Bundesliga · Matchday 8
Gladbach vs SC Paderborn prediction: 1X2, correct score, goals, HT/FT
Kick-off (UTC): · Model data as of 2026-10-26
Pre-match probabilities (computed from information available before kick-off): Gladbach win 45%, draw 25%, SC Paderborn win 30%; the final score was 0:0.
Full time: Gladbach 0-0 SC Paderborn. The pre-match pick (market consensus) was "Gladbach" — missed.
Post-match check: pre-match probabilities vs the result
| Market | Result | Pre-match probability | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Full-time result | Draw | 25.2% | #3 of 3 |
| Correct score | 0:0 | 5.2% | #8 of 31 |
| Total goals | 0 goals | 5.2% | #7 of 8 |
| Over/under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 39.2% | #2 of 2 |
| Half-time/full-time | D/D | 13.8% | #4 of 9 |
A single match says little about a forecast's quality — see the league track record for the full picture. Probabilities are for reference only.
AI picks
Market consensusConfidence: Low (upset risk)- 1X2 (match result)Miss
- Gladbach / SC Paderborn
- 75%
- Handicap 1X2 · Home -1Hit
- SC Paderborn
- 55%
- Correct scoreMiss
- 1:1 / 2:1
- 21%
- Total goalsMiss
- 2 / 3 goals
- 45%
- Half-time / full-timeMiss
- H/H
- 27%
- Over / under 2.5Miss
- Over
- 61%
The top choice for each market — for reference only, no guarantee; any bet you place on it is at your own risk. For matches with bookmaker prices the pick equals the top option of the margin-free market consensus; without prices it is the statistical model.
Pre-match template read (from pre-match data)
- The published probabilities favour Gladbach (45%); expected goals Gladbach 1.74 – 1.40 SC Paderborn.
- Goals look likely: 3.14 expected in total, 61% for over 2.5 and 63% for both teams to score.
- The single most likely score is 1:1 (11%) — any exact score is a long shot by nature; the likeliest HT/FT path is H/H (27%).
- Last five: Gladbach WLLLL (1 wins), SC Paderborn WDLWL (2 wins).
Probabilities include the bookmaker consensus, which already reflects public team news; the statistical-model part uses results, scores and the closing prices of past matches, not team news directly. Check official club news before kick-off.
1X2 (match result)
1X2 and over/under 2.5 on this page equal the margin-free consensus of the closing prices recorded for this match (football-data.co.uk) (the backtest found the market more accurate than our model, so the model weight is currently 0); every other market comes from the same score matrix.
- Expected goals · Gladbach
- 1.74
- Expected goals · SC Paderborn
- 1.40
- Most likely score
- 1:1 (11%)
- Half-time result
- 35% / 39% / 26%
Handicap 1X2
| Handicap 1X2 | Gladbach | Draw | SC Paderborn |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home -3 | 3.8% | 6.7% | 89.5% |
| Home -2 | 10.5% | 13.8% | 75.7% |
| Home -1≈ | 24.3% | 20.3% | 55.4% |
| Home +1 | 69.8% | 16.2% | 14.0% |
| Home +2 | 86.0% | 8.9% | 5.0% |
| Home +3 | 95.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
Model's balanced line: Home -1
Correct score
- 1:06.6%
- 2:06.5%
- 2:19.2%
- 3:03.8%
- 3:15.3%
- 3:23.7%
- 4:01.6%
- 4:12.3%
- 4:21.6%
- 5:00.6%
- 5:10.8%
- 5:20.6%
- Other home win2.0%
- 0:05.2%
- 1:111.5%
- 2:26.4%
- 3:31.7%
- Other draw0.3%
- 0:15.1%
- 0:24.2%
- 1:27.4%
- 0:32.0%
- 1:33.5%
- 2:33.0%
- 0:40.7%
- 1:41.2%
- 2:41.1%
- 0:50.2%
- 1:50.3%
- 2:50.3%
- Other away win1.2%
Scores outside the grid are pooled into "other home win / draw / away win".
Total goals (0–7+)
| Over / under | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 83.1% | 60.8% | 38.5% | 20.9% |
| Under | 16.9% | 39.2% | 61.5% | 79.1% |
Goals parity (3+ goals = over)
- Over, odd
- 36.3%
- Over, even
- 24.5%
- Under, odd
- 11.7%
- Under, even
- 27.5%
Both teams to score · Clean-sheet probability
- Both teams to score: Yes
- 63.1%
- Both teams to score: No
- 36.9%
- Clean-sheet probability · Gladbach
- 24.6%
- Clean-sheet probability · SC Paderborn
- 17.6%
Goals per team (0–3+)
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gladbach | 17.6% | 30.5% | 26.6% | 25.3% |
| SC Paderborn | 24.6% | 34.5% | 24.2% | 16.7% |
Half-time / full-time
| HT ↓ / FT → | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | H/H 26.7% | H/D 5.7% | H/A 2.3% |
| Draw | D/H 14.9% | D/D 13.8% | D/A 10.7% |
| Away | A/H 3.1% | A/D 5.7% | A/A 17.2% |
First letter = half-time result, second = full-time result (H home, D draw, A away).
Club profiles
Gladbach
Nicknamed "the Foals", Gladbach are a historic Bundesliga club with five league titles in the 1970s who play at Borussia-Park, and Alexander Blessin took over as head coach in September 2026.
- City
- Mönchengladbach, Germany
- Stadium
- Borussia-Park
- Founded
- 1900
- Head coach
- Alexander Blessin
SC Paderborn
A small-city club from North Rhine-Westphalia that returned to the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season, its third top-flight stint, and was 14th in the table after eight matches.
- City
- Paderborn, Germany
- Stadium
- Home Deluxe Arena
- Founded
- 1907
- Head coach
- Ralf Kettemann
Compiled by Claude with a web search (checked 2026-11-06); may contain errors — the clubs' own channels are authoritative.
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