EFL Championship · Matchday 15
Charlton Athletic vs Sheffield United prediction: 1X2, correct score, goals, HT/FT
Kick-off (UTC): · Model data as of 2026-11-07
Our forecast gives Charlton Athletic a 24% chance of winning, 27% for a draw and 50% for Sheffield United; the single most likely score is 1:1 (13%) with 2.71 total goals expected.
AI picks
Market consensusConfidence: Medium- 1X2 (match result)
- Draw / Sheffield United
- 76%
- Handicap 1X2 · Home +1
- Charlton Athletic
- 50%
- Correct score
- 1:1 / 0:1
- 23%
- Total goals
- 2 / 3 goals
- 48%
- Half-time / full-time
- A/A
- 31%
- Over / under 2.5
- Over
- 51%
The top choice for each market — for reference only, no guarantee; any bet you place on it is at your own risk. For matches with bookmaker prices the pick equals the top option of the margin-free market consensus; without prices it is the statistical model.
AI pre-match analysis (written by Claude)
Charlton Athletic host Sheffield United in Championship Round 15 on 7 November, with both sides on four days' rest. Charlton have lost four of their last five and drawn the other. Reports say they have scored just six league goals in 11 games and may be without Nathaniel Chalobah. Sheffield United have won three of their last five and Kalvin Phillips has been passed fit, though this is their second away game in four days. Charlton won both recent meetings 1-0.
The published probabilities make Sheffield United the favourites at 45%, with a draw at 28% and a Charlton win at 27%. Expected goals are 1.16–1.54, with over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams scoring at 55%. The most likely scores are 1:1 (13%), 0:1 (9%) and 1:2 (9%).
Written Fri, Nov 6, 10:36 PM UTC from the data and prices on this page at that time; prices may have moved since.
Written automatically from the data on this page and the pre-match intel. For information only.
Probability data read (template)
- The published probabilities favour Sheffield United (50%); expected goals Charlton Athletic 1.07 – 1.65 Sheffield United.
- 2.71 goals expected; over/under 2.5 is close to a coin flip (over 51%).
- The single most likely score is 1:1 (13%) — any exact score is a long shot by nature; the likeliest HT/FT path is A/A (31%).
- Last five: Charlton Athletic LLLLD (0 wins), Sheffield United WWDWL (3 wins).
- Last 2 meetings in the dataset: Charlton Athletic 2 wins, 0 draws, Sheffield United 0 wins.
Probabilities include the bookmaker consensus, which already reflects public team news; the statistical-model part uses results, scores and the closing prices of past matches, not team news directly. Check official club news before kick-off.
1X2 (match result)
The match has kicked off; probabilities keep the last pre-match blend.
- Expected goals · Charlton Athletic
- 1.07
- Expected goals · Sheffield United
- 1.65
- Most likely score
- 1:1 (13%)
- Half-time result
- 21% / 41% / 38%
Handicap 1X2
| Handicap 1X2 | Charlton Athletic | Draw | Sheffield United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home -3 | 0.6% | 2.0% | 97.3% |
| Home -2 | 2.7% | 6.5% | 90.8% |
| Home -1 | 9.2% | 14.4% | 76.5% |
| Home +1≈ | 50.1% | 22.8% | 27.2% |
| Home +2 | 72.8% | 15.6% | 11.6% |
| Home +3 | 88.4% | 7.5% | 4.1% |
Model's balanced line: Home +1
Correct score
- 1:06.1%
- 2:03.8%
- 2:16.2%
- 3:01.3%
- 3:12.2%
- 3:21.8%
- 4:00.4%
- 4:10.6%
- 4:20.5%
- 5:00.1%
- 5:10.1%
- 5:20.1%
- Other home win0.4%
- 0:07.6%
- 1:112.7%
- 2:25.1%
- 3:31.0%
- Other draw0.1%
- 0:19.9%
- 0:29.0%
- 1:29.6%
- 0:34.9%
- 1:35.3%
- 2:32.8%
- 0:42.0%
- 1:42.2%
- 2:41.2%
- 0:50.7%
- 1:50.7%
- 2:50.4%
- Other away win1.3%
Scores outside the grid are pooled into "other home win / draw / away win".
Total goals (0–7+)
| Over / under | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 76.4% | 51.0% | 28.9% | 13.9% |
| Under | 23.6% | 49.0% | 71.1% | 86.1% |
Goals parity (3+ goals = over)
- Over, odd
- 31.8%
- Over, even
- 19.2%
- Under, odd
- 16.0%
- Under, even
- 33.1%
Both teams to score · Clean-sheet probability
- Both teams to score: Yes
- 53.9%
- Both teams to score: No
- 46.1%
- Clean-sheet probability · Charlton Athletic
- 19.3%
- Clean-sheet probability · Sheffield United
- 34.5%
Goals per team (0–3+)
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlton Athletic | 34.5% | 36.7% | 19.6% | 9.3% |
| Sheffield United | 19.3% | 31.7% | 26.1% | 22.9% |
Half-time / full-time
| HT ↓ / FT → | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | H/H 13.4% | H/D 5.3% | H/A 2.6% |
| Draw | D/H 8.7% | D/D 16.0% | D/A 16.3% |
| Away | A/H 1.5% | A/D 5.3% | A/A 31.1% |
First letter = half-time result, second = full-time result (H home, D draw, A away).
