EFL Championship · Matchday 15
Blackburn Rovers vs West Ham United prediction: 1X2, correct score, goals, HT/FT
Kick-off (UTC): · Model data as of 2026-11-07
Our forecast gives Blackburn Rovers a 20% chance of winning, 23% for a draw and 57% for West Ham United; the single most likely score is 1:1 (11%) with 3.08 total goals expected.
AI picks
Market consensusConfidence: Medium- 1X2 (match result)
- West Ham United
- 57%
- Handicap 1X2 · Home +1
- Blackburn Rovers
- 43%
- Correct score
- 1:1 / 1:2
- 21%
- Total goals
- 2 / 3 goals
- 45%
- Half-time / full-time
- A/A
- 37%
- Over / under 2.5
- Over
- 59%
The top choice for each market — for reference only, no guarantee; any bet you place on it is at your own risk. For matches with bookmaker prices the pick equals the top option of the margin-free market consensus; without prices it is the statistical model.
AI pre-match analysis (written by Claude)
Blackburn Rovers host West Ham United at Ewood Park in Championship round 15. The hosts have lost their last two, 1-2 v Stoke City and 0-4 at Swansea City, and have a long defensive injury list, though they have four days' rest to West Ham's three. West Ham had a chaotic week in which Nuno was sacked and Scott Parker took over, and their last outing was a 3-3 draw at Cardiff City.
The published probabilities make West Ham clear favourites at 58%, with the draw at 23% and a Blackburn win at 19%. Expected goals are 1.08–1.99, and the likeliest scores are 1:1 (11%), 1:2 (10%) and 0:2 (9%). Over 2.5 goals stands at 59% and both teams scoring at 58%. These figures blend our model with the consensus of 22 bookmakers.
Written Fri, Nov 6, 10:35 PM UTC from the data and prices on this page at that time; prices may have moved since.
Written automatically from the data on this page and the pre-match intel. For information only.
Probability data read (template)
- The published probabilities favour West Ham United (57%); expected goals Blackburn Rovers 1.09 – 1.98 West Ham United.
- Goals look likely: 3.08 expected in total, 59% for over 2.5 and 58% for both teams to score.
- The single most likely score is 1:1 (11%) — any exact score is a long shot by nature; the likeliest HT/FT path is A/A (37%).
- Last five: Blackburn Rovers LLWLW (2 wins), West Ham United DLLWW (2 wins).
Probabilities include the bookmaker consensus, which already reflects public team news; the statistical-model part uses results, scores and the closing prices of past matches, not team news directly. Check official club news before kick-off.
1X2 (match result)
The match has kicked off; probabilities keep the last pre-match blend.
- Expected goals · Blackburn Rovers
- 1.09
- Expected goals · West Ham United
- 1.98
- Most likely score
- 1:1 (11%)
- Half-time result
- 19% / 37% / 43%
Handicap 1X2
| Handicap 1X2 | Blackburn Rovers | Draw | West Ham United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home -3 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 97.8% |
| Home -2 | 2.2% | 5.4% | 92.4% |
| Home -1 | 7.6% | 12.1% | 80.3% |
| Home +1≈ | 42.8% | 22.6% | 34.6% |
| Home +2 | 65.4% | 17.7% | 16.9% |
| Home +3 | 83.1% | 10.0% | 6.9% |
Model's balanced line: Home +1
Correct score
- 1:04.2%
- 2:02.8%
- 2:15.5%
- 3:01.0%
- 3:12.0%
- 3:22.0%
- 4:00.3%
- 4:10.5%
- 4:20.5%
- 5:00.1%
- 5:10.1%
- 5:20.1%
- Other home win0.6%
- 0:05.4%
- 1:110.8%
- 2:25.4%
- 3:31.3%
- Other draw0.2%
- 0:18.3%
- 0:29.1%
- 1:29.9%
- 0:36.0%
- 1:36.6%
- 2:33.6%
- 0:43.0%
- 1:43.2%
- 2:41.8%
- 0:51.2%
- 1:51.3%
- 2:50.7%
- Other away win2.6%
Scores outside the grid are pooled into "other home win / draw / away win".
Total goals (0–7+)
| Over / under | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 82.0% | 59.4% | 37.0% | 19.8% |
| Under | 18.0% | 40.6% | 63.0% | 80.2% |
Goals parity (3+ goals = over)
- Over, odd
- 35.7%
- Over, even
- 23.7%
- Under, odd
- 12.6%
- Under, even
- 28.0%
Both teams to score · Clean-sheet probability
- Both teams to score: Yes
- 58.1%
- Both teams to score: No
- 41.9%
- Clean-sheet probability · Blackburn Rovers
- 13.8%
- Clean-sheet probability · West Ham United
- 33.5%
Goals per team (0–3+)
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blackburn Rovers | 33.5% | 36.6% | 20.0% | 9.8% |
| West Ham United | 13.8% | 27.3% | 27.1% | 31.9% |
Half-time / full-time
| HT ↓ / FT → | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | H/H 11.1% | H/D 5.0% | H/A 3.1% |
| Draw | D/H 7.1% | D/D 13.1% | D/A 17.0% |
| Away | A/H 1.4% | A/D 5.0% | A/A 37.0% |
First letter = half-time result, second = full-time result (H home, D draw, A away).
