Conference League Β· Matchday 3
FC Copenhagen vs FC Iberia 1999 prediction: 1X2, correct score, goals, HT/FT
Kick-off (UTC): Β· Model data as of 2026-11-05
Pre-match probabilities (computed from information available before kick-off): FC Copenhagen win 85%, draw 11%, FC Iberia 1999 win 4%; the final score was 2:1.
Full time: FC Copenhagen 2-1 FC Iberia 1999. The pre-match pick (statistical model) was "FC Copenhagen" β correct.
Post-match check: pre-match probabilities vs the result
| Market | Result | Pre-match probability | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Full-time result | FC Copenhagen | 84.9% | most likely |
| Correct score | 2:1 | 7.3% | #7 of 31 |
| Total goals | 3 goals | 20.9% | most likely |
| Over/under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.2% | most likely |
| Half-time/full-time | H/H | 62.2% | most likely |
A single match says little about a forecast's quality β see the league track record for the full picture. Probabilities are for reference only.
AI picks
ModelConfidence: High- 1X2 (match result)Hit
- FC Copenhagen
- 85%
- Handicap 1X2 Β· Home -2Miss
- FC Copenhagen
- 46%
- Correct scoreMiss
- 3:0 / 2:0
- 24%
- Total goalsHit
- 3 / 4 goals
- 40%
- Half-time / full-timeHit
- H/H
- 62%
- Over / under 2.5Hit
- Over
- 71%
The top choice for each market β for reference only, no guarantee; any bet you place on it is at your own risk. For matches with bookmaker prices the pick equals the top option of the margin-free market consensus; without prices it is the statistical model.
Pre-match template read (from pre-match data)
- The model favours FC Copenhagen (85%); expected goals FC Copenhagen 3.06 β 0.62 FC Iberia 1999.
- Goals look likely: 3.69 expected in total, 71% for over 2.5 and 44% for both teams to score.
- The single most likely score is 3:0 (12%) β any exact score is a long shot by nature; the likeliest HT/FT path is H/H (62%).
- Last five: FC Copenhagen DWWDW (3 wins), FC Iberia 1999 DLLLD (0 wins).
Probabilities include the bookmaker consensus, which already reflects public team news; the statistical-model part uses results, scores and the closing prices of past matches, not team news directly. Check official club news before kick-off.
1X2 (match result)
No prices available for this match yet β the probabilities come from the statistical model alone.
- Expected goals Β· FC Copenhagen
- 3.06
- Expected goals Β· FC Iberia 1999
- 0.62
- Most likely score
- 3:0 (12%)
- Half-time result
- 65% / 28% / 7%
Handicap 1X2
| Handicap 1X2 | FC Copenhagen | Draw | FC Iberia 1999 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home -3 | 27.2% | 19.0% | 53.9% |
| Home -2β | 46.1% | 21.3% | 32.6% |
| Home -1 | 67.4% | 17.5% | 15.1% |
| Home +1 | 95.6% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Home +2 | 98.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Home +3 | 99.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Model's balanced line: Home -2
Correct score
- 1:07.4%
- 2:011.8%
- 2:17.3%
- 3:012.0%
- 3:17.5%
- 3:22.3%
- 4:09.2%
- 4:15.7%
- 4:21.8%
- 5:05.6%
- 5:13.5%
- 5:21.1%
- Other home win9.6%
- 0:02.7%
- 1:15.0%
- 2:22.3%
- 3:30.5%
- Other draw0.1%
- 0:11.3%
- 0:20.5%
- 1:21.5%
- 0:30.1%
- 1:30.3%
- 2:30.5%
- 0:40.0%
- 1:40.0%
- 2:40.1%
- 0:50.0%
- 1:50.0%
- 2:50.0%
- Other away win0.1%
Scores outside the grid are pooled into "other home win / draw / away win".
Total goals (0β7+)
| Over / under | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 88.5% | 71.2% | 50.3% | 31.0% |
| Under | 11.5% | 28.8% | 49.7% | 69.0% |
Goals parity (3+ goals = over)
- Over, odd
- 40.7%
- Over, even
- 30.5%
- Under, odd
- 8.8%
- Under, even
- 20.0%
Both teams to score Β· Clean-sheet probability
- Both teams to score: Yes
- 44.5%
- Both teams to score: No
- 55.5%
- Clean-sheet probability Β· FC Copenhagen
- 53.6%
- Clean-sheet probability Β· FC Iberia 1999
- 4.7%
Goals per team (0β3+)
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Copenhagen | 4.7% | 14.3% | 21.9% | 59.0% |
| FC Iberia 1999 | 53.6% | 33.4% | 10.4% | 2.6% |
Half-time / full-time
| HT β / FT β | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | H/H 62.2% | H/D 2.2% | H/A 0.3% |
| Draw | D/H 19.8% | D/D 6.3% | D/A 1.8% |
| Away | A/H 2.9% | A/D 2.2% | A/A 2.3% |
First letter = half-time result, second = full-time result (H home, D draw, A away).
Club profiles
FC Copenhagen
Denmark's most successful club, record 16-time Danish champions and based at Parken, who finished 7th in the 2025β26 Superliga and are managed by Bo Svensson.
- City
- Copenhagen, Denmark
- Stadium
- Parken
- Founded
- 1992
- Head coach
- Bo Svensson
FC Iberia 1999
Tbilisi-based Erovnuli Liga club, formerly FC Saburtalo and renamed Iberia 1999 in 2024, which entered the 2026β27 UEFA Champions League qualifying rounds as a Georgian representative.
- City
- Tbilisi, Georgia
- Stadium
- Mikheil Meskhi Stadium
- Founded
- 1999
Compiled by Claude with a web search (checked 2026-11-06); may contain errors β the clubs' own channels are authoritative.
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