Eredivisie Β· Matchday 11

Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard prediction: 1X2, correct score, goals, HT/FT

Feyenoord
DWWWW
1 - 1
HT 0-0
Fortuna Sittard
WDDWL

Kick-off (UTC): Β· Model data as of 2026-10-26

Pre-match probabilities (computed from information available before kick-off): Feyenoord win 81%, draw 12%, Fortuna Sittard win 7%; the final score was 1:1.

Full time: Feyenoord 1-1 Fortuna Sittard. The pre-match pick (market consensus) was "Feyenoord" β€” missed.

Post-match check: pre-match probabilities vs the result

MarketResultPre-match probabilityRank
Full-time resultDraw11.8%#2 of 3
Correct score1:15.2%#9 of 31
Total goals2 goals15.1%#4 of 8
Over/under 2.5Under 2.524.5%#2 of 2
Half-time/full-timeD/D6.3%#3 of 9

A single match says little about a forecast's quality β€” see the league track record for the full picture. Probabilities are for reference only.

AI picks

Market consensusConfidence: High
1X2 (match result)Miss
Feyenoord
81%
Handicap 1X2 Β· Home -2Miss
Feyenoord
43%
Correct scoreMiss
3:0 / 2:0
19%
Total goalsMiss
3 / 4 goals
39%
Half-time / full-timeMiss
H/H
58%
Over / under 2.5Miss
Over
75%

The top choice for each market β€” for reference only, no guarantee; any bet you place on it is at your own risk. For matches with bookmaker prices the pick equals the top option of the margin-free market consensus; without prices it is the statistical model.

Pre-match template read (from pre-match data)
  • The published probabilities favour Feyenoord (81%); expected goals Feyenoord 3.10 – 0.85 Fortuna Sittard.
  • Goals look likely: 3.95 expected in total, 75% for over 2.5 and 55% for both teams to score.
  • The single most likely score is 3:0 (10%) β€” any exact score is a long shot by nature; the likeliest HT/FT path is H/H (58%).
  • Last five: Feyenoord DWWWW (4 wins), Fortuna Sittard WDDWL (2 wins).

Probabilities include the bookmaker consensus, which already reflects public team news; the statistical-model part uses results, scores and the closing prices of past matches, not team news directly. Check official club news before kick-off.

1X2 (match result)

Feyenoord 81%Draw 12%Fortuna Sittard 7%

1X2 and over/under 2.5 on this page equal the margin-free consensus of the closing prices recorded for this match (football-data.co.uk) (the backtest found the market more accurate than our model, so the model weight is currently 0); every other market comes from the same score matrix.

Expected goals Β· Feyenoord
3.10
Expected goals Β· Fortuna Sittard
0.85
Most likely score
3:0 (10%)
Half-time result
62% / 28% / 10%

Handicap 1X2

Handicap 1X2FeyenoordDrawFortuna Sittard
Home -325.0%17.8%57.2%
Home -2β‰ˆ42.8%20.6%36.6%
Home -163.4%18.0%18.6%
Home +193.2%4.8%2.0%
Home +298.0%1.5%0.4%
Home +399.6%0.4%0.1%

Model's balanced line: Home -2

Correct score

Feyenoord Β· Home
  • 1:05.8%
  • 2:09.2%
  • 2:17.9%
  • 3:09.6%
  • 3:18.1%
  • 3:23.5%
  • 4:07.4%
  • 4:16.3%
  • 4:22.7%
  • 5:04.6%
  • 5:13.9%
  • 5:21.7%
  • Other home win10.8%
Draw
  • 0:02.1%
  • 1:15.2%
  • 2:23.3%
  • 3:31.0%
  • Other draw0.2%
Fortuna Sittard Β· Away
  • 0:11.5%
  • 0:20.7%
  • 1:22.2%
  • 0:30.2%
  • 1:30.6%
  • 2:30.9%
  • 0:40.0%
  • 1:40.1%
  • 2:40.2%
  • 0:50.0%
  • 1:50.0%
  • 2:50.0%
  • Other away win0.3%

Scores outside the grid are pooled into "other home win / draw / away win".

Total goals (0–7+)

0
2.1%
1
7.3%
2
15.1%
3
19.8%
4
19.5%
5
15.5%
6
10.2%
7+
10.6%
Over / under1.52.53.54.5
Over90.6%75.5%55.7%36.2%
Under9.4%24.5%44.3%63.8%

Goals parity (3+ goals = over)

Over, odd
42.4%
Over, even
33.1%
Under, odd
7.3%
Under, even
17.2%

Both teams to score Β· Clean-sheet probability

Both teams to score: Yes
54.9%
Both teams to score: No
45.1%
Clean-sheet probability Β· Feyenoord
42.7%
Clean-sheet probability Β· Fortuna Sittard
4.5%

Goals per team (0–3+)

Team0123+
Feyenoord4.5%13.9%21.6%59.9%
Fortuna Sittard42.7%36.3%15.5%5.5%

Half-time / full-time

HT ↓ / FT β†’HomeDrawAway
Home
H/H
58.3%
H/D
2.8%
H/A
0.6%
Draw
D/H
19.4%
D/D
6.3%
D/A
2.6%
Away
A/H
3.7%
A/D
2.8%
A/A
3.6%

First letter = half-time result, second = full-time result (H home, D draw, A away).

Club profiles

Feyenoord

A historic Rotterdam club and one of the Netherlands' big three, known for passionate support and a red-and-white identity, and a regular Eredivisie title contender and European participant.

City
Rotterdam, Netherlands
Stadium
De Kuip (Stadion Feijenoord)
Founded
1908
Head coach
Giovanni van Bronckhorst

Fortuna Sittard

A Limburg club formed by a 1968 merger, Fortuna Sittard have played in the Eredivisie since 2018 and usually finish in mid-table.

City
Sittard, Netherlands
Stadium
Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Founded
1968
Head coach
Danny Buijs

Compiled by Claude with a web search (checked 2026-11-06); may contain errors β€” the clubs' own channels are authoritative.

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