MLS · Matchday 33
New England Revolution vs Inter Miami prediction: 1X2, correct score, goals, HT/FT
Kick-off (UTC): · Model data as of 2026-11-02
Pre-match probabilities (computed from information available before kick-off): New England Revolution win 33%, draw 24%, Inter Miami win 43%; the final score was 1:2.
Full time: New England Revolution 1-2 Inter Miami. The pre-match pick (market consensus) was "Inter Miami" — correct.
Post-match check: pre-match probabilities vs the result
| Market | Result | Pre-match probability | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Full-time result | Inter Miami | 43.1% | most likely |
| Correct score | 1:2 | 8.4% | #2 of 31 |
| Total goals | 3 goals | 21.0% | most likely |
| Over/under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.0% | most likely |
| Half-time/full-time | D/A | 13.3% | #3 of 9 |
A single match says little about a forecast's quality — see the league track record for the full picture. Probabilities are for reference only.
AI picks
Market consensusConfidence: Low (upset risk)- 1X2 (match result)Hit
- New England Revolution / Inter Miami
- 76%
- Handicap 1X2 · Home +1Miss
- New England Revolution
- 57%
- Correct scoreHit
- 1:1 / 1:2
- 18%
- Total goalsHit
- 3 / 4 goals
- 40%
- Half-time / full-timeMiss
- A/A
- 26%
- Over / under 2.5Hit
- Over
- 71%
The top choice for each market — for reference only, no guarantee; any bet you place on it is at your own risk. For matches with bookmaker prices the pick equals the top option of the margin-free market consensus; without prices it is the statistical model.
Pre-match template read (from pre-match data)
- Evenly matched: New England Revolution 33%, draw 24%, Inter Miami 43% — no clear lean from the probabilities.
- Goals look likely: 3.67 expected in total, 71% for over 2.5 and 71% for both teams to score.
- The single most likely score is 1:1 (10%) — any exact score is a long shot by nature; the likeliest HT/FT path is A/A (26%).
- Last five: New England Revolution WWWWL (4 wins), Inter Miami DLWWW (3 wins).
Probabilities include the bookmaker consensus, which already reflects public team news; the statistical-model part uses results, scores and the closing prices of past matches, not team news directly. Check official club news before kick-off.
1X2 (match result)
1X2 and over/under 2.5 on this page equal the margin-free consensus of the closing prices recorded for this match (football-data.co.uk) (the backtest found the market more accurate than our model, so the model weight is currently 0); every other market comes from the same score matrix.
- Expected goals · New England Revolution
- 1.71
- Expected goals · Inter Miami
- 1.96
- Most likely score
- 1:1 (10%)
- Half-time result
- 29% / 36% / 35%
Handicap 1X2
| Handicap 1X2 | New England Revolution | Draw | Inter Miami |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home -3 | 2.5% | 4.7% | 92.9% |
| Home -2 | 7.1% | 10.1% | 82.8% |
| Home -1 | 17.2% | 16.2% | 66.6% |
| Home +1≈ | 56.9% | 18.6% | 24.5% |
| Home +2 | 75.5% | 13.2% | 11.3% |
| Home +3 | 88.7% | 6.9% | 4.4% |
Model's balanced line: Home +1
Correct score
- 1:03.4%
- 2:03.7%
- 2:17.3%
- 3:02.1%
- 3:14.2%
- 3:24.1%
- 4:00.9%
- 4:11.8%
- 4:21.8%
- 5:00.3%
- 5:10.6%
- 5:20.6%
- Other home win2.5%
- 0:03.5%
- 1:19.5%
- 2:27.2%
- 3:32.7%
- Other draw0.6%
- 0:14.0%
- 0:24.9%
- 1:28.4%
- 0:33.2%
- 1:35.4%
- 2:34.7%
- 0:41.6%
- 1:42.7%
- 2:42.3%
- 0:50.6%
- 1:51.0%
- 2:50.9%
- Other away win3.5%
Scores outside the grid are pooled into "other home win / draw / away win".
Total goals (0–7+)
| Over / under | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 89.1% | 71.0% | 50.0% | 30.7% |
| Under | 10.9% | 29.0% | 50.0% | 69.3% |
Goals parity (3+ goals = over)
- Over, odd
- 40.6%
- Over, even
- 30.3%
- Under, odd
- 7.4%
- Under, even
- 21.7%
Both teams to score · Clean-sheet probability
- Both teams to score: Yes
- 71.4%
- Both teams to score: No
- 28.6%
- Clean-sheet probability · New England Revolution
- 14.1%
- Clean-sheet probability · Inter Miami
- 18.0%
Goals per team (0–3+)
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England Revolution | 18.0% | 30.9% | 26.5% | 24.7% |
| Inter Miami | 14.1% | 27.7% | 27.1% | 31.1% |
Half-time / full-time
| HT ↓ / FT → | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | H/H 19.7% | H/D 6.0% | H/A 3.5% |
| Draw | D/H 10.8% | D/D 11.6% | D/A 13.3% |
| Away | A/H 2.9% | A/D 6.0% | A/A 26.2% |
First letter = half-time result, second = full-time result (H home, D draw, A away).
Club profiles
New England Revolution
A founding Major League Soccer club owned by the Kraft Group, the Revolution play in the Boston area under head coach Marko Mitrović and reached the 2026 MLS Cup playoffs.
- City
- Foxborough, Massachusetts, United States
- Stadium
- Gillette Stadium
- Founded
- 1995
- Head coach
- Marko Mitrović
Inter Miami
Co-owned by David Beckham and the Mas family, Inter Miami are the reigning MLS Cup champions (2025) and 2026 Campeones Cup winners. Their attack is led by Lionel Messi, and they moved into the new Nu Stadium in April 2026.
- City
- Miami, United States
- Stadium
- Nu Stadium
- Founded
- 2018
- Head coach
- Kily González
Compiled by Claude with a web search (checked 2026-11-06); may contain errors — the clubs' own channels are authoritative.