Conference League · Matchday 3
Mjällby AIF vs Borac Banja Luka prediction: 1X2, correct score, goals, HT/FT
Kick-off (UTC): · Model data as of 2026-11-05
Pre-match probabilities (computed from information available before kick-off): Mjällby AIF win 35%, draw 27%, Borac Banja Luka win 38%; the final score was 2:0.
Full time: Mjällby AIF 2-0 Borac Banja Luka. The pre-match pick (statistical model) was "Borac Banja Luka" — missed.
Post-match check: pre-match probabilities vs the result
| Market | Result | Pre-match probability | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Full-time result | Mjällby AIF | 35.3% | #2 of 3 |
| Correct score | 2:0 | 5.8% | #8 of 31 |
| Total goals | 2 goals | 24.7% | most likely |
| Over/under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 47.8% | #2 of 2 |
| Half-time/full-time | D/H | 12.7% | #5 of 9 |
A single match says little about a forecast's quality — see the league track record for the full picture. Probabilities are for reference only.
AI picks
ModelConfidence: Low (upset risk)- 1X2 (match result)Hit
- Mjällby AIF / Borac Banja Luka
- 73%
- Handicap 1X2 · Home +1Hit
- Mjällby AIF
- 62%
- Correct scoreMiss
- 1:1 / 1:2
- 21%
- Total goalsHit
- 2 / 3 goals
- 47%
- Half-time / full-timeMiss
- A/A
- 22%
- Over / under 2.5Miss
- Over
- 52%
The top choice for each market — for reference only, no guarantee; any bet you place on it is at your own risk. For matches with bookmaker prices the pick equals the top option of the margin-free market consensus; without prices it is the statistical model.
Pre-match template read (from pre-match data)
- Evenly matched: Mjällby AIF 35%, draw 27%, Borac Banja Luka 38% — no clear lean from the model.
- 2.76 goals expected; over/under 2.5 is close to a coin flip (over 52%).
- The single most likely score is 1:1 (13%) — any exact score is a long shot by nature; the likeliest HT/FT path is A/A (22%).
- Last five: Mjällby AIF DWLLL (1 wins), Borac Banja Luka WLWWL (3 wins).
Probabilities include the bookmaker consensus, which already reflects public team news; the statistical-model part uses results, scores and the closing prices of past matches, not team news directly. Check official club news before kick-off.
1X2 (match result)
No prices available for this match yet — the probabilities come from the statistical model alone.
- Expected goals · Mjällby AIF
- 1.35
- Expected goals · Borac Banja Luka
- 1.41
- Most likely score
- 1:1 (13%)
- Half-time result
- 28% / 42% / 30%
Handicap 1X2
| Handicap 1X2 | Mjällby AIF | Draw | Borac Banja Luka |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home -3 | 1.7% | 4.1% | 94.2% |
| Home -2 | 5.8% | 10.4% | 83.8% |
| Home -1 | 16.2% | 19.1% | 64.7% |
| Home +1≈ | 61.9% | 20.0% | 18.1% |
| Home +2 | 81.9% | 11.4% | 6.7% |
| Home +3 | 93.3% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
Model's balanced line: Home +1
Correct score
- 1:07.9%
- 2:05.8%
- 2:18.1%
- 3:02.6%
- 3:13.7%
- 3:22.6%
- 4:00.9%
- 4:11.2%
- 4:20.9%
- 5:00.2%
- 5:10.3%
- 5:20.2%
- Other home win0.8%
- 0:06.9%
- 1:112.6%
- 2:25.7%
- 3:31.2%
- Other draw0.2%
- 0:18.3%
- 0:26.3%
- 1:28.5%
- 0:33.0%
- 1:34.0%
- 2:32.7%
- 0:41.0%
- 1:41.4%
- 2:41.0%
- 0:50.3%
- 1:50.4%
- 2:50.3%
- Other away win0.9%
Scores outside the grid are pooled into "other home win / draw / away win".
Total goals (0–7+)
| Over / under | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 76.9% | 52.2% | 30.0% | 14.7% |
| Under | 23.1% | 47.8% | 70.0% | 85.3% |
Goals parity (3+ goals = over)
- Over, odd
- 32.4%
- Over, even
- 19.8%
- Under, odd
- 16.2%
- Under, even
- 31.6%
Both teams to score · Clean-sheet probability
- Both teams to score: Yes
- 56.7%
- Both teams to score: No
- 43.3%
- Clean-sheet probability · Mjällby AIF
- 24.3%
- Clean-sheet probability · Borac Banja Luka
- 25.9%
Goals per team (0–3+)
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mjällby AIF | 25.9% | 35.0% | 23.6% | 15.5% |
| Borac Banja Luka | 24.3% | 34.4% | 24.3% | 17.0% |
Half-time / full-time
| HT ↓ / FT → | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | H/H 20.4% | H/D 5.5% | H/A 2.3% |
| Draw | D/H 12.7% | D/D 15.7% | D/A 13.5% |
| Away | A/H 2.2% | A/D 5.5% | A/A 22.2% |
First letter = half-time result, second = full-time result (H home, D draw, A away).
Club profiles
Mjällby AIF
A small-town club from Blekinge on Sweden's south coast that won its first Allsvenskan title in 2025 and now plays in the Champions League.
- City
- Hällevik (Sölvesborg), Sweden
- Stadium
- Strandvallen
- Founded
- 1939
- Head coach
- Andreas Brännström
Borac Banja Luka
Borac are one of the leading clubs in the Bosnian Premier League and a regular in UEFA qualifying, including the 2026-27 Champions League qualifiers against Levski Sofia.
- City
- Banja Luka, Bosnia and Herzegovina
- Stadium
- Gradski Stadion Banja Luka
- Founded
- 1926
- Head coach
- Vinko Marinović
Compiled by Claude with a web search (checked 2026-11-06); may contain errors — the clubs' own channels are authoritative.
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