Conference League · Matchday 3
St. Truiden vs Brann prediction: 1X2, correct score, goals, HT/FT
Kick-off (UTC): · Model data as of 2026-11-05
Pre-match probabilities (computed from information available before kick-off): St. Truiden win 35%, draw 27%, Brann win 38%; the final score was 1:1.
Full time: St. Truiden 1-1 Brann. The pre-match pick (statistical model) was "Brann" — missed.
Post-match check: pre-match probabilities vs the result
| Market | Result | Pre-match probability | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Full-time result | Draw | 26.7% | #3 of 3 |
| Correct score | 1:1 | 12.6% | most likely |
| Total goals | 2 goals | 24.7% | most likely |
| Over/under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 47.8% | #2 of 2 |
| Half-time/full-time | D/D | 15.7% | #3 of 9 |
A single match says little about a forecast's quality — see the league track record for the full picture. Probabilities are for reference only.
AI picks
ModelConfidence: Low (upset risk)- 1X2 (match result)Miss
- St. Truiden / Brann
- 73%
- Handicap 1X2 · Home +1Hit
- St. Truiden
- 62%
- Correct scoreHit
- 1:1 / 1:2
- 21%
- Total goalsHit
- 2 / 3 goals
- 47%
- Half-time / full-timeMiss
- A/A
- 22%
- Over / under 2.5Miss
- Over
- 52%
The top choice for each market — for reference only, no guarantee; any bet you place on it is at your own risk. For matches with bookmaker prices the pick equals the top option of the margin-free market consensus; without prices it is the statistical model.
Pre-match template read (from pre-match data)
- Evenly matched: St. Truiden 35%, draw 27%, Brann 38% — no clear lean from the model.
- 2.76 goals expected; over/under 2.5 is close to a coin flip (over 52%).
- The single most likely score is 1:1 (13%) — any exact score is a long shot by nature; the likeliest HT/FT path is A/A (22%).
- Last five: St. Truiden WWLW (3 wins), Brann WWWDW (4 wins).
Probabilities include the bookmaker consensus, which already reflects public team news; the statistical-model part uses results, scores and the closing prices of past matches, not team news directly. Check official club news before kick-off.
1X2 (match result)
No prices available for this match yet — the probabilities come from the statistical model alone.
- Expected goals · St. Truiden
- 1.35
- Expected goals · Brann
- 1.41
- Most likely score
- 1:1 (13%)
- Half-time result
- 28% / 42% / 30%
Handicap 1X2
| Handicap 1X2 | St. Truiden | Draw | Brann |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home -3 | 1.7% | 4.1% | 94.2% |
| Home -2 | 5.8% | 10.4% | 83.8% |
| Home -1 | 16.2% | 19.1% | 64.8% |
| Home +1≈ | 61.9% | 20.0% | 18.1% |
| Home +2 | 81.9% | 11.4% | 6.7% |
| Home +3 | 93.3% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
Model's balanced line: Home +1
Correct score
- 1:07.9%
- 2:05.7%
- 2:18.1%
- 3:02.6%
- 3:13.7%
- 3:22.6%
- 4:00.9%
- 4:11.2%
- 4:20.9%
- 5:00.2%
- 5:10.3%
- 5:20.2%
- Other home win0.8%
- 0:06.9%
- 1:112.6%
- 2:25.7%
- 3:31.2%
- Other draw0.2%
- 0:18.3%
- 0:26.3%
- 1:28.5%
- 0:33.0%
- 1:34.0%
- 2:32.7%
- 0:41.0%
- 1:41.4%
- 2:41.0%
- 0:50.3%
- 1:50.4%
- 2:50.3%
- Other away win0.9%
Scores outside the grid are pooled into "other home win / draw / away win".
Total goals (0–7+)
| Over / under | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 76.9% | 52.2% | 30.0% | 14.7% |
| Under | 23.1% | 47.8% | 70.0% | 85.3% |
Goals parity (3+ goals = over)
- Over, odd
- 32.4%
- Over, even
- 19.8%
- Under, odd
- 16.2%
- Under, even
- 31.6%
Both teams to score · Clean-sheet probability
- Both teams to score: Yes
- 56.7%
- Both teams to score: No
- 43.3%
- Clean-sheet probability · St. Truiden
- 24.3%
- Clean-sheet probability · Brann
- 25.9%
Goals per team (0–3+)
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Truiden | 25.9% | 35.0% | 23.6% | 15.5% |
| Brann | 24.3% | 34.4% | 24.3% | 17.0% |
Half-time / full-time
| HT ↓ / FT → | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | H/H 20.3% | H/D 5.5% | H/A 2.3% |
| Draw | D/H 12.7% | D/D 15.7% | D/A 13.5% |
| Away | A/H 2.2% | A/D 5.5% | A/A 22.2% |
First letter = half-time result, second = full-time result (H home, D draw, A away).
Club profiles
St. Truiden
Limburg-based Belgian club owned by Japan's DMM, nicknamed the Canaries, which finished third in the 2025–26 Pro League, its best placing in about sixty years, and so qualified for European football.
- City
- Sint-Truiden, Belgium
- Stadium
- Stayen
- Founded
- 1924
- Head coach
- Frédéric De Meyer
Brann
Bergen-based club and one of Norway's best-supported sides, playing in the Eliteserien.
- City
- Bergen, Norway
- Stadium
- Brann Stadion
- Founded
- 1908
- Head coach
- Eirik Horneland
Compiled by Claude with a web search (checked 2026-11-06); may contain errors — the clubs' own channels are authoritative.
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