town
DLWLW

Kick-off (UTC): Β· Model data as of 2026-10-26

Pre-match probabilities (computed from information available before kick-off): Hull City win 32%, draw 28%, Ipswich Town win 40%; the final score was 2:2.

Full time: Hull City 2-2 Ipswich Town. The pre-match pick (market consensus) was "Ipswich Town" β€” missed.

Post-match check: pre-match probabilities vs the result

MarketResultPre-match probabilityRank
Full-time resultDraw27.7%#3 of 3
Correct score2:25.4%#9 of 31
Total goals4 goals14.6%#4 of 8
Over/under 2.5Over 2.549.7%#2 of 2
Half-time/full-timeA/D5.5%#6 of 9

A single match says little about a forecast's quality β€” see the league track record for the full picture. Probabilities are for reference only.

AI picks

Market consensusConfidence: Low (upset risk)
1X2 (match result)Miss
Hull City / Ipswich Town
72%
Handicap 1X2 Β· Home +1Hit
Hull City
60%
Correct scoreMiss
1:1 / 0:1
22%
Total goalsMiss
2 / 3 goals
48%
Half-time / full-timeMiss
A/A
24%
Over / under 2.5Miss
Under
50%

The top choice for each market β€” for reference only, no guarantee; any bet you place on it is at your own risk. For matches with bookmaker prices the pick equals the top option of the margin-free market consensus; without prices it is the statistical model.

Pre-match template read (from pre-match data)
  • Evenly matched: Hull City 32%, draw 28%, Ipswich Town 40% β€” no clear lean from the probabilities.
  • 2.66 goals expected; over/under 2.5 is close to a coin flip (over 50%).
  • The single most likely score is 1:1 (13%) β€” any exact score is a long shot by nature; the likeliest HT/FT path is A/A (24%).
  • Last five: Hull City DLDLD (0 wins), Ipswich Town DLWLW (2 wins).

Probabilities include the bookmaker consensus, which already reflects public team news; the statistical-model part uses results, scores and the closing prices of past matches, not team news directly. Check official club news before kick-off.

1X2 (match result)

Hull City 32%Draw 28%Ipswich Town 40%

1X2 and over/under 2.5 on this page equal the margin-free consensus of the closing prices recorded for this match (football-data.co.uk) (the backtest found the market more accurate than our model, so the model weight is currently 0); every other market comes from the same score matrix.

Expected goals Β· Hull City
1.25
Expected goals Β· Ipswich Town
1.41
Most likely score
1:1 (13%)
Half-time result
27% / 42% / 31%

Handicap 1X2

Handicap 1X2Hull CityDrawIpswich Town
Home -31.3%3.5%95.2%
Home -24.8%9.5%85.7%
Home -114.3%18.2%67.5%
Home +1β‰ˆ60.2%20.6%19.2%
Home +280.8%12.0%7.2%
Home +392.8%5.0%2.2%

Model's balanced line: Home +1

Correct score

Hull City Β· Home
  • 1:07.9%
  • 2:05.5%
  • 2:17.7%
  • 3:02.3%
  • 3:13.2%
  • 3:22.3%
  • 4:00.7%
  • 4:11.0%
  • 4:20.7%
  • 5:00.2%
  • 5:10.3%
  • 5:20.2%
  • Other home win0.6%
Draw
  • 0:07.9%
  • 1:113.2%
  • 2:25.4%
  • 3:31.1%
  • Other draw0.1%
Ipswich Town Β· Away
  • 0:19.0%
  • 0:26.9%
  • 1:28.7%
  • 0:33.3%
  • 1:34.1%
  • 2:32.6%
  • 0:41.2%
  • 1:41.4%
  • 2:40.9%
  • 0:50.3%
  • 1:50.4%
  • 2:50.3%
  • Other away win0.8%

Scores outside the grid are pooled into "other home win / draw / away win".

Total goals (0–7+)

0
7.9%
1
16.8%
2
25.6%
3
22.0%
4
14.6%
5
7.8%
6
3.5%
7+
1.9%
Over / under1.52.53.54.5
Over75.3%49.7%27.8%13.2%
Under24.7%50.3%72.2%86.8%

Goals parity (3+ goals = over)

Over, odd
31.2%
Over, even
18.5%
Under, odd
16.8%
Under, even
33.5%

Both teams to score Β· Clean-sheet probability

Both teams to score: Yes
54.9%
Both teams to score: No
45.1%
Clean-sheet probability Β· Hull City
24.4%
Clean-sheet probability Β· Ipswich Town
28.6%

Goals per team (0–3+)

Team0123+
Hull City28.6%35.8%22.4%13.2%
Ipswich Town24.4%34.4%24.3%16.9%

Half-time / full-time

HT ↓ / FT β†’HomeDrawAway
Home
H/H
18.9%
H/D
5.5%
H/A
2.3%
Draw
D/H
11.6%
D/D
16.7%
D/A
13.8%
Away
A/H
1.9%
A/D
5.5%
A/A
23.8%

First letter = half-time result, second = full-time result (H home, D draw, A away).

Club profiles

Hull City

Nicknamed the Tigers and owned by Acun Medya, Hull City play in the 2026–27 Premier League after finishing fifth in the Championship last season, under head coach Sergej JakiroviΔ‡.

City
Kingston upon Hull, England
Stadium
MKM Stadium
Founded
1904
Head coach
Sergej Jakirović

Ipswich Town

Suffolk club nicknamed the Tractor Boys, who returned to the Premier League for 2026-27 and play in blue and white at Portman Road under Gary O'Neil.

City
Ipswich, England
Stadium
Portman Road
Founded
1878
Head coach
Gary O'Neil

Compiled by Claude with a web search (checked 2026-11-06); may contain errors β€” the clubs' own channels are authoritative.

Market & China Sports Lottery guide β†’ Β· League page: Premier League β†’