Team news & line-ups
Blackburn Rovers
Injuries & suspensions
No absences reported by our data provider.
Starting XI
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · Coach: Tony Mowbray
- 22 B. Tóth
- 27 Gady Beyuku
- 17 H. Carter
- 15 S. McLoughlin
- 3 H. Pickering
- 8 Sam Morsy
- 31 Kristi Montgomery
- 11 J. Fevrier
- 10 T. Cantwell
- 21 O. Afolayan
- 9 A. Guðjohnsen
West Ham United
Injuries & suspensions
No absences reported by our data provider.
Starting XI
Formation: 4-4-1-1 · Coach: S. Parker
- 1 M. Hermansen
- 34 J. Veltman
- 15 K. Mavropanos
- 3 M. Kilman
- 63 Ezra Mayers
- 20 J. Bowen
- 14 D. Mukasa
- 7 A. Engels
- 35 E. Austbö
- 17 M. Kanté
- 9 J. Piroe
Claude pre-match intel
Claude's independent view from a web search, part of a public test — it does not change the probabilities on this page.
West Ham arrive at Ewood Park as clear favourites despite a chaotic week that saw Nuno sacked and Scott Parker take over, with the 3-3 at Cardiff a fair snapshot of their current open, error-prone football. Blackburn's defensive injury list is long and they have lost two in a row, so we see little reason to move away from the market, which already prices the managerial change. With both sides conceding freely, a goal-filled game looks slightly more likely than not.
- West Ham United · Scott Parker was appointed West Ham manager this week after Nuno Espírito Santo was sacked, and this is his second game in charge after a 3-3 draw at Cardiff. (major · readwestham.com)
- Blackburn Rovers · Right-back Ryan Alebiosu limped off against Stoke, is waiting on a scan and is a doubt; Gady Beyuku would likely replace him. (moderate · the72.co.uk)
- Blackburn Rovers · Centre-back Tom Atcheson has a groin niggle and faces a late fitness decision. (moderate · the72.co.uk)
- Blackburn Rovers · Lewis Miller (achilles), Adam Forshaw, Matty Litherland and Ryoya Morishita (out about a month) are unavailable. (moderate · westhamworld.co.uk)
- Blackburn Rovers · Mathias Jørgensen has a thigh problem and is still not ready to return; Scott Wharton is available again. (minor · westhamworld.co.uk)
- West Ham United · Kyle Walker-Peters missed the Cardiff game with an injury and has no confirmed return date; Keiber Lamadrid is still out with a knee injury. (moderate · westhamworld.co.uk)
- West Ham United · Konstantinos Mavropanos returned from a knee injury against Cardiff and is expected to keep his place; Edson Álvarez is still not in the squad. (minor · livescore.com)
- West Ham United · Morato, Castellanos and Magassa were taken off at half-time at Cardiff and may drop to the bench; West Ham have 3 days' rest after Wednesday's game. (minor · livescore.com)
Collected by Claude with web search and may contain mistakes — check official club news. The intel does not change the probabilities on this page; it is part of a public test of whether it can beat the market.
Club profiles
Blackburn Rovers
Founding Football League member and former Premier League champions, Blackburn play in the EFL Championship, where they finished just above the relegation zone in 2025/26 before Tony Mowbray returned as head coach.
- City
- Blackburn, England
- Stadium
- Ewood Park
- Founded
- 1875
- Head coach
- Tony Mowbray
West Ham United
East London club nicknamed the Hammers, with roots in Thames Ironworks and a strong academy tradition, relegated from the Premier League in 2025–26.
- City
- London, England
- Stadium
- London Stadium
- Founded
- 1895
- Head coach
- Scott Parker
Compiled by Claude with a web search (checked 2026-11-06); may contain errors — the clubs' own channels are authoritative.
Recent form · Head to head
Blackburn Rovers
- LStoke City1-2 · 11-03
- L@ Swansea City0-4 · 10-31
- WWrexham2-0 · 10-24
- L@ West Brom2-3 · 10-17
- W@ Bristol City1-0 · 10-13
West Ham United
- D@ Cardiff City3-3 · 11-04
- LWest Brom1-3 · 10-31
- LSouthampton2-3 · 10-24
- W@ Swansea City1-0 · 10-17
- W@ Lincoln City6-0 · 10-14
Blackburn Rovers 4 days rest · West Ham United 3 days rest
Head to head
No recent meetings in the dataset.
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