Eredivisie Β· Matchday 12

Willem II vs PEC Zwolle prediction: 1X2, correct score, goals, HT/FT

Willem II
LLLLL
1 - 1
HT 1-1
PEC Zwolle
WDWLL

Kick-off (UTC): Β· Model data as of 2026-11-02

Pre-match probabilities (computed from information available before kick-off): Willem II win 35%, draw 25%, PEC Zwolle win 40%; the final score was 1:1.

Full time: Willem II 1-1 PEC Zwolle. The pre-match pick (statistical model) was "PEC Zwolle" β€” missed.

Post-match check: pre-match probabilities vs the result

MarketResultPre-match probabilityRank
Full-time resultDraw24.6%#3 of 3
Correct score1:111.3%most likely
Total goals2 goals22.4%most likely
Over/under 2.5Under 2.541.8%#2 of 2
Half-time/full-timeD/D13.7%#3 of 9

A single match says little about a forecast's quality β€” see the league track record for the full picture. Probabilities are for reference only.

AI picks

ModelConfidence: Low (upset risk)
1X2 (match result)Miss
Willem II / PEC Zwolle
75%
Handicap 1X2 Β· Home +1Hit
Willem II
60%
Correct scoreHit
1:1 / 1:2
20%
Total goalsHit
2 / 3 goals
45%
Half-time / full-timeMiss
A/A
24%
Over / under 2.5Miss
Over
58%

The top choice for each market β€” for reference only, no guarantee; any bet you place on it is at your own risk. For matches with bookmaker prices the pick equals the top option of the margin-free market consensus; without prices it is the statistical model.

Pre-match template read (from pre-match data)
  • Evenly matched: Willem II 35%, draw 25%, PEC Zwolle 40% β€” no clear lean from the model.
  • Goals look likely: 3.02 expected in total, 58% for over 2.5 and 61% for both teams to score.
  • The single most likely score is 1:1 (11%) β€” any exact score is a long shot by nature; the likeliest HT/FT path is A/A (24%).
  • Last five: Willem II LLLLL (0 wins), PEC Zwolle WDWLL (2 wins).

Probabilities include the bookmaker consensus, which already reflects public team news; the statistical-model part uses results, scores and the closing prices of past matches, not team news directly. Check official club news before kick-off.

1X2 (match result)

Willem II 35%Draw 25%PEC Zwolle 40%

No prices available for this match yet β€” the probabilities come from the statistical model alone.

Expected goals Β· Willem II
1.45
Expected goals Β· PEC Zwolle
1.57
Most likely score
1:1 (11%)
Half-time result
29% / 39% / 32%

Handicap 1X2

Handicap 1X2Willem IIDrawPEC Zwolle
Home -31.9%4.3%93.9%
Home -26.1%10.3%83.5%
Home -116.5%18.6%64.9%
Home +1β‰ˆ59.7%20.2%20.2%
Home +279.8%12.1%8.1%
Home +391.9%5.4%2.7%

Model's balanced line: Home +1

Correct score

Willem II Β· Home
  • 1:06.8%
  • 2:05.1%
  • 2:18.1%
  • 3:02.5%
  • 3:13.9%
  • 3:23.1%
  • 4:00.9%
  • 4:11.4%
  • 4:21.1%
  • 5:00.3%
  • 5:10.4%
  • 5:20.3%
  • Other home win1.2%
Draw
  • 0:05.1%
  • 1:111.3%
  • 2:26.3%
  • 3:31.6%
  • Other draw0.3%
PEC Zwolle Β· Away
  • 0:17.4%
  • 0:26.0%
  • 1:28.7%
  • 0:33.1%
  • 1:34.6%
  • 2:33.3%
  • 0:41.2%
  • 1:41.8%
  • 2:41.3%
  • 0:50.4%
  • 1:50.6%
  • 2:50.4%
  • Other away win1.5%

Scores outside the grid are pooled into "other home win / draw / away win".

Total goals (0–7+)

0
5.1%
1
14.3%
2
22.4%
3
22.4%
4
16.9%
5
10.2%
6
5.2%
7+
3.5%
Over / under1.52.53.54.5
Over80.7%58.2%35.8%18.9%
Under19.3%41.8%64.2%81.1%

Goals parity (3+ goals = over)

Over, odd
35.2%
Over, even
23.0%
Under, odd
14.3%
Under, even
27.5%

Both teams to score Β· Clean-sheet probability

Both teams to score: Yes
60.9%
Both teams to score: No
39.1%
Clean-sheet probability Β· Willem II
20.8%
Clean-sheet probability Β· PEC Zwolle
23.4%

Goals per team (0–3+)

Team0123+
Willem II23.4%34.0%24.7%17.9%
PEC Zwolle20.8%32.6%25.7%20.9%

Half-time / full-time

HT ↓ / FT β†’HomeDrawAway
Home
H/H
20.7%
H/D
5.5%
H/A
2.7%
Draw
D/H
11.9%
D/D
13.7%
D/A
13.4%
Away
A/H
2.4%
A/D
5.5%
A/A
24.3%

First letter = half-time result, second = full-time result (H home, D draw, A away).

Club profiles

Willem II

A historic Tilburg club nicknamed the Tricolores, three-time Dutch champions and long-time Eredivisie regulars.

City
Tilburg, Netherlands
Stadium
Koning Willem II Stadion
Founded
1896
Head coach
Adrie Koster (caretaker)

PEC Zwolle

Nicknamed the Blauwvingers, PEC Zwolle is an Eredivisie club from Overijssel that returned to the top flight in 2023 and typically plays in the middle to lower part of the table.

City
Zwolle, Netherlands
Stadium
MACΒ³PARK Stadion
Founded
1910
Head coach
Dennis van der Ree

Compiled by Claude with a web search (checked 2026-11-06); may contain errors β€” the clubs' own channels are authoritative.

Market & China Sports Lottery guide β†’ Β· League page: Eredivisie β†’