Team news & line-ups
Charlton Athletic
Injuries & suspensions
No absences reported by our data provider.
Starting XI
Formation: 4-1-4-1 · Coach: N. Jones
- 25 W. Mannion
- 20 D. McNamara
- 44 Tyler Bindon
- 12 Billy Dawson Koumetio
- 17 A. Bell
- 6 C. Coventry
- 19 M. Alli
- 32 A. Mwamba
- 26 J. Rankin-Costello
- 7 T. Campbell
- 23 C. Kelman
Sheffield United
Injuries & suspensions
No absences reported by our data provider.
Starting XI
Formation: 4-4-2 · Coach: Chris Wilder
- 1 M. Cooper
- 8 H. Choudhury
- 5 J. Tanganga
- 15 L. Kitching
- 14 H. Burrows
- 19 T. Chong
- 42 Sydie Peck
- 27 K. Phillips
- 11 R. Donovan
- 10 J. Ayew
- 22 B. Brereton
Claude pre-match intel
Claude's independent view from a web search, part of a public test — it does not change the probabilities on this page.
Sheffield United arrive in good form while Charlton are winless in four, scoring just six goals in 11 league games, and now look likely to be without Nathaniel Chalobah. Kalvin Phillips being passed fit nudges the away side's chances slightly higher than the market, though the trip is their second away game in four days. With Charlton struggling badly for goals, a low-scoring match looks a little more likely than the bookmakers suggest.
- Charlton Athletic · Charlton have lost their last four Championship games and sit 21st, four points above the drop zone, after being booed off following the 1-0 home loss to Bolton. (moderate · sheffunitedway.co.uk)
- Charlton Athletic · Nathan Jones calls his side 'fragile' and 'a shadow' of themselves, and says they must win before the international break. Some previews say his job is under pressure. (moderate · thestar.co.uk)
- Charlton Athletic · Nathaniel Chalobah suffered a recurrence of a thigh injury at half-time against Bolton and is doubtful. His diagnosis was still to be confirmed. (moderate · the72.co.uk)
- Charlton Athletic · Collins Sichenje is still out with a cruciate ligament injury. (minor · sports.yahoo.com)
- Charlton Athletic · Charlton have scored only six goals in their last 11 Championship matches. Tyreece Campbell is their top scorer but has not scored in five league games. (moderate · sports.yahoo.com)
- Sheffield United · Kalvin Phillips has been passed fit and travels with the squad. He is likely to return to the XI, with Jairo Riedewald the alternative. (moderate · the72.co.uk)
- Sheffield United · Joe Rothwell is out for a spell after a minor groin operation. (minor · the72.co.uk)
- Sheffield United · Patrick Bamford, who missed the Preston win, could return to the matchday squad. (minor · sports.yahoo.com)
Collected by Claude with web search and may contain mistakes — check official club news. The intel does not change the probabilities on this page; it is part of a public test of whether it can beat the market.
Club profiles
Charlton Athletic
A south-east London club nicknamed the Addicks, based at The Valley and competing in the EFL Championship.
- City
- London, England
- Stadium
- The Valley
- Founded
- 1905
- Head coach
- Nathan Jones
Sheffield United
Nicknamed the Blades, this red-and-white Sheffield club plays in the EFL Championship, reached the 2025 play-off final, and is managed by Chris Wilder, who is in his third spell in charge.
- City
- Sheffield, England
- Stadium
- Bramall Lane
- Founded
- 1889
- Head coach
- Chris Wilder
Compiled by Claude with a web search (checked 2026-11-06); may contain errors — the clubs' own channels are authoritative.
Recent form · Head to head
Charlton Athletic
- LBolton Wanderers0-1 · 11-03
- L@ Middlesbrough0-3 · 10-31
- LNorwich City1-3 · 10-24
- L@ Watford0-2 · 10-17
- D@ Burnley2-2 · 10-13
Sheffield United
- W@ Preston North End3-2 · 11-03
- WWrexham1-0 · 10-30
- DDerby County1-1 · 10-24
- W@ Bristol City1-0 · 10-17
- L@ Portsmouth2-3 · 10-14
Charlton Athletic 4 days rest · Sheffield United 4 days rest
Head to head
- 2026-01-17Charlton Athletic 1-0 Sheffield UnitedEFL Championship
- 2025-09-20Sheffield United 0-1 Charlton AthleticEFL Championship
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