Eredivisie Β· Matchday 11
Cambuur vs Go Ahead Eagles prediction: 1X2, correct score, goals, HT/FT
Kick-off (UTC): Β· Model data as of 2026-10-26
Pre-match probabilities (computed from information available before kick-off): Cambuur win 39%, draw 24%, Go Ahead Eagles win 37%; the final score was 4:0.
Full time: Cambuur 4-0 Go Ahead Eagles. The pre-match pick (market consensus) was "Cambuur" β correct.
Post-match check: pre-match probabilities vs the result
| Market | Result | Pre-match probability | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Full-time result | Cambuur | 38.9% | most likely |
| Correct score | 4:0 | 1.2% | #23 of 31 |
| Total goals | 4 goals | 18.6% | #3 of 8 |
| Over/under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.2% | most likely |
| Half-time/full-time | H/H | 23.2% | most likely |
A single match says little about a forecast's quality β see the league track record for the full picture. Probabilities are for reference only.
AI picks
Market consensusConfidence: Low (upset risk)- 1X2 (match result)Hit
- Cambuur / Go Ahead Eagles
- 76%
- Handicap 1X2 Β· Home -1Miss
- Go Ahead Eagles
- 61%
- Correct scoreMiss
- 1:1 / 2:1
- 19%
- Total goalsMiss
- 2 / 3 goals
- 42%
- Half-time / full-timeHit
- H/H
- 23%
- Over / under 2.5Hit
- Over
- 66%
The top choice for each market β for reference only, no guarantee; any bet you place on it is at your own risk. For matches with bookmaker prices the pick equals the top option of the margin-free market consensus; without prices it is the statistical model.
Pre-match template read (from pre-match data)
- Evenly matched: Cambuur 39%, draw 24%, Go Ahead Eagles 37% β no clear lean from the probabilities.
- Goals look likely: 3.41 expected in total, 66% for over 2.5 and 68% for both teams to score.
- The single most likely score is 1:1 (11%) β any exact score is a long shot by nature; the likeliest HT/FT path is H/H (23%).
- Last five: Cambuur WDWDW (3 wins), Go Ahead Eagles WLDDD (1 wins).
Probabilities include the bookmaker consensus, which already reflects public team news; the statistical-model part uses results, scores and the closing prices of past matches, not team news directly. Check official club news before kick-off.
1X2 (match result)
1X2 and over/under 2.5 on this page equal the margin-free consensus of the closing prices recorded for this match (football-data.co.uk) (the backtest found the market more accurate than our model, so the model weight is currently 0); every other market comes from the same score matrix.
- Expected goals Β· Cambuur
- 1.73
- Expected goals Β· Go Ahead Eagles
- 1.68
- Most likely score
- 1:1 (11%)
- Half-time result
- 32% / 37% / 31%
Handicap 1X2
| Handicap 1X2 | Cambuur | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home -3 | 3.1% | 5.7% | 91.3% |
| Home -2 | 8.7% | 11.9% | 79.4% |
| Home -1β | 20.6% | 18.3% | 61.1% |
| Home +1 | 63.4% | 17.7% | 19.0% |
| Home +2 | 81.0% | 11.1% | 7.8% |
| Home +3 | 92.2% | 5.1% | 2.7% |
Model's balanced line: Home -1
Correct score
- 1:04.8%
- 2:05.0%
- 2:18.3%
- 3:02.9%
- 3:14.8%
- 3:24.0%
- 4:01.2%
- 4:12.1%
- 4:21.7%
- 5:00.4%
- 5:10.7%
- 5:20.6%
- Other home win2.3%
- 0:04.2%
- 1:110.5%
- 2:27.0%
- 3:32.3%
- Other draw0.5%
- 0:14.6%
- 0:24.7%
- 1:28.1%
- 0:32.6%
- 1:34.5%
- 2:33.9%
- 0:41.1%
- 1:41.9%
- 2:41.6%
- 0:50.4%
- 1:50.6%
- 2:50.5%
- Other away win2.1%
Scores outside the grid are pooled into "other home win / draw / away win".
Total goals (0β7+)
| Over / under | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 86.3% | 66.2% | 44.3% | 25.7% |
| Under | 13.7% | 33.8% | 55.7% | 74.3% |
Goals parity (3+ goals = over)
- Over, odd
- 38.7%
- Over, even
- 27.5%
- Under, odd
- 9.5%
- Under, even
- 24.4%
Both teams to score Β· Clean-sheet probability
- Both teams to score: Yes
- 67.8%
- Both teams to score: No
- 32.2%
- Clean-sheet probability Β· Cambuur
- 18.7%
- Clean-sheet probability Β· Go Ahead Eagles
- 17.7%
Goals per team (0β3+)
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cambuur | 17.7% | 30.6% | 26.5% | 25.1% |
| Go Ahead Eagles | 18.7% | 31.4% | 26.3% | 23.7% |
Half-time / full-time
| HT β / FT β | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | H/H 23.2% | H/D 5.9% | H/A 2.9% |
| Draw | D/H 12.7% | D/D 12.6% | D/A 12.1% |
| Away | A/H 3.0% | A/D 5.9% | A/A 21.6% |
First letter = half-time result, second = full-time result (H home, D draw, A away).
Club profiles
Cambuur
A member-owned club from Friesland who play in yellow and blue and are local rivals of sc Heerenveen; they came back up to the Eredivisie for 2026β27 after finishing as Eerste Divisie runners-up.
- City
- Leeuwarden, Netherlands
- Stadium
- Kooi Stadion
- Founded
- 1964
- Head coach
- Johan Plat
Go Ahead Eagles
A historic Deventer club, four-time Dutch champions (1917β1933) and 2025 KNVB Cup winners, who finished 12th in the Eredivisie in 2025β26 and are known for developing young players.
- City
- Deventer, Netherlands
- Stadium
- De Adelaarshorst
- Founded
- 1902
- Head coach
- Joseph Oosting
Compiled by Claude with a web search (checked 2026-11-06); may contain errors β the clubs' own channels are authoritative.